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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Magic55%9493
15Bobcats45%9281
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
39.6
29.8
9
39%
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.9
35.9
31.0
15
54%
10
6
1
1
0
5
3
7
1-2
50%
7-13
5-9
54%
58%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
30.8
28.7
9
57%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
49%
2-2
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
22.7
33.8
8
62%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.5
21.8
25.6
14
78%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-9
4-8
78%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
29.1
27.9
12
55%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
25.4
9.7
15
43%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
2-8
1-3
25%
46%
3-8
38%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
17.6
19.6
6
56%
5
0
2
0
4
1
3
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
17.2
18.8
5
51%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
15.4
0
1-3
45%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
10.3
0
1-2
47%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
41.2
39.7
13
47%
9
1
3
2
0
3
3
6
3-4
75%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
39.1
34.4
14
39%
6
8
2
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.1
33.7
30.1
13
54%
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.4
31.0
30.8
18
74%
0
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
5-5
100%
5-8
4-10
63%
44%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.1
11.3
27.6
2
50%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.2
17.2
8.6
11
80%
5
1
0
0
3
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-6
1-3
83%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.0
17.0
19.5
4
33%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
16.2
16.1
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
15.7
16.3
4
45%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
11.5
9.7
2
26%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-3
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.8
3.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 21.9
2.5
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.5
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.