Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 7, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	30	Kings	16%	94	104
	8	Jazz	84%	107	99

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAC	114.3	91	88.8
UTA	111.2	89	91.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-10

UTA

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.8%

UTA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	UTA
Q4 - 0:00.0	UTA		104 100%	99 0%
Q4 - 0:04.0	SAC	Thompson Dunk (11 PTS) (Evans 7 AST)	103 99.9%	97 0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0	UTA	Okur Driving Layup (16 PTS)	101 99.4%	97 0.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	101 99.5%	95 0.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 2	101 99.6%	95 0.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)	101 99.8%	95 0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	100 99.6%	95 0.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0	SAC	MISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2	100 98.8%	95 1.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	100 99.3%	95 0.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0	UTA	D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)	99 98.8%	95 1.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0	SAC	Udrih Driving Layup (15 PTS)	99 99.6%	92 0.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	97 98.7%	92 1.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0	SAC	MISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot	97 95.8%	92 4.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0	UTA	Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (D. Williams 14 AST)	97 95.5%	92 4.5%
Q4 - 1:08	SAC	Udrih Layup (13 PTS) (Thompson 5 AST)	97 98.2%	89 1.8%
Q4 - 1:31	UTA	D. Williams Driving Layup (26 PTS)	95 95.3%	89 4.7%
Q4 - 1:46	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)	95 95.7%	87 4.3%
Q4 - 1:47	SAC	MISS Evans 11' Jump Shot	95 96.2%	87 3.8%
Q4 - 2:07	UTA	Okur 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (D. Williams 13 AST)	95 97.6%	87 2.4%
Q4 - 2:17	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)	95 98.4%	85 1.6%
Q4 - 2:18	SAC	MISS Nocioni Layup	95 98.7%	85 1.3%
Q4 - 2:40	UTA	Okur Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	95 99.2%	85 0.8%
Q4 - 2:40	UTA	Okur Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	95 99.2%	84 0.8%
Q4 - 3:04	SAC	Nocioni 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	95 98.9%	83 1.1%
Q4 - 3:25	UTA	Boozer Layup (14 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)	93 98.5%	83 1.5%
Q4 - 3:32	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	93 97.2%	81 2.8%
Q4 - 3:33	SAC	MISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot	93 97.5%	81 2.5%
Q4 - 3:59	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	93 98.3%	81 1.7%
Q4 - 4:01	UTA	MISS Okur 3PT Jump Shot	93 98.1%	81 1.9%
Q4 - 4:22	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)	93 97.6%	81 2.4%
Q4 - 4:22	SAC	MISS Thompson Layup	93 97.9%	81 2.1%
Q4 - 4:39	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	93 98.4%	81 1.6%
Q4 - 4:41	UTA	MISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	93 98.2%	81 1.8%
Q4 - 4:56	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)	93 97.7%	81 2.3%
Q4 - 4:59	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 2	93 97.8%	81 2.2%
Q4 - 4:59	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)	93 98.2%	81 1.8%
Q4 - 5:23	UTA	D. Williams Driving Layup (24 PTS)	92 95.7%	81 4.3%
Q4 - 5:34	SAC	Kings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)	92 96.9%	79 3.1%
Q4 - 5:58	UTA	Brewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	92 97.8%	79 2.2%
Q4 - 5:58	UTA	Brewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	92 98.0%	78 2.0%
Q4 - 6:02	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	92 97.0%	77 3.0%
Q4 - 6:03	UTA	MISS Okur 6' Jump Shot	92 97.6%	77 2.4%
Q4 - 6:17	SAC	Hawes Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)	92 97.1%	77 2.9%
Q4 - 6:31	SAC	Kings Rebound	90 96.2%	77 3.8%
Q4 - 6:31	UTA	MISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 1	90 96.1%	77 3.9%
Q4 - 6:45	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	90 97.2%	75 2.8%
