FinalWin Prob.pScore
1738%97
76
1362%101
90
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
83.59194.1
MIA logo MIA
97.89289.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA76
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0WASMISS Haywood 17' Jump Shot76
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (41 PTS)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw Technical (40 PTS)76
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (39 PTS)76
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (38 PTS)76
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot76
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWade Layup (37 PTS)76
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00WASWade STEAL (3 STL)76
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)76
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)76
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 1:36WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 1:36WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 1:47MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)74
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 2:08WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 2:08WASMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 273
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 2:09MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)73
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 2:12WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P12.T21)73
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 2:18WASWizards Rebound73
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 2:18WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 2:36WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)73
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot73
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 2:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 2:52WASMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot73
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWade Tip Shot (33 PTS)73
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot73
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 3:30WASButler Foul Turnover (P4.T20)73
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWade Dunk (31 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)73
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q4 - 3:48WASChalmers STEAL (4 STL)73
24.0%
75
76.0%
Q4 - 4:10MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)73
32.1%
75
67.9%
Q4 - 4:34WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P3.T18)73
40.3%
73
59.7%
Q4 - 4:45WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
50.8%
73
49.2%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
47.6%
73
52.4%
Q4 - 4:59MIAHEAT Rebound73
40.3%
73
59.7%
Q4 - 5:00WASMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
43.5%
73
56.5%
Q4 - 5:25MIAWade Driving Layup (29 PTS)73
49.4%
73
50.6%
Q4 - 5:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
57.4%
71
42.6%
Q4 - 5:33WASMISS Arenas 28' 3PT Jump Shot73
60.1%
71
39.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)73
65.9%
71
34.1%
Q4 - 6:24WASButler 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
55.4%
71
44.6%
Q4 - 6:32WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
48.3%
71
51.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot71
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q4 - 6:57WASArenas Double Dribble Turnover (P10.T17)71
40.4%
71
59.6%
Q4 - 7:00WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
48.4%
71
51.6%
Q4 - 7:01WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 271
40.9%
71
59.1%
Q4 - 7:01WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)71
45.6%
71
54.4%
Q4 - 7:05WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
40.5%
71
59.5%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot70
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q4 - 7:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
33.5%
71
66.5%
Q4 - 7:26WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot70
35.6%
71
64.4%
Q4 - 7:40WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
40.6%
71
59.4%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Beasley Layup70
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
34.4%
71
65.6%
Q4 - 8:05WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot70
36.1%
71
63.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)70
40.2%
71
59.8%
Q4 - 8:42WASButler Dunk (15 PTS) (Arenas 8 AST)70
46.7%
69
53.3%
Q4 - 8:48MIABeasley Layup (15 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)68
40.2%
69
59.8%
Q4 - 9:14WASButler 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)68
46.2%
67
53.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIAArroyo 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
40.2%
67
59.8%
Q4 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
46.3%
65
53.7%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
50.3%
65
49.7%
Q4 - 10:11WASBlatche Layup (13 PTS)66
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q4 - 10:12WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q4 - 10:13WASMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot64
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q4 - 10:16WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q4 - 10:17WASHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)64
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q4 - 10:25WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot64
38.3%
65
61.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
34.6%
65
65.4%
Q4 - 10:45WASMISS Blatche 19' Jump Shot64
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q4 - 10:50WASMISS Arenas Free Throw Technical64
40.0%
65
60.0%
Q4 - 11:00WASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
40.0%
65
60.0%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot64
38.2%
65
61.8%
Q4 - 11:18WASArenas 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
34.8%
65
65.2%
Q4 - 11:37WASMcGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot62
28.7%
65
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS62
25.8%
65
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)62
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
29.0%
65
71.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
29.0%
65
71.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0WASMISS Stevenson 8' Jump Shot62
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)62
30.2%
65
