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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Raptors42%98124
15Spurs58%101131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.0
35.7
33.4
17
61%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
33.2
32.7
13
78%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.6
32.5
32.3
32
68%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
15-17
88%
7-15
6-13
47%
49%
1-1
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.6
32.1
31.3
20
75%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
2-2
100%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
13.0
17.8
2
50%
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
24.2
20.0
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
22.9
18.2
10
87%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.0
19.7
25.4
7
50%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
17.3
14.7
12
120%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
4-4
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
7.4
2.5
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.4
2.1
5.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
3.5
0
1-1
49%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.4
37.3
30.2
24
61%
8
7
0
1
0
1
2
6
5-8
63%
8-13
4-9
62%
49%
1-3
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
35.7
26.1
22
58%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-9
67%
8-14
3-6
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.5
16.7
15.9
9
95%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
14.5
16.6
7
72%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
8.6
4.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
34.0
16.6
18
56%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
53%
4-8
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.3
32.2
26.1
36
82%
4
8
1
1
4
1
1
3
14-16
88%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
6-8
75%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
23.7
15.8
7
49%
10
3
0
0
0
0
5
5
3-5
60%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
19.0
16.1
6
43%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
17.4
20.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-4
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
0.9
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.5
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.