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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz26%9186
1Celtics74%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.6
36.0
34.4
13
42%
1
3
1
2
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
6-11
4-9
55%
52%
0-3
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
35.0
37.3
12
46%
4
2
1
1
0
3
4
0
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
33.1
39.5
13
49%
7
4
0
1
0
3
4
3
3-5
60%
5-9
6-11
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
27.2
35.8
10
71%
2
3
0
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
7-14
71%
49%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
24.9
32.1
9
46%
3
2
2
1
1
4
2
1
3-4
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
25.0
18.4
4
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
23.4
23.1
9
46%
13
0
1
1
0
1
5
8
3-4
75%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
14.9
2.3
6
43%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
40%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
14.6
4.5
4
69%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
5.9
1.9
6
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
9.3
0
1-2
41%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
6.5
0
0-1
44%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
32.4
35.2
13
82%
6
6
3
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
4-9
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
32.3
34.2
15
84%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-5
4-7
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
30.6
32.3
14
64%
1
11
2
2
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
7-11
5-9
64%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
26.3
25.7
10
51%
8
2
0
0
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-6
44%
58%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
26.2
30.8
18
77%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
7-9
7-13
78%
52%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
21.5
22.0
12
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
2-7
29%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.8
21.2
15.9
10
65%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
19.5
14.3
6
51%
6
1
0
0
1
2
4
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
17.7
15.0
5
36%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
6.0
2.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
4.1
2.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
2.1
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.