FinalWin Prob.pScore
447%98
83
1153%99
92
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
94.38891.0
SAS logo SAS
102.29087.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS83
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot83
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 1:07SASHill 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)83
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 1:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)83
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 1:26DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)82
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 1:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)81
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 1:32SASMISS McDyess 1' Layup81
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 1:52SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 1:54SASMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot81
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 2:17DALKidd 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 2:28SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 2:28SASJefferson 2' Layup (29 PTS)79
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot79
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 2:36DALHill STEAL (1 STL)79
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 3:03SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)79
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 3:24SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper79
13.2%
83
86.8%
Q4 - 3:46SASJefferson Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)79
21.8%
83
78.2%
Q4 - 4:12DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)79
15.2%
83
84.8%
Q4 - 4:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)76
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot76
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 4:47SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 4:49DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q4 - 4:59DALRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot76
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 5:21SASSPURS Rebound76
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q4 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q4 - 5:44DALMarion 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 6:05DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 6:07SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 6:15DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)74
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 6:35SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)74
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 6:37DALJefferson STEAL (3 STL)74
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 6:41SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)74
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 6:59DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (27 PTS)74
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 7:14SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 272
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 7:25DALNowitzki 3' Layup (25 PTS)72
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q4 - 7:40DALRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 7:41SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot70
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 7:57DALNowitzki 5' Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 8:13SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)68
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 8:13SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 268
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q4 - 8:16DALJefferson STEAL (2 STL)68
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 8:29DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot68
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 8:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 8:43DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 9:04SASJefferson 4' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)66
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 9:24DALJefferson STEAL (1 STL)66
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 9:36SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P3.T10)66
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 9:57DALTerry 6' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)66
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 10:02DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:05SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 10:10SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot64
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 10:31DALMarion Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)64
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 10:34SASJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)64
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 10:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
2.9%
79
97.1%
Q4 - 10:55DALMISS Barea 9' Jump Bank Shot64
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 11:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 11:03SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot64
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 11:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 11:16DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot64
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 11:36SASBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)64
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL64
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound64
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)64
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASSPURS Rebound64
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 264
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)63
7.2%
76
92.8%
Q3 - 1:06DALRoss 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)63
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 1:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 1:17SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Jump Shot60
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 1:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 1:29DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot60
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 1:36DALRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 1:38DALBogans BLOCK (1 BLK)60
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 1:40DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 1:42DALMISS Terry 2' Layup60
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 1:59SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 2:14DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)60
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 2:27SASGinobili 4' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)58
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 2:45DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 2:45DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 2:52DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 2:54SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 3:14DALTerry 2' Layup (13 PTS)56
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 3:25SASJefferson 2' Dunk (24 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)54
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 3:34SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 3:36DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Turnaround Bank Shot54
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 3:53SASRatliff Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)54
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 4:09SASRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 4:11DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Shot54
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 4:22SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)54
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 4:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 4:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 4:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 4:36DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 4:39DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 4:42SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 5:03SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 5:05DALGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)52
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 5:18SASMcDyess 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)52
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 5:34DALTerry 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 5:49DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
7.3%
65
92.7%
Q3 - 6:05SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 6:06DALMISS Kidd 2' Layup50
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 6:20DALMavericks Rebound50
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 6:22SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 6:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Jefferson 2' Layup50
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 6:30SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 6:32DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Driving Layup50
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 6:52SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)50
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 7:11SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 7:12DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 7:38SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)50