Q4 - 6:47	SAC	MISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot	90 97.4%	75 2.6%
Q4 - 7:09	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	90 96.7%	75 3.3%
Q4 - 7:11	UTA	MISS Boozer Layup	90 96.4%	75 3.6%
Q4 - 7:12	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)	90 95.6%	75 4.4%
Q4 - 7:14	UTA	MISS Kirilenko Layup	90 96.4%	75 3.6%
Q4 - 7:20	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	90 95.6%	75 4.4%
Q4 - 7:21	SAC	MISS Evans 19' Jump Shot	90 96.0%	75 4.0%
Q4 - 7:38	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	90 96.8%	75 3.2%
Q4 - 7:40	UTA	MISS Boozer Layup	90 96.5%	75 3.5%
Q4 - 7:53	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)	90 95.7%	75 4.3%
Q4 - 7:53	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)	89 95.4%	75 4.6%
Q4 - 7:57	UTA	Boozer Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)	88 94.6%	75 5.4%
Q4 - 8:09	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	88 90.4%	75 9.6%
Q4 - 8:10	SAC	MISS Udoka 28' 3PT Jump Shot	88 91.1%	75 8.9%
Q4 - 8:36	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	88 92.5%	75 7.5%
Q4 - 8:37	UTA	MISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 91.9%	75 8.1%
Q4 - 8:43	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	88 90.6%	75 9.4%
Q4 - 8:44	UTA	MISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot	88 92.0%	75 8.0%
Q4 - 9:02	SAC	Kings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	88 87.9%	75 12.1%
Q4 - 9:34	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	88 90.4%	75 9.6%
Q4 - 9:34	UTA	Boozer Tip Shot (12 PTS)	88 90.4%	75 9.6%
Q4 - 9:35	UTA	MISS Brewer Driving Layup	88 93.4%	73 6.6%
Q4 - 9:41	SAC	Brewer STEAL (1 STL)	88 92.3%	73 7.7%
Q4 - 9:58	UTA	D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	88 93.8%	73 6.2%
Q4 - 9:58	UTA	D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	88 94.0%	72 6.0%
Q4 - 10:02	UTA	Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	88 93.5%	71 6.5%
Q4 - 10:04	SAC	MISS Hawes 19' Jump Shot	88 93.9%	71 6.1%
Q4 - 10:31	UTA	D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)	88 94.9%	71 5.1%
Q4 - 10:51	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	88 96.7%	68 3.3%
Q4 - 10:52	SAC	MISS Evans 22' Jump Shot	88 96.9%	68 3.1%
Q4 - 11:15	UTA	Boozer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	88 96.4%	68 3.6%
Q4 - 11:35	SAC	Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)	88 95.7%	68 4.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC		85 93.5%	68 6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	Kings Rebound	85 93.5%	68 6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Udrih 42' 3PT Jump Shot	85 92.6%	68 7.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	85 92.1%	68 7.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0	UTA	MISS Price Free Throw 1 of 1	85 91.9%	68 8.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	85 93.6%	66 6.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0	SAC	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	84 93.2%	66 6.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0	UTA	D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	83 92.2%	66 7.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	83 90.8%	66 9.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0	SAC	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	82 90.5%	66 9.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0	UTA	Boozer Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Price 3 AST)	81 88.8%	66 11.2%
Q3 - 1:10	UTA	Millsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	81 89.3%	64 10.7%
Q3 - 1:12	SAC	MISS May 19' Jump Shot	81 89.9%	64 10.1%
Q3 - 1:33	SAC	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	81 91.0%	64 9.0%
Q3 - 1:34	UTA	MISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1	81 90.8%	64 9.2%
Q3 - 1:43	SAC	Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)	81 92.6%	62 7.4%
Q3 - 1:59	UTA	Millsap Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	78 89.3%	62 10.7%
Q3 - 2:13	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	78 85.0%	62 15.0%
Q3 - 2:15	SAC	Millsap BLOCK (3 BLK)	78 85.7%	62 14.3%
