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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Suns53%106119
1976ers47%105115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
40.3
36.1
17
49%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
5-8
63%
6-14
7-13
43%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
38.1
32.2
29
88%
8
2
0
1
0
0
2
6
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
6-8
75%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.8
36.2
32.8
21
84%
2
20
0
1
1
7
0
2
8-8
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
52%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
30.5
31.8
10
38%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
2-9
22%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.1
30.4
28.5
11
56%
8
3
0
1
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
4-8
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
22.1
23.0
18
103%
5
1
3
1
0
0
1
4
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
4-5
80%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.9
21.5
21.9
8
80%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
2-4
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
10.7
14.0
3
32%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
8.3
14.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.9
2.0
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.8
8.1
0
1-2
49%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.6
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
37.1
37.8
24
71%
9
1
0
2
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
9-13
6-11
69%
51%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
34.9
32.6
15
59%
4
3
1
1
1
3
2
2
5-6
83%
5-10
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.0
32.9
33.1
13
39%
3
3
2
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
0-5
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.7
21.2
25.6
10
56%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
18.4
21.2
8
82%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.3
29.6
21.8
20
66%
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
7
4-5
80%
8-13
4-8
62%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.3
17.3
20.3
8
95%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
4-5
80%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
16.6
16.5
5
51%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.4
15.2
4.4
8
80%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
10.8
10.3
4
46%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
6.0
11.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.9
8.6
0
0-1
42%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.