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 7:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q3 - 8:09SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)47
14.1%
59
85.9%
Q3 - 8:09SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 247
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q3 - 8:29DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)47
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q3 - 8:52DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q3 - 8:53SASMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot44
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 9:16DALBarea 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)44
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q3 - 9:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 9:24DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot42
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q3 - 9:36SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)42
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q3 - 9:48SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 9:49DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot42
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q3 - 9:57SASMcDyess Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)42
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 9:57DALMcDyess STEAL (3 STL)42
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q3 - 10:11SASJefferson 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)42
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 10:15DALMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)42
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 10:35SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 242
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q3 - 10:46DALMarion 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)42
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q3 - 11:02SASJefferson 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)40
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q3 - 11:19SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q3 - 11:21DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q3 - 11:28DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q3 - 11:29SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q3 - 11:49DALMarion 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)40
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL38
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0DALMISS Barea Free Throw 2 of 238
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 237
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0DALBarea Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASBogans 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)37
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
24.5%
45
75.5%
Q2 - 1:03SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 1:04DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot37
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 1:17DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)37
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 1:24SASMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T4)36
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 1:26SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 1:27DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot36
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 1:38DALMavericks Rebound36
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 1:38DALHill BLOCK (1 BLK)36
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 1:39DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 1:41SASMISS Jefferson 3' Layup36
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 1:55SASSPURS Rebound36
21.4%
45
78.6%
Q2 - 1:56SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot36
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 2:17DALNowitzki 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)36
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 2:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 134
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 2:45DALBogans STEAL (1 STL)34
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 2:46DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 2:48SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 134
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 2:58SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
26.1%
41
73.9%
Q2 - 3:00DALBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)34
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 3:12DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
29.4%
41
70.6%
Q2 - 3:13SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot34
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 3:37DALNowitzki 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 4:04SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 4:21SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
29.3%
38
70.7%
Q2 - 4:22DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 4:44SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
32.2%
38
67.8%
Q2 - 5:03DALMarion 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)32
38.0%
35
62.0%
Q2 - 5:21SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)30
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 5:47SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
40.8%
32
59.2%
Q2 - 5:48DALMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot30
41.7%
32
58.3%
Q2 - 6:07SASBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)30
44.0%
32
56.0%
Q2 - 6:23DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)30
49.2%
29
50.8%
Q2 - 6:44SASBogans 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)28
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 7:04DALKidd 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)28
49.4%
27
50.6%
Q2 - 7:26SASBlair 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
43.9%
27
56.1%
Q2 - 7:36SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q2 - 7:38SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 225
49.1%
25
50.9%
Q2 - 7:38SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)25
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q2 - 7:46SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
49.3%
24
50.7%
Q2 - 7:46DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q2 - 8:04DALMavericks Rebound25
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q2 - 8:05SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
51.1%
24
48.9%
Q2 - 8:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
49.2%
24
50.8%
Q2 - 8:11SASMISS Hill 8' Jump Bank Shot25
51.1%
24
48.9%
Q2 - 8:28DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
49.2%
24
50.8%
Q2 - 8:28DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 8:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
46.5%
24
53.5%
Q2 - 8:41SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot23
45.7%
24
54.3%
Q2 - 8:51SASMISS Mason Jr. Free Throw Technical23
43.8%
24
56.2%
Q2 - 9:05DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q2 - 9:05DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q2 - 9:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 9:09SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot21
40.3%
24
59.7%
Q2 - 9:16SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q2 - 9:19DALMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot21
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 9:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 9:27DALMISS Barea 1' Layup21
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 9:43SASMason Jr. Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q2 - 9:52SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q2 - 9:53DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot21
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q2 - 10:14SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)21
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q2 - 10:23SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q2 - 10:24DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot21
47.0%
21
53.0%
Q2 - 10:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q2 - 10:41SASMISS Jefferson 13' Running Jump Shot21
48.1%
21
51.9%
Q2 - 11:02SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q2 - 11:03DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot21
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q2 - 11:21DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q2 - 11:22SASMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot21
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q2 - 11:29SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q2 - 11:29SASMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot21
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q2 - 11:42SASSPURS Rebound21
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q2 - 11:43DALMISS Barea 17' Jump Shot21
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL21
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)21
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
53.1%
18
46.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
50.7%
18
49.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot19
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALMISS Gooden 2' Reverse Layup19
49.3%
18
50.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASMcDyess 6' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)19
50.7%
18
49.3%
Q1 - 1:17DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
53.5%
16
46.5%
Q1 - 1:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
48.0%
16
52.0%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Finley 11' Jump Shot16