Q3 - 2:32	UTA	Millsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	78 87.3%	62 12.7%
Q3 - 2:45	UTA	Millsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 85.1%	62 14.9%
Q3 - 2:47	SAC	MISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot	78 85.8%	62 14.2%
Q3 - 3:05	SAC	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	78 85.1%	62 14.9%
Q3 - 3:07	UTA	MISS D. Williams Driving Layup	78 84.4%	62 15.6%
Q3 - 3:14	SAC	Udrih 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	78 82.6%	62 17.4%
Q3 - 3:26	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	76 80.1%	62 19.9%
Q3 - 3:29	UTA	MISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot	76 79.1%	62 20.9%
Q3 - 3:52	SAC	Kings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)	76 76.9%	62 23.1%
Q3 - 4:15	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	76 78.8%	62 21.2%
Q3 - 4:16	UTA	MISS D. Williams 8' Running Jump Shot	76 77.7%	62 22.3%
Q3 - 4:38	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	76 75.2%	62 24.8%
Q3 - 4:38	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)	75 74.3%	62 25.7%
Q3 - 4:52	UTA	Millsap Layup (5 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)	74 72.4%	62 27.6%
Q3 - 5:09	SAC	Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)	74 72.6%	60 27.4%
Q3 - 5:17	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	71 66.0%	60 34.0%
Q3 - 5:19	UTA	MISS Okur 17' Jump Shot	71 64.7%	60 35.3%
Q3 - 5:40	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	71 61.8%	60 38.2%
Q3 - 5:40	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)	70 60.7%	60 39.3%
Q3 - 5:49	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	69 58.3%	60 41.7%
Q3 - 5:51	UTA	MISS Price Reverse Layup	69 56.9%	60 43.1%
Q3 - 6:11	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	69 51.2%	60 48.8%
Q3 - 6:11	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	68 50.2%	60 49.8%
Q3 - 6:25	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	67 47.7%	60 52.3%
Q3 - 6:27	UTA	MISS Kirilenko 23' Jump Shot	67 46.3%	60 53.7%
Q3 - 6:41	SAC	Hawes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)	67 43.3%	60 56.7%
Q3 - 6:56	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	67 47.8%	60 52.2%
Q3 - 6:57	UTA	MISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot	67 46.4%	60 53.6%
Q3 - 7:17	UTA	Kirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	67 41.3%	60 58.7%
Q3 - 7:19	SAC	MISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot	67 42.6%	60 57.4%
Q3 - 7:29	SAC	Kings Rebound	67 45.5%	60 54.5%
Q3 - 7:33	UTA	MISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot	67 44.3%	60 55.7%
Q3 - 7:52	SAC	Thompson 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)	67 41.5%	60 58.5%
Q3 - 8:13	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	65 36.9%	60 63.1%
Q3 - 8:15	UTA	MISS Okur 17' Jump Shot	65 35.8%	60 64.2%
Q3 - 8:35	SAC	Evans Layup (21 PTS) (Thompson 4 AST)	65 33.3%	60 66.7%
Q3 - 8:50	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63 30.2%	60 69.8%
Q3 - 8:51	UTA	MISS D. Williams 6' Running Jump Shot	63 29.2%	60 70.8%
Q3 - 8:57	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	63 26.9%	60 73.1%
Q3 - 8:58	SAC	MISS Hawes 7' Jump Hook Shot	63 27.9%	60 72.1%
Q3 - 9:17	UTA	Okur Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	63 29.4%	60 70.6%
Q3 - 9:33	SAC	Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)	63 26.4%	60 73.6%
Q3 - 9:44	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	60 21.1%	60 78.9%
Q3 - 9:46	UTA	MISS Boozer Layup	60 20.4%	60 79.6%
Q3 - 10:08	SAC	Hawes Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	60 18.3%	60 81.7%
Q3 - 10:19	UTA	D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	57 14.4%	60 85.6%
Q3 - 10:25	SAC	Evans 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	57 12.7%	60 87.3%
Q3 - 10:53	UTA	D. Williams Driving Layup (15 PTS)	55 11.2%	60 88.8%
Q3 - 10:59	UTA	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55 12.7%	58 87.3%
Q3 - 11:00	SAC	MISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot	55 13.2%	58 86.8%
Q3 - 11:13	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	55 14.2%	58 85.8%
Q3 - 11:14	UTA	MISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	55 14.0%	58 86.0%