69.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)62
31.0%
64
69.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
34.8%
63
65.2%
Q3 - 1:06WASMISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
36.1%
63
63.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 262
39.8%
62
60.2%
Q3 - 1:42WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
39.5%
62
60.5%
Q3 - 1:42WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 261
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)61
38.7%
62
61.3%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
39.6%
61
60.4%
Q3 - 2:16WASButler 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 2:48WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
43.4%
58
56.6%
Q3 - 2:48WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 258
42.6%
58
57.4%
Q3 - 2:55MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)58
43.3%
58
56.7%
Q3 - 3:07WASArenas Backcourt Turnover (P9.T16)58
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q3 - 3:13WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot58
41.6%
58
58.4%
Q3 - 3:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q3 - 3:29WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot58
39.8%
58
60.2%
Q3 - 3:47MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)58
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 4:01WASArenas Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P8.T15)58
46.6%
56
53.4%
Q3 - 4:14MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 4:32WASStevenson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
55.4%
54
44.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
51.7%
54
48.3%
Q3 - 4:47MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
52.5%
53
47.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
55.4%
52
44.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot56
58.8%
52
41.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAHEAT Rebound56
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q3 - 5:03WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q3 - 5:26MIABeasley Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
58.9%
52
41.1%
Q3 - 5:46MIAHEAT Rebound56
62.4%
50
37.6%
Q3 - 5:47WASMISS Arenas 15' Jump Shot56
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q3 - 5:52WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
66.8%
50
33.2%
Q3 - 5:53WASMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot56
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Dunk (19 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)56
65.5%
50
34.5%
Q3 - 6:23WASRichardson STEAL (1 STL)56
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 6:35WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
72.4%
48
27.6%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
71.3%
48
28.7%
Q3 - 6:44WASWade STEAL (2 STL)56
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)56
72.5%
48
27.5%
Q3 - 7:10WASArenas Foul Turnover (P5.T12)56
76.4%
45
23.6%
Q3 - 7:12WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
79.3%
45
20.7%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot56
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q3 - 7:30WASBeasley STEAL (1 STL)56
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q3 - 7:40WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
79.4%
45
20.6%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q3 - 7:56WASBlatche 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)56
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q3 - 8:02WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q3 - 8:03WASMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot54
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)54
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q3 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
69.6%
45
30.4%
Q3 - 8:28WASMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot54
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q3 - 8:48MIAWade Layup (14 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)54
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q3 - 8:52WASChalmers STEAL (3 STL)54
75.6%
43
24.4%
Q3 - 9:04MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)54
77.6%
43
22.4%
Q3 - 9:17WASArenas 12' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)54
74.9%
43
25.1%
Q3 - 9:29WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
72.1%
43
27.9%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q3 - 9:39MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
68.9%
43
31.1%
Q3 - 9:40WASMISS Blatche 21' Jump Shot52
69.9%
43
30.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIARichardson Foul Turnover (P2.T8)52
72.1%
43
27.9%
Q3 - 10:00MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
69.0%
43
31.0%
Q3 - 10:01WASMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.7%
43
31.3%
Q3 - 10:18MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
70.9%
43
29.1%
Q3 - 10:43WASStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)52
73.8%
41
26.2%
Q3 - 10:53WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
68.0%
41
32.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot49
67.0%
41
33.0%
Q3 - 11:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
63.7%
41
36.3%
Q3 - 11:05WASMISS Arenas 6' Jump Shot49
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q3 - 11:26WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
67.0%
41
33.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot49
66.0%
41
34.0%
Q3 - 11:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
63.7%
41
36.3%
Q3 - 11:47WASO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)49
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS49
67.1%
41
32.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound49
67.1%
41
32.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0WASMISS Arenas 16' Jump Shot49
64.0%
41
36.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)49
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0WASButler Foul Turnover (P3.T9)49
72.1%
38
27.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
74.2%
38
25.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot49
73.6%
38
26.4%
Q2 - 1:08WASButler 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
71.5%
38
28.5%
Q2 - 1:19WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q2 - 1:20WASMISS Butler Layup47
66.5%
38
33.5%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS)47
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
71.5%
36
28.5%
Q2 - 1:46WASMISS Blatche 17' Jump Shot47
72.1%
36
27.9%