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 1:46SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 1:47DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot16
46.9%
16
53.1%
Q1 - 2:02DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 2:03SASMISS Mason Jr. 23' Jump Shot16
47.7%
16
52.3%
Q1 - 2:27DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)16
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 2:38DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.7%
16
56.3%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot14
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 2:52SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.8%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 2:53DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot14
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 3:01DALGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 3:02SASMISS Bonner 10' Jump Shot14
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 3:11DALBarea 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 3:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot12
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 3:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 3:55DALMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot12
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q1 - 4:11DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot12
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 4:33DALGooden 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 4:47DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 4:56SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 4:57SASMISS Jefferson 17' Fadeaway Jumper10
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 5:23DALMarion 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)10
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 5:27SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 5:32SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Terry 8' Jump Shot8
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 5:41DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 5:42SASMISS Blair 2' Reverse Layup8
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 5:59SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 6:00DALMISS Terry 17' Pullup Jump Shot8
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 6:17SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 6:17SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 6:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
33.7%
14
66.3%
Q1 - 6:23DALMISS Gooden 12' Jump Shot8
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q1 - 6:38SASJefferson 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 6:51SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 6:52DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper8
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 7:15SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)8
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 7:22SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
43.7%
9
56.3%
Q1 - 7:25DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 7:25DALMISS Howard Tip Shot8
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:26DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot8
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:29DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 7:31DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:37DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 7:38DALMISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot8
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:50SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)8
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 7:56DALMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)8
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 7:59SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 8:14DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 8:14DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 27
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 8:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 8:25SASMISS Jefferson 1' Layup7
49.3%
6
50.7%
Q1 - 8:43DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)7
47.9%
6
52.1%
Q1 - 8:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot4
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 9:13DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)4
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 9:28DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot2
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:38SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 9:39DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot2
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 9:46DALMavericks Rebound2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 9:47DALMISS Howard Layup2
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 9:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 9:50DALMISS Howard 20' Pullup Jump Shot2
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 10:04SASJefferson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)2
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 10:17DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 10:17DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 21
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 10:23SASHill 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)1
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 10:44DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 10:44DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 20
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 10:44DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 10:44DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 10:44DALJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:46DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Bank Shot0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:06SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)0
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:16SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:17DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:36DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:37SASMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Blair vs. Dampier: Tip to Hill0
46.0%
0
54.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.88 44.1%
SAS
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
9
23
39%
SAS
9
15
60%
Midrange
DAL
14
41
34%
SAS
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
SAS
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
DAL
22
27
81%
SAS
10
19
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2947%14.5 / 31
J. Terry1959%9.5 / 16
S. Marion1169%5.5 / 8
J. Howard831%4.0 / 13
J. Kidd542%2.5 / 6
J. Barea525%2.5 / 10
Q. Ross3150%1.5 / 1
D. Gooden233%1.0 / 3
E. Dampier117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jefferson2954%14.5 / 27
K. Bogans1381%6.5 / 8
M. Ginobili1350%6.5 / 13
G. Hill1155%5.5 / 10
M. Bonner1169%5.5 / 8
A. McDyess941%4.5 / 11
D. Blair350%1.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.321%1.5 / 7
M. Finley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
77
+14
-11
91
SAS
77
+12
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.88 44.1%
SAS
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
110.4
DAL 94.3 +7.9
SAS 102.2
Pace
92.6
91.5
DAL 91.0 +3.9
SAS 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.0
DAL 15.8 +0.7
SAS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.5%
DAL 38.6%
SAS 51.3% +12.7%
TO %
13.2%
14.1%
DAL 10.8% +2.0%
SAS 12.8%
ORB %
24.3%
26.8%
DAL 22.9% +1.2%
SAS 21.7%
FTrt
27.7
29.6
DAL 34.2 +10.4
SAS 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.1%
DAL 53.6%
SAS 61.8% +8.2%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
DAL 6.8%
SAS 10.0% +3.2%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
DAL 4.3%
SAS 7.8% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
54.0%
DAL 44.1%
SAS 51.7% +7.6%
Rim FG%
58.4%
62.2%
DAL 39.1%
SAS 60.0% +20.9%
Mid FG%
42.9%
40.7%
DAL 34.1%
SAS 35.5% +1.4%
3P %
37.2%
35.8%
DAL 33.3%
SAS 41.2% +7.9%
FT %
81.7%
74.0%
DAL 81.5% +28.9%
SAS 52.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
36.1%
DAL 29.1% +10.4%
SAS 18.8%
Mid Att. %
47.1%
40.6%
DAL 51.9%
SAS 38.8% +13.1%
3P Att. %
22.2%
23.2%
DAL 19.0%
SAS 42.5% +23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8392
Rebounds4747
Assists1521
Steals69
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)37 (2)
Field Goals28-7934-80
At-the-Rim FG9-239-15
Midrange FG14-4111-31
2-Point FG23-6420-46
3-Point FG5-1514-34
Free Throws22-2710-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
41.4
29
47%
12
1
1
1
2
2
1
11
10-10
100%
8-24
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 37
36.9
5
42%
6
9
2
1
3
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 228 · 32
32.1
11
69%
9
0
2
0
2
4
3
6
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 30
19.4
8
31%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
1-9
11%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
18.4
1
17%
4
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 32
35.6
19
59%
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2
6-7
86%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
27.0
5
25%
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29
18.9
3
150%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 250 · 28
9.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
#7 · F · 6'10" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'6" 212 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
44%
47
15
6
2
11
0
11
36
22-27
81%
23-64
36%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.