Q3 - 11:14	UTA	D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	55 12.8%	58 87.2%
Q3 - 11:22	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	55 14.1%	57 85.9%
Q3 - 11:23	SAC	MISS Hawes Layup	55 14.7%	57 85.3%
Q3 - 11:46	UTA	Kirilenko 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)	55 16.0%	57 84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	UTA		55 17.9%	55 82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	55 17.9%	55 82.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0	UTA	MISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot	55 19.1%	55 80.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0	SAC	Thomas Tip Shot (2 PTS)	55 18.0%	55 82.0%
Q2 - 0:17.0	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	53 15.7%	55 84.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0	SAC	MISS Evans Layup	53 14.8%	55 85.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	53 15.7%	55 84.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0	UTA	MISS D. Williams Driving Layup	53 15.3%	55 84.7%
Q2 - 1:00	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	53 14.4%	55 85.6%
Q2 - 1:00	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	52 13.9%	55 86.1%
Q2 - 1:15	UTA	Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)	51 12.4%	55 87.6%
Q2 - 1:22	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	51 16.0%	52 84.0%
Q2 - 1:23	UTA	MISS Brewer 18' Jump Shot	51 16.9%	52 83.1%
Q2 - 1:47	SAC	Udoka 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	51 16.0%	52 84.0%
Q2 - 1:57	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 13.9%	52 86.1%
Q2 - 1:58	UTA	MISS Boozer 6' Jump Shot	49 13.5%	52 86.5%
Q2 - 2:21	SAC	Greene Layup (10 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)	49 12.4%	52 87.6%
Q2 - 2:38	SAC	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 11.1%	52 88.9%
Q2 - 2:39	UTA	MISS Boozer 11' Turnaround Jump Shot	47 10.7%	52 89.3%
Q2 - 2:59	SAC	Greene 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	47 9.8%	52 90.2%
Q2 - 3:12	UTA	Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	45 8.8%	52 91.2%
Q2 - 3:12	UTA	Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	45 9.0%	51 91.0%
Q2 - 3:31	SAC	Evans Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)	45 9.7%	50 90.3%
Q2 - 3:43	UTA	Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	43 8.8%	50 91.2%
Q2 - 3:43	UTA	Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	43 9.0%	49 91.0%
Q2 - 3:54	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	43 9.7%	48 90.3%
Q2 - 3:57	SAC	Millsap BLOCK (2 BLK)	43 10.1%	48 89.9%
Q2 - 4:21	UTA	D. Williams Slam Dunk (12 PTS)	43 10.9%	48 89.1%
Q2 - 4:24	SAC	D. Williams STEAL (2 STL)	43 12.0%	46 88.0%
Q2 - 4:41	UTA	D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)	43 13.5%	46 86.5%
Q2 - 4:56	SAC	Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)	43 16.4%	43 83.6%
Q2 - 5:13	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 13.4%	43 86.6%
Q2 - 5:14	UTA	MISS Boozer 10' Jump Shot	40 12.9%	43 87.1%
Q2 - 5:28	UTA	Kirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	40 12.1%	43 87.9%
Q2 - 5:29	SAC	MISS Hawes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	40 12.4%	43 87.6%
Q2 - 5:42	UTA	D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	40 13.4%	43 86.6%
Q2 - 5:51	SAC	Thompson 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)	40 12.1%	43 87.9%
Q2 - 6:08	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	38 11.1%	43 88.9%
Q2 - 6:11	UTA	MISS Matthews 21' Jump Shot	38 10.7%	43 89.3%
Q2 - 6:28	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	38 9.8%	43 90.2%
Q2 - 6:29	SAC	MISS Evans 22' Jump Shot	38 10.2%	43 89.8%
Q2 - 6:43	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 11.1%	43 88.9%
Q2 - 6:45	UTA	MISS Millsap 14' Jump Shot	38 10.7%	43 89.3%
Q2 - 7:02	SAC	Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)	38 9.7%	43 90.3%
Q2 - 7:23	UTA	Kirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)	35 7.9%	43 92.1%
Q2 - 7:37	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	35 8.8%	41 91.2%
Q2 - 7:40	UTA	Kirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	32 7.2%	41 92.8%
