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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Thunder46%9483
28Clippers54%9579
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
36.4
36.8
30
64%
10
4
2
1
1
4
1
9
5-8
63%
11-17
7-15
65%
48%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
30.2
31.6
13
47%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
2-6
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
28.9
24.5
10
42%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
23.9
31.5
2
33%
8
1
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
21.8
35.1
2
9%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-11
5-12
9%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.0
27.2
17.6
4
67%
3
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
26.2
13.4
11
66%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
42%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
23.9
17.6
7
39%
5
8
1
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.1
15.6
2.0
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
6.0
17.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.7
12.0
0
1-2
49%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
4.6
0
1-2
48%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.6
41.5
27.0
17
45%
7
9
3
1
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
3-8
38%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
41.1
33.2
20
37%
11
2
0
1
1
4
4
7
2-3
67%
9-26
6-13
35%
51%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
40.3
24.4
15
55%
9
3
0
1
3
3
4
5
6-8
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
38.1
30.6
8
35%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
2-3
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-8
25%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
33.2
28.4
8
82%
8
2
1
1
2
4
1
7
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.0
18.4
13.6
6
51%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
56%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.4
13.1
20.0
5
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.1
6.9
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
4.1
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
3.0
11.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
0.2
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.5
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.