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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bobcats39%8990
19Bulls61%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
45.2
37.1
12
43%
9
1
2
2
0
2
1
8
1-2
50%
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
40.1
31.7
20
65%
7
5
3
1
1
6
4
3
1-3
33%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.4
36.8
27.3
14
37%
2
10
2
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-14
4-9
29%
43%
1-3
33%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
33.8
28.9
9
35%
6
4
3
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
1-5
20%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.1
28.1
28.2
13
70%
7
0
0
0
2
3
5
2
3-3
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
20.7
13.1
12
86%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
4-6
67%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
14.3
18.8
7
29%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
1-5
20%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.0
11.3
25.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.5
5.2
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.2
3.1
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
1.7
15.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-1
100%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 21.9
7.4
0
1-2
43%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.8
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
47.2
34.8
14
37%
11
0
2
1
0
0
6
5
2-4
50%
6-17
6-12
35%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.9
42.6
36.2
27
68%
7
6
3
1
1
3
0
7
7-9
78%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
40.6
27.7
21
79%
16
3
0
1
4
1
6
10
1-3
33%
10-12
3-6
83%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.1
30.0
30.6
13
55%
1
4
3
1
0
7
0
1
1-2
50%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
19.3
24.6
6
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.8
32.9
28.1
9
41%
4
7
0
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.6
18.6
24.0
3
52%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
4.9
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.0
4.0
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.9
1.9
0
0-0
36%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.2
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.0
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.