Q2 - 7:51	SAC	Evans Slam Dunk (10 PTS)	32 6.4%	41 93.6%
Q2 - 7:55	UTA	Boozer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	30 5.8%	41 94.2%
Q2 - 8:12	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	30 5.3%	41 94.7%
Q2 - 8:12	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2	29 5.2%	41 94.8%
Q2 - 8:22	UTA	Matthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	29 5.3%	41 94.7%
Q2 - 8:22	UTA	Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	29 5.5%	40 94.5%
Q2 - 8:38	SAC	Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)	29 5.9%	39 94.1%
Q2 - 8:45	SAC	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 4.8%	39 95.2%
Q2 - 8:47	UTA	MISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot	26 4.6%	39 95.4%
Q2 - 9:01	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	26 4.4%	39 95.6%
Q2 - 9:01	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	25 4.2%	39 95.8%
Q2 - 9:07	SAC	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 4.0%	39 96.0%
Q2 - 9:08	UTA	Price REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	24 3.6%	39 96.4%
Q2 - 9:08	UTA	MISS Price Tip Shot	24 3.8%	39 96.2%
Q2 - 9:10	UTA	MISS Fesenko 4' Jump Hook Shot	24 3.8%	39 96.2%
Q2 - 9:16	UTA	Fesenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 3.6%	39 96.4%
Q2 - 9:18	SAC	MISS Evans 7' Jump Shot	24 3.7%	39 96.3%
Q2 - 9:47	UTA	Matthews Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Price 2 AST)	24 4.0%	39 96.0%
Q2 - 9:49	UTA	Kirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	24 4.4%	37 95.6%
Q2 - 9:52	SAC	Millsap BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 4.5%	37 95.5%
Q2 - 10:12	UTA	Matthews 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)	24 5.0%	37 95.0%
Q2 - 10:39	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	24 5.5%	35 94.5%
Q2 - 10:39	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	23 5.4%	35 94.6%
Q2 - 10:55	UTA	Fesenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)	22 5.0%	35 95.0%
Q2 - 11:06	SAC	Rodriguez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)	22 5.7%	33 94.3%
Q2 - 11:18	UTA	Matthews Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	19 4.7%	33 95.3%
Q2 - 11:30	UTA	Millsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 5.6%	30 94.4%
Q2 - 11:33	SAC	MISS Udoka 21' Jump Shot	19 5.8%	30 94.2%
Q2 - 11:41	UTA	Kirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	19 6.2%	30 93.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAC		19 5.6%	30 94.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0	UTA	D. Williams 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	19 6.3%	30 93.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	19 7.0%	28 93.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0	SAC	MISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot	19 7.2%	28 92.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0	UTA	Brewer Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)	19 7.5%	28 92.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0	SAC	Thomas Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	19 8.4%	26 91.6%
Q1 - 1:11	UTA	Matthews 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)	19 9.1%	26 90.9%
Q1 - 1:23	SAC	Evans Palming Turnover (P2.T6)	19 10.2%	24 89.8%
Q1 - 1:29	SAC	Rodriguez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	19 10.8%	24 89.2%
Q1 - 1:30	SAC	MISS May 21' Jump Shot	19 10.4%	24 89.6%
Q1 - 1:45	SAC	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 10.8%	24 89.2%
Q1 - 1:46	UTA	MISS Brewer 22' Jump Shot	19 10.6%	24 89.4%
Q1 - 2:04	SAC	May Layup (2 PTS)	19 10.2%	24 89.8%
Q1 - 2:10	SAC	May REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	17 9.3%	24 90.7%
Q1 - 2:11	SAC	MISS Rodriguez 22' Jump Shot	17 8.8%	24 91.2%
Q1 - 2:25	UTA	Millsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	17 9.3%	24 90.7%
Q1 - 2:40	SAC	Thompson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	17 11.1%	21 88.9%
Q1 - 2:44	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	17 11.9%	21 88.1%
Q1 - 2:45	UTA	MISS Okur Driving Layup	17 11.7%	21 88.3%
Q1 - 3:06	SAC	Evans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	17 10.9%	21 89.1%
