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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors55%107107
29Kings45%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
33.9
30.3
21
53%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
5-9
56%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
2-7
29%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
33.6
25.8
13
73%
7
1
0
1
2
0
0
7
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
2-4
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
31.3
25.2
9
51%
4
6
0
1
0
5
1
3
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
29.2
36.0
9
37%
4
5
1
2
0
4
1
3
1-3
33%
4-10
8-17
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
21.7
12.7
2
33%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-2
33%
60%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
25.1
21.8
20
70%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
8-12
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
22.5
32.7
11
58%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-1
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.3
22.4
20.8
14
65%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
8.8
8.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.8
7.7
5.9
6
104%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.0
4.0
17.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.8
6.8
0
1-2
51%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
34.7
27.1
20
65%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-3
67%
9-12
4-7
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
28.7
35.6
23
64%
8
2
2
1
0
0
2
6
6-7
86%
7-14
6-12
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.9
28.1
26.1
10
33%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
0-5
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.3
27.1
35.5
19
65%
10
0
0
1
1
0
3
7
7-8
88%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.5
21.7
30.3
10
69%
6
1
0
1
2
4
3
3
4-5
80%
3-5
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.4
35.9
11.4
12
77%
10
5
3
0
0
3
0
10
0-4
0%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
4-6
67%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
32.9
18.0
6
39%
6
3
0
1
0
3
2
4
4-4
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.7
19.9
8.4
17
60%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
5-5
100%
6-10
1-2
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.4
6.2
6.3
1
17%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.6
4.8
4.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.3
11.1
0
1-2
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.6
11.1
0
2-4
48%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.