FinalWin Prob.pScore
1424%92
97
176%102
86
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
110.28878.4
BOS logo BOS
96.689101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS97
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLHorford Putback Layup (12 PTS)97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Bibby 1' Layup95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 294
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0BOSMISS Pierce 30' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup94
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 1:12BOSAllen 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)94
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 1:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)94
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 1:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)91
97.3%
84
2.7%
Q4 - 1:35BOSMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot91
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 1:47BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
94.0%
84
6.0%
Q4 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot91
94.8%
84
5.2%
Q4 - 2:12ATLHawks Rebound91
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 2:13BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 291
96.5%
84
3.5%
Q4 - 2:13BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)91
95.2%
84
4.8%
Q4 - 2:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 2:20ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.0%
83
3.0%
Q4 - 2:44BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)91
98.1%
83
1.9%
Q4 - 3:04ATLSmith 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)91
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 3:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 3:24BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 289
97.9%
80
2.1%
Q4 - 3:24BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 289
97.3%
80
2.7%
Q4 - 3:38ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
93.4%
80
6.6%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 288
93.1%
80
6.9%
Q4 - 4:00BOSPierce 2' Layup (20 PTS)88
94.0%
80
6.0%
Q4 - 4:14ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)88
95.8%
78
4.2%
Q4 - 4:36BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)88
97.2%
78
2.8%
Q4 - 4:44ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 4:44ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 287
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 5:00BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)87
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 5:01BOSCELTICS Rebound87
95.0%
76
5.0%
Q4 - 5:02BOSMISS Pierce 2' Layup87
96.0%
76
4.0%
Q4 - 5:08BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
95.0%
76
5.0%
Q4 - 5:09ATLMISS Crawford 24' Jump Shot87
95.5%
76
4.5%
Q4 - 5:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)87
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 5:31BOSMISS Pierce 22' Jump Shot87
96.2%
76
3.8%
Q4 - 5:56ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)87
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q4 - 6:08ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)84
87.5%
76
12.5%
Q4 - 6:22BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)83
84.0%
76
16.0%
Q4 - 6:33BOSCELTICS Rebound83
79.2%
76
20.8%
Q4 - 6:34ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot83
80.8%
76
19.2%
Q4 - 7:03BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)83
80.3%
76
19.7%
Q4 - 7:06ATLRondo STEAL (1 STL)83
84.0%
74
16.0%
Q4 - 7:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
87.8%
74
12.2%
Q4 - 7:26ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot83
85.4%
74
14.6%
Q4 - 7:42ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)83
87.9%
74
12.1%
Q4 - 7:42BOSPerkins 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)82
84.6%
74
15.4%
Q4 - 8:00BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
87.7%
72
12.3%
Q4 - 8:01ATLMISS Crawford 23' Jump Shot82
85.8%
72
14.2%
Q4 - 8:14BOSPerkins Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)82
87.9%
72
12.1%
Q4 - 8:22BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
85.0%
72
15.0%
Q4 - 8:22BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup82
87.1%
72
12.9%
Q4 - 8:34ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q4 - 8:34ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
84.3%
72
15.7%
Q4 - 8:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
81.5%
72
18.5%
Q4 - 8:51BOSMISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot80
80.3%
72
19.7%
Q4 - 9:05ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
74.2%
72
25.8%
Q4 - 9:17BOSWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T12)78
69.4%
72
30.6%
Q4 - 9:41ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)78
64.3%
72
35.7%
Q4 - 9:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
58.5%
72
41.5%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
54.5%
72
45.5%
Q4 - 10:06BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)76
56.0%
72
44.0%
Q4 - 10:29BOSCELTICS Rebound76
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q4 - 10:30ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot76
52.2%
72
47.8%
Q4 - 10:48BOSWallace 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)76
56.2%
72
43.8%
Q4 - 11:06ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)76
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q4 - 11:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
54.0%
70
46.0%
Q4 - 11:10ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
50.4%
70
49.6%
Q4 - 11:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
54.0%
70
46.0%
Q4 - 11:26BOSMISS House 21' Jump Shot74
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q4 - 11:45ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
48.9%
70
51.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS72
43.5%
70
56.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
37.8%
70
62.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot72
39.1%
70
60.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0BOSDaniels 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)72
42.3%
70
57.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot72
49.2%
68
50.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSDaniels 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)72
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
58.0%
66
42.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
57.3%
66
42.7%
Q3 - 1:05BOSShel. Williams 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)70
50.9%
66
49.1%
Q3 - 1:25ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
56.2%
64
43.8%
Q3 - 1:25ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 269
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 1:27BOSDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)69
55.9%
64
44.1%
Q3 - 1:35ATLShel. Williams STEAL (1 STL)69
51.4%
64
48.6%
Q3 - 1:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
55.9%
64