Q2 - 1:58WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem 8' Hook Shot47
72.9%
36
27.1%
Q2 - 2:18WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
70.1%
36
29.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
64.6%
36
35.4%
Q2 - 2:41WASArenas Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)44
61.5%
36
38.5%
Q2 - 2:45WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
64.6%
36
35.4%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup44
63.7%
36
36.3%
Q2 - 2:56WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
61.6%
36
38.4%
Q2 - 3:20WASWizards Rebound41
55.1%
36
44.9%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot41
54.0%
36
46.0%
Q2 - 3:37WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Blatche 4 AST)41
51.4%
36
48.6%
Q2 - 3:55MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
45.7%
36
54.3%
Q2 - 4:02WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
41.7%
36
58.3%
Q2 - 4:02WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 4:17WASMISS Blatche Layup36
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 4:21WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
39.0%
36
61.0%
Q2 - 4:22WASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)36
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 4:42MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 5:05WASStevenson Layup (2 PTS)36
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 5:11WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
41.7%
33
58.3%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAHEAT Rebound34
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 5:23WASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)34
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q2 - 5:42MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)34
41.7%
33
58.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 5:52WASMISS Haywood 9' Hook Shot34
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 6:12MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
47.5%
31
52.5%
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)34
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 6:39WASHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)34
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 6:50WASWizards Rebound34
56.2%
28
43.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Anthony Layup34
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q2 - 6:59WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
52.9%
28
47.1%
Q2 - 6:59WASMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 233
52.5%
28
47.5%
Q2 - 7:08MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)33
52.5%
28
47.5%
Q2 - 7:26WASButler 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)33
55.2%
26
44.8%
Q2 - 7:37WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
52.5%
26
47.5%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot31
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q2 - 7:52MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 7:53WASMISS Blatche 20' Jump Shot31
50.5%
26
49.5%
Q2 - 8:09WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
51.7%
26
48.3%
Q2 - 8:10WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot31
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T4)31
51.7%
26
48.3%
Q2 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
48.9%
26
51.1%
Q2 - 8:28WASMISS McGuire 20' Jump Shot31
49.7%
26
50.3%
Q2 - 8:41MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
51.7%
26
48.3%
Q2 - 8:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q2 - 8:52WASMISS Foye 7' Floating Jump Shot31
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q2 - 9:04MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
56.3%
24
43.7%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 231
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 9:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
56.1%
23
43.9%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q2 - 9:28WASMISS Blatche 16' Turnaround Jump Shot31
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 9:47MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 231
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q2 - 9:59MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q2 - 10:00WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
61.0%
22
39.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 231
61.6%
21
38.4%
Q2 - 10:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
60.8%
21
39.2%
Q2 - 10:29WASMISS Arenas Dunk31
61.6%
21
38.4%
Q2 - 10:42WASWizards Rebound31
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot31
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q2 - 11:01WASMcGuire 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
60.2%
21
39.8%
Q2 - 11:19WASWizards Rebound29
57.9%
21
42.1%
Q2 - 11:20WASAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)29
56.0%
21
44.0%
Q2 - 11:25WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
57.9%
21
42.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot29
57.1%
21
42.9%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q2 - 11:45WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 129
55.6%
21
44.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
52.9%
21
47.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASArenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
44.3%
21
55.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot24
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
42.4%
21
57.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)21
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)21
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 1:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
39.9%
19
60.1%
Q1 - 1:40WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot21
40.4%
19
59.6%
Q1 - 1:45MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 2:10WASButler Layup (4 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)21
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 2:45WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 2:45WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 3:02MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 3:15WASWade STEAL (1 STL)17
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 3:23WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot17
41.0%
15
59.0%
Q1 - 3:41WASHaywood Dunk (6 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)17
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 3:47WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot15
