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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves35%104105
24Warriors65%109146
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.8
33.9
29.0
20
55%
5
6
1
1
0
6
1
4
3-3
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
45%
1-6
17%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.2
27.9
31.0
8
36%
8
2
2
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.7
22.5
30.8
10
51%
4
5
0
2
1
4
2
2
4-4
100%
3-6
4-10
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.8
19.9
30.2
18
73%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
8-11
8-16
73%
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
16.5
16.3
7
39%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
29.8
17.4
17
61%
6
3
0
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
22.6
20.1
11
66%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.8
18.7
8.4
2
20%
10
2
1
0
1
2
5
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
18.6
18.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
13.5
11.0
6
32%
7
1
1
0
0
1
6
1
2-3
67%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
10.1
6.2
2
53%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.9
6.0
19.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.2
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.5
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
32.0
32.8
18
53%
10
3
3
1
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
8-16
8-15
50%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
31.3
31.7
10
47%
6
15
4
1
2
3
2
4
6-6
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
29.8
27.8
8
41%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-6
3-5
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
29.3
29.2
31
76%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
2-3
67%
10-11
4-8
91%
49%
3-8
38%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.0
17.9
11.2
2
50%
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
37.2
27.7
20
96%
4
4
3
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
5-6
83%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.3
30.1
21.6
23
66%
7
0
3
1
3
2
3
4
7-8
88%
8-14
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.8
12.0
7.1
10
71%
0
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
4-7
57%
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
10.8
9.1
13
108%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
3-4
75%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
9.6
23.1
11
78%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-7
71%
3-3
4-8
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
17.7
1
2-3
60%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.8
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.