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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 7, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Kings16%94104
8Jazz84%10799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
42.8
30.4
32
68%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
16-19
84%
5-12
4-10
42%
44%
2-3
67%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.3
39.3
33.0
12
63%
11
5
1
1
1
2
1
10
6-8
75%
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
32.6
22.0
15
58%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.5
30.4
30.7
7
41%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.9
28.4
24.5
14
70%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
4-7
57%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
20.1
16.3
5
50%
3
1
3
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
14.9
7.6
4
106%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.7
12.4
4.5
10
125%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
41%
2-2
100%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.6
11.2
10.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.4
8.0
3.8
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.4
18.7
1
2-5
47%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.6
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
43.6
37.7
29
64%
3
15
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
8-15
6-12
53%
53%
3-5
60%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
37.5
32.6
16
58%
17
1
0
1
0
3
5
12
4-4
100%
6-12
7-13
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
34.6
36.1
10
58%
6
3
0
2
1
2
0
6
4-6
67%
3-5
4-9
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
34.4
30.5
16
50%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
2-6
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.6
33.5
34.7
8
43%
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-7
5-9
43%
56%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
21.7
17.1
11
87%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.7
19.1
24.6
5
73%
3
0
0
1
3
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
10.6
11.8
2
18%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
5.0
7.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.6
6.6
0
0-1
49%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
3.3
0
1-1
54%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.