Q1 - 3:27	UTA	Kirilenko Running Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)	17 11.8%	21 88.2%
Q1 - 3:33	SAC	D. Williams STEAL (1 STL)	17 12.8%	19 87.2%
Q1 - 3:46	UTA	D. Williams 13' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)	17 13.9%	19 86.1%
Q1 - 4:12	SAC	Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)	17 14.6%	17 85.4%
Q1 - 4:36	UTA	Okur 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)	14 12.6%	17 87.4%
Q1 - 4:55	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	14 13.6%	15 86.4%
Q1 - 4:55	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	13 13.3%	15 86.7%
Q1 - 5:11	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	12 12.8%	15 87.2%
Q1 - 5:11	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	12 13.0%	14 87.0%
Q1 - 5:19	UTA	D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 13.7%	13 86.3%
Q1 - 5:20	SAC	MISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot	12 14.0%	13 86.0%
Q1 - 5:35	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 14.8%	13 85.2%
Q1 - 5:36	UTA	MISS D. Williams 17' Jump Shot	12 14.5%	13 85.5%
Q1 - 5:43	UTA	Kirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 13.7%	13 86.3%
Q1 - 5:44	SAC	MISS Thompson 19' Jump Shot	12 14.0%	13 86.0%
Q1 - 6:04	UTA	D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	12 14.4%	13 85.6%
Q1 - 6:10	SAC	Hawes Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)	12 16.6%	10 83.4%
Q1 - 6:17	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 15.5%	10 84.5%
Q1 - 6:18	UTA	MISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 15.2%	10 84.8%
Q1 - 6:28	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	10 14.4%	10 85.6%
Q1 - 6:29	SAC	MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 14.8%	10 85.2%
Q1 - 6:50	UTA	Okur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	10 15.6%	10 84.4%
Q1 - 7:03	UTA	Kirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 14.1%	10 85.9%
Q1 - 7:04	SAC	MISS Udrih 22' Jump Shot	10 14.4%	10 85.6%
Q1 - 7:26	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	10 15.2%	10 84.8%
Q1 - 7:26	UTA	Boozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	10 15.5%	9 84.5%
Q1 - 7:27	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	10 16.3%	8 83.7%
Q1 - 7:29	UTA	MISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 17.1%	8 82.9%
Q1 - 7:47	SAC	Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	10 16.3%	8 83.7%
Q1 - 8:06	UTA	Brewer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)	7 13.9%	8 86.1%
Q1 - 8:23	SAC	Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)	7 14.9%	6 85.1%
Q1 - 8:39	UTA	Okur Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)	4 12.9%	6 87.1%
Q1 - 8:54	SAC	Udrih Driving Layup (4 PTS)	4 13.9%	4 86.1%
Q1 - 9:06	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 12.9%	4 87.1%
Q1 - 9:08	UTA	MISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2	2 12.7%	4 87.3%
Q1 - 9:08	UTA	MISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2	2 12.2%	4 87.8%
Q1 - 9:23	UTA	JAZZ Rebound	2 12.0%	4 88.0%
Q1 - 9:25	SAC	Kirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 12.3%	4 87.7%
Q1 - 9:45	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 12.8%	4 87.2%
Q1 - 9:46	UTA	MISS Brewer 19' Jump Shot	2 12.6%	4 87.4%
Q1 - 10:08	SAC	Nocioni Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	2 12.0%	4 88.0%
Q1 - 10:33	UTA	Boozer Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)	2 12.9%	4 87.1%
Q1 - 10:42	SAC	Hawes Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	2 13.7%	2 86.3%
Q1 - 10:50	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 14.7%	2 85.3%
Q1 - 10:51	UTA	MISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 14.4%	2 85.6%
Q1 - 11:05	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 13.4%	2 86.6%
Q1 - 11:06	SAC	MISS Evans Layup	2 13.6%	2 86.4%
Q1 - 11:19	UTA	Boozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 14.2%	2 85.8%
Q1 - 11:19	UTA	Boozer Tip Shot (2 PTS)	2 14.2%	2 85.8%
Q1 - 11:20	UTA	MISS Okur 4' Hook Shot	2 15.6%	0 84.4%
Q1 - 11:39	SAC	Udrih 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	2 15.1%	0 84.9%
Q1 - 12:00	UTA	Jump Ball Okur vs. Hawes: Tip to Udrih	0 14.2%	0 85.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.8%