36.6%
15
63.4%
Q1 - 4:08WASBlatche Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
34.7%
15
65.3%
Q1 - 4:20WASWizards Rebound15
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot15
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 4:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
34.7%
15
65.3%
Q1 - 4:30WASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)15
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)15
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHEAT Rebound15
34.7%
15
65.3%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup15
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 5:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 5:13WASMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot15
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 5:30MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)15
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 5:35WASChalmers STEAL (2 STL)15
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)15
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 6:05WASArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)15
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 6:16WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 6:17WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot12
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 6:45WASBlatche 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)12
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 7:03WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Bank Shot10
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 7:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 7:20WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 7:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot10
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 7:51WASHaywood Layup (4 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)10
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 8:07MIAChalmers Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot8
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot8
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 8:33WASArenas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)8
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 8:48WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 26
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 8:49MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)6
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 9:07WASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)6
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:31MIABeasley Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)6
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 9:48WASBlatche 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)6
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 10:07WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 10:29WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:57WASHaywood 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:12WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot2
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 11:28WASButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 11:46MIABeasley Driving Dunk (2 PTS)0
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Haywood: Tip to Chalmers0
34.1%
0
65.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.93 46.3%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
9
15
60%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
WAS
16
43
37%
MIA
12
38
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
WAS
14
21
67%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas2146%10.5 / 23
C. Butler1948%9.5 / 20
B. Haywood1365%6.5 / 10
A. Blatche1346%6.5 / 14
D. Stevenson844%4.0 / 9
D. McGuire250%1.0 / 2
R. Foye0-0.0 / 1
N. Young0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4160%20.5 / 34
M. Beasley1539%7.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1381%6.5 / 8
C. Arroyo1071%5.0 / 7
J. O'Neal643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
J. Anthony125%0.5 / 2
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
69
+12
-22
81
MIA
80
+9
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.93 46.3%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.0
106.7
WAS 83.5
MIA 97.8 +14.3
Pace
91.9
89.6
WAS 94.1 +5.0
MIA 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
WAS 15.3 +0.9
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
49.6%
WAS 43.1%
MIA 47.3% +4.2%
TO %
15.3%
13.6%
WAS 21.3%
MIA 14.1% +7.2%
ORB %
27.7%
26.0%
WAS 23.7% +2.1%
MIA 21.6%
FTrt
28.3
29.6
WAS 29.2
MIA 35.1 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.8%
51.9%
WAS 55.2% +3.7%
MIA 51.5%
STL %
6.5%
8.1%
WAS 6.6%
MIA 9.8% +3.2%
BLK %
8.1%
9.4%
WAS 8.1%
MIA 10.3% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.1%
WAS 46.3%
MIA 50.6% +4.3%
Rim FG%
56.8%
62.0%
WAS 60.0%
MIA 70.8% +10.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.8%
WAS 37.2% +5.6%
MIA 31.6%
3P %
35.3%
34.6%
WAS 28.6%
MIA 33.3% +4.7%
FT %
76.2%
75.2%
WAS 66.7%
MIA 76.9% +10.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
29.8%
WAS 20.8%
MIA 32.4% +11.6%
Mid Att. %
48.7%
48.3%
WAS 59.7%
MIA 51.4% +8.4%
3P Att. %
18.3%
21.9%
WAS 19.4% +3.2%
MIA 16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points7690
Rebounds3837
Assists1617
Steals69
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)29 (4)
Field Goals29-7233-74
At-the-Rim FG9-1517-24
Midrange FG16-4312-38
2-Point FG25-5829-62
3-Point FG4-144-12
Free Throws14-2120-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
45.0
19
48%
7
0
2
0
4
4
2
5
3-4
75%
8-16
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
42.1
21
46%
5
8
3
0
12
2
0
5
4-8
50%
4-13
31%
3-7
43%
G · 6'5" 218 · 29
39.8
8
44%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 263 · 30
39.7
13
65%
11
0
0
4
3
4
4
7
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 260 · 23
39.0
13
46%
10
5
0
0
3
4
3
7
3-3
100%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 35
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
8.5
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 26
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
C · 7'0" 270 · 22
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
#8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'2" 188 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
46%
38
16
6
5
22
0
9
29
14-21
67%
25-58
43%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.