44.1%
Q3 - 1:46BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 2:07ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS)69
49.0%
64
51.0%
Q3 - 2:33BOSPerkins 1' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)67
44.4%
64
55.6%
Q3 - 2:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
49.2%
62
50.8%
Q3 - 2:49ATLHorford 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)67
49.2%
62
50.8%
Q3 - 2:50ATLMISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot65
41.3%
62
58.7%
Q3 - 3:00BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)65
44.5%
62
55.5%
Q3 - 3:22ATLCrawford 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
38.3%
62
61.7%
Q3 - 3:37ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)63
34.4%
62
65.6%
Q3 - 3:38BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
33.1%
62
66.9%
Q3 - 3:50ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)63
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 4:04BOSAllen 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)60
23.5%
62
76.5%
Q3 - 4:24ATLSmith 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)60
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 4:28ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 4:30BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot58
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 4:45ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)58
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 4:59BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 4:59BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 4:59BOSCELTICS Rebound56
20.0%
58
80.0%
Q3 - 4:59BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q3 - 5:04BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 5:05BOSMISS Rondo 15' Jump Shot56
22.0%
58
78.0%
Q3 - 5:27BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 5:28ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot56
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 5:50BOSAllen 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
23.0%
58
77.0%
Q3 - 6:08ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)56
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q3 - 6:14ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
19.9%
56
80.1%
Q3 - 6:14ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot53
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 6:38BOSPierce 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)53
19.9%
56
80.1%
Q3 - 6:53ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)53
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 6:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q3 - 6:59BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup50
16.7%
54
83.3%
Q3 - 7:17ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 7:17ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
14.8%
54
85.2%
Q3 - 7:36BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 7:36BOSPerkins 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)48
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 7:37BOSMISS Garnett 1' Alley Oop Layup48
16.6%
52
83.4%
Q3 - 7:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q3 - 7:43ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup48
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q3 - 7:48ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 7:49ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot48
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q3 - 7:54BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 7:54BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
18.1%
51
81.9%
Q3 - 8:07BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q3 - 8:08ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot48
20.1%
50
79.9%
Q3 - 8:19BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)48
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q3 - 8:19BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q3 - 8:37ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)48
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q3 - 8:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)45
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q3 - 8:45ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot45
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 8:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q3 - 8:51BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
18.8%
48
81.2%
Q3 - 9:09ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
17.1%
48
82.9%
Q3 - 9:29BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P3.T8)43
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q3 - 9:40ATLJohnson 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)43
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q3 - 10:02BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q3 - 10:02BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q3 - 10:05BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q3 - 10:06ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot41
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q3 - 10:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q3 - 10:28BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 141
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q3 - 10:40BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q3 - 10:40ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q3 - 10:49ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q3 - 10:51BOSMISS Perkins 3' Hook Shot41
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q3 - 11:10BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q3 - 11:12ATLMISS Horford 11' Jump Shot41
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q3 - 11:38BOSGarnett 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)41
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS41
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound41
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 38' 3PT Jump Shot41
22.9%
42
77.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot41
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSMISS Perkins Tip Shot41
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot41
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLWilliams 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)41
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 1:06BOSPerkins Slam Dunk (6 PTS)39
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 1:25BOSCELTICS Rebound39
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 1:27ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot39
21.9%
40
78.1%
Q2 - 1:49BOSPierce 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)39
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 1:54BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 1:55ATLMISS Smith 2' Putback Layup39
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 1:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 1:58ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup39