UTA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

64%

UTA

63%

Midrange

SAC

26%

UTA

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

16.5

58%

87%

UTA

7.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAC

84%

UTA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Evans	32	67%	16.0 / 24
B. Udrih	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Nocioni	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Thompson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Greene	10	125%	5.0 / 4
S. Hawes	7	44%	3.5 / 8
I. Udoka	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Thomas	4	100%	2.0 / 2
S. Rodriguez	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. May	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Williams	29	66%	14.5 / 22
C. Boozer	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Okur	16	50%	8.0 / 16
W. Matthews	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Kirilenko	10	56%	5.0 / 9
R. Brewer	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Millsap	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Price	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Fesenko	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

-10

UTA

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.8%

UTA

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.8 110.8	SAC 114.3 +3.0 UTA 111.2
Pace	93.6 93.8	SAC 88.8 UTA 91.2 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15.2 15.5	SAC 16.2 UTA 15.8 +0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.1% 52.4%	SAC 57.5% +5.5% UTA 52.0%
TO %	15.0% 15.5%	SAC 13.8% UTA 12.1% +1.7%
ORB %	27.9% 26.8%	SAC 14.3% UTA 19.5% +5.2%
FTrt	28.6 34.0	SAC 47.8 +13.6 UTA 34.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	53.4% 67.8%	SAC 57.6% UTA 62.2% +4.6%
STL %	7.2% 8.8%	SAC 7.7% +4.3% UTA 3.4%
BLK %	6.7% 8.1%	SAC 4.9% UTA 8.3% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.5% 55.2%	SAC 59.8% +3.5% UTA 56.3%
Rim FG%	58.3% 61.0%	SAC 64.0% +1.5% UTA 62.5%
Mid FG%	39.4% 42.6%	SAC 26.1% UTA 41.4% +15.3%
3P %	34.9% 36.4%	SAC 57.9% +24.6% UTA 33.3%
FT %	72.7% 74.1%	SAC 84.4% +7.5% UTA 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.7% 41.4%	SAC 37.3% UTA 42.1% +4.8%
Mid Att. %	42.2% 40.2%	SAC 34.3% +3.8% UTA 38.2%
3P Att. %	20.1% 18.4%	SAC 28.4% +8.6% UTA 19.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	UTA
Possessions	91	89
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	104	99
Rebounds	38	38
Assists	19	23
Steals	7	3
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (3)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (1)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	33-67	37-76
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	20-32
Midrange FG	6-23	12-29
2-Point FG	22-48	32-61
3-Point FG	11-19	5-15
Free Throws	27-32	20-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.

30 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 20	42.8	32	67%	3	7	1	0	2	2	0	3	16-19	84%	5-12	42%	2-3	67%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 23	39.3	12	60%	11	5	1	1	2	5	1	10	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 27	32.6	15	58%	3	4	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Spencer Hawes C · 7'1" 245 · 22	30.4	7	44%	4	1	1	1	2	3	0	4	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Andres Nocioni F · 6'7" 225 · 30	28.4	14	70%	5	0	0	0	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	20.1	5	50%	3	1	3	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32	14.9	4	100%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 22	12.4	10	125%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Sean May C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26	11.2	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 23	8.0	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 21
Jon Brockman F · 6'7" 255 · 23
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Francisco Garcia #32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	60%	38	19	7	3	10	0	5	33	27-32	84%	22-48	46%	11-19	58%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 20	42.8	32	67%	3	7	1	0	2	2	0	3	16-19	84%	5-12	42%	2-3	67%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 23	39.3	12	60%	11	5	1	1	2	5	1	10	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 27	32.6	15	58%	3	4	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Spencer Hawes C · 7'1" 245 · 22	30.4	7	44%	4	1	1	1	2	3	0	4	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Andres Nocioni F · 6'7" 225 · 30	28.4	14	70%	5	0	0	0	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	20.1	5	50%	3	1	3	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32	14.9	4	100%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 22	12.4	10	125%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Sean May C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26	11.2	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 23	8.0	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 21
Jon Brockman F · 6'7" 255 · 23
Kevin Martin #23 · G · 6'7" 199 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Francisco Garcia #32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	60%	38	19	7	3	10	0	5	33	27-32	84%	22-48	46%	11-19	58%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deron Williams G · 6'3" 200 · 25	43.6	29	66%	3	15	2	0	3	3	0	3	4-6	67%	8-15	53%	3-5	60%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 28	37.5	16	57%	17	1	0	0	3	3	5	12	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Andrei Kirilenko F · 6'9" 235 · 29	34.6	10	56%	6	3	0	1	2	1	0	6	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Mehmet Okur C · 6'11" 260 · 30	34.4	16	50%	6	1	0	0	2	6	2	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Ronnie Brewer G · 6'7" 235 · 25	33.5	8	44%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Wesley Matthews G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23	21.7	11	92%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 25	19.1	5	83%	3	0	0	3	2	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 26	10.6	2	20%	1	3	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Kyrylo Fesenko C · 7'1" 280 · 23	5.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 29
Eric Maynor G · 6'3" 175 · 22
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 21
CJ Miles #34 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Matt Harpring #15 · F · 6'7" 230 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	56%	38	23	3	4	12	0	8	30	20-26	77%	32-61	52%	5-15	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE