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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hornets33%103104
8Suns67%109124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
30.4
30.4
25
70%
0
6
4
2
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
4-7
57%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
28.9
17.7
8
32%
5
3
1
1
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
2-9
2-4
22%
42%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
27.9
31.4
10
46%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
25.8
27.4
13
74%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
3-4
75%
5-7
4-8
71%
53%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.4
22.8
24.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
22.3
19.6
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.8
20.3
18.3
11
94%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
3-3
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.7
17.9
16.1
8
103%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.2
15.4
8.8
10
73%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.4
13.3
10.9
7
41%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-6
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.1
8.0
14.8
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
7.1
15.5
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
33.6
30.9
13
66%
6
5
1
1
3
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.1
30.9
28.6
18
60%
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
8-13
5-9
62%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
26.6
33.6
13
67%
6
2
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
25.6
37.0
21
83%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
8-10
7-13
80%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.8
22.6
33.4
12
93%
1
10
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
53%
1-1
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
25.4
12.8
14
59%
7
7
1
0
0
6
3
4
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
22.4
12.5
7
79%
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
19.5
22.4
11
79%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
52%
3-3
100%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.0
16.5
21.7
11
62%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.8
9.3
5.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.9
4.8
3.6
2
36%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
2.9
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.6
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.