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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics82%9886
28Nets18%8776
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
40.8
31.8
12
43%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
32.7
30.7
9
31%
13
4
3
1
0
1
0
13
3-3
100%
3-13
7-13
23%
52%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
32.2
37.2
16
72%
0
7
2
1
1
2
0
0
6-7
86%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
30.0
34.0
16
67%
4
3
5
2
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
8-10
5-10
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
24.4
26.6
9
59%
8
1
0
0
1
2
1
7
3-6
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.1
23.5
21.8
9
40%
4
0
4
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
20.2
3.4
5
83%
0
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
18.3
13.5
2
26%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
15.1
14.2
8
84%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
2.8
2.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
0.1
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.8
21.9
1
3-6
49%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.3
43.6
33.8
20
56%
1
7
1
1
1
6
0
1
3-4
75%
4-10
3-7
40%
41%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.6
40.5
35.2
23
66%
7
1
0
1
2
3
2
5
3-3
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.7
37.3
24.3
3
19%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-7
2-5
14%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.0
37.2
17.5
8
40%
12
1
1
0
0
3
4
8
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.4
34.0
16.6
10
73%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
30.1
27.4
8
26%
9
2
1
1
0
4
1
8
0-3
0%
4-13
4-9
31%
42%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
11.9
17.1
0
0%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
5.5
5.6
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
29.8
1
3-7
45%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
22.1
0
3-7
45%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.0
12.0
0
1-3
41%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.7
9.8
0
1-3
46%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.