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 2:12BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)39
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 2:32ATLJohnson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)39
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 2:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 2:38BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup37
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 3:02ATLJohnson 10' Pullup Bank Shot (8 PTS)37
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 3:15BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P2.T7)35
23.0%
36
77.0%
Q2 - 3:34ATLHorford 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)35
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 3:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q2 - 3:47BOSMISS Perkins 2' Layup33
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 4:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 4:05ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot33
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 4:16BOSAllen 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)33
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 4:24BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 4:25ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot33
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 4:42ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 4:43BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot33
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 4:52ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P3.T10)33
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 4:58BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 5:10ATLSmith 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)33
20.3%
34
79.7%
Q2 - 5:29BOSPierce 21' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
18.4%
34
81.6%
Q2 - 5:50ATLJohnson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
20.3%
32
79.7%
Q2 - 6:09BOSDaniels Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)29
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 6:13BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 6:15ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 6:29ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 6:30BOSMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 6:48ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 6:48ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 228
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 7:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 7:02BOSMISS House 21' Jump Shot28
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 7:21ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)28
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 7:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 7:25BOSMISS Shel. Williams 1' Layup28
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 7:35BOSShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 7:35ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot28
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 7:55BOSHouse 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)28
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 8:02ATLWallace STEAL (1 STL)28
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 8:18BOSDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 8:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q2 - 8:27ATLSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS)28
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q2 - 8:30ATLWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)26
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q2 - 8:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 8:35ATLMISS Teague Layup26
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q2 - 8:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 8:40BOSMISS Shel. Williams 2' Driving Layup26
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 8:52ATLCrawford Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)26
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 8:54ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q2 - 8:56BOSMISS Daniels 1' Layup26
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 9:13BOSShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q2 - 9:13BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 9:30ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q2 - 9:42BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q2 - 10:02ATLCrawford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)26
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q2 - 10:04ATLHawks Rebound24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 10:07ATLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)24
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q2 - 10:12ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 10:14BOSMISS Shel. Williams 1' Hook Shot24
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q2 - 10:38BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 10:38BOSMISS House 3PT Jump Shot24
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q2 - 10:45ATLHouse STEAL (1 STL)24
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 10:59BOSWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 11:24ATLCrawford Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)24
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q2 - 11:36BOSShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound24
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
26.6%
21
73.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLTeague Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)24
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0BOSDaniels 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)24
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw Technical24
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:01BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 1:02ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot24
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 1:28BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 1:45BOSCELTICS Rebound24
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 1:45ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot24
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:55ATLHawks Rebound24
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 1:55ATLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)24
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 1:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup24
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 2:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot24
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 2:26BOSWallace 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 2:47ATLPachulia 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)24
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 2:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 2:50ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot22
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 3:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 3:07BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 122
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 3:20ATLPachulia 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)22
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 3:35ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical20
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 3:47BOSGarnett 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)20
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 4:01ATLWilliams 20' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 4:23BOSPierce 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)18
32.6%
12
67.4%
Q1 - 4:47ATLWilliams 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)18
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 5:16BOSPerkins Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)16
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 5:35ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 5:56BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)14
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 6:22ATLBibby 20' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 6:33BOSRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 6:42ATLGarnett STEAL (2 STL)12
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:03BOSPerkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 7:18ATLHorford 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 7:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 7:36BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 7:51ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 8:06BOSPerkins 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)8
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 8:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 8:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 8:29BOSPierce 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 8:41ATLSmith 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)6
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 8:55BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 9:03ATLGarnett STEAL (1 STL)4
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 9:17BOSGarnett Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)4
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 9:36BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 9:37ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot4
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 9:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 9:52BOSMISS Pierce 4' Jump Shot4
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 9:59BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 10:01ATLPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)4
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 10:17BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 10:42ATLHorford 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:48ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 10:50BOSMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot2
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:09ATLHorford 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:11ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:12ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:15ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:25BOSMISS Perkins 4' Jump Shot0
20.0%
0
80.0%
Q1 - 11:43BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
20.4%
0
79.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.6%
BOS
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
18
30
60%
BOS
24
39
62%
Midrange
ATL
16
39
41%
BOS
11
19
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
BOS
1
1.5
15
7%
10%
Free Throws
ATL
17
23
74%
BOS
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2455%12.0 / 22
J. Crawford1850%9.0 / 18
J. Smith1450%7.0 / 14
M. Bibby1359%6.5 / 11
A. Horford1267%6.0 / 9
M. Williams643%3.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
J. Smith450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans0-0.0 / 2
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2460%12.0 / 20
K. Garnett1464%7.0 / 11
K. Perkins1454%7.0 / 13
R. Allen1063%5.0 / 8
M. Daniels975%4.5 / 6
R. Wallace750%3.5 / 7
R. Rondo440%2.0 / 5
E. House220%1.0 / 5
S. Williams225%1.0 / 4
L. Hudson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
75
+19
-13
94
BOS
74
+9
-15
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.03 51.6%
BOS
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
107.5
ATL 110.2
BOS 96.6 +13.6
Pace
89.9
91.9
ATL 78.4
BOS 101.5 +23.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.5
ATL 18.4
BOS 14.2 +4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
52.2%
ATL 47.6%
BOS 50.0% +2.4%
TO %
12.7%
15.2%
ATL 12.1% +3.5%
BOS 15.6%
ORB %
28.3%
22.9%
ATL 41.0% +24.8%
BOS 16.2%
FTrt
28.1
33.2
ATL 27.4 +1.4
BOS 26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
63.5%
ATL 50.0%
BOS 55.6% +5.6%
STL %
8.0%
9.3%
ATL 8.0% +1.3%
BOS 6.7%
BLK %
7.9%
8.0%
ATL 10.3% +4.5%
BOS 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
54.7%
ATL 51.6%
BOS 51.8% +0.2%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.6%
ATL 60.0%
BOS 61.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%
40.6%
42.8%
ATL 41.0%
BOS 57.9% +16.9%
3P %
36.0%
34.8%
ATL 26.7% +20.0%
BOS 6.7%
FT %
75.9%
74.6%
ATL 73.9% +5.5%
BOS 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
38.9%
ATL 35.7%
BOS 53.4% +17.7%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
38.3%
ATL 46.4%
BOS 26.0% +20.4%
3P Att. %
21.4%
22.8%
ATL 17.9%
BOS 20.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLBOS
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points9786
Rebounds4729
Assists1920
Steals76
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)23 (4)
Field Goals38-8436-73
At-the-Rim FG18-3024-39
Midrange FG16-3911-19
2-Point FG34-6935-58
3-Point FG4-151-15
Free Throws17-2313-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
40.5
24
55%
7
3
1
0
3
2
0
7
5-6
83%
8-18
44%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
36.6
13
59%
4
6
0
0
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
35.2
14
50%
7
2
1
3
1
3
4
3
2-4
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
33.0
12
67%
13
3
3
1
3
4
4
9
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
22.7
6
43%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
27.8
18
50%
1
2
0
0
3
0
0
1
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
14.5
6
60%
4
0
1
0
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34
13.4
4
50%
6
0
0
2
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
10.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 21
4.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
47
19
7
6
13
0
16
31
17-23
74%
34-69
49%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.