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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers32%9979
3Nuggets68%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.0
36.8
29.2
19
66%
15
0
0
0
1
3
4
11
3-3
100%
8-13
6-11
62%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.2
33.7
33.9
19
51%
3
2
1
1
0
4
2
1
4-4
100%
6-14
9-18
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.0
30.2
30.6
14
46%
8
3
0
1
1
1
3
5
3-7
43%
4-9
3-6
44%
51%
1-3
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
24.7
30.2
11
50%
3
6
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
3-6
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.3
23.4
23.0
0
0%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
25.4
15.5
2
13%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
13.2
20.2
8
67%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
13.2
19.2
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.3
12.0
7.5
2
17%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-1
33%
39%
0-2
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
11.3
12.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.7
9.9
10.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
6.3
13.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.9
35.9
28.9
10
43%
9
5
2
1
1
1
2
7
6-6
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
50%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
33.4
20.8
8
75%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
29.6
37.8
25
59%
4
2
3
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
11-19
9-18
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.1
26.3
33.3
6
31%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
23.9
34.8
13
70%
6
4
0
1
1
0
0
6
3-3
100%
5-8
5-8
63%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.4
23.5
21.0
8
46%
11
0
0
0
1
0
6
5
2-4
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
54%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
23.3
21.5
20
59%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
4-10
40%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.0
21.7
21.0
13
74%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.8
6.3
2.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.4
5.9
7.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.3
5.1
6.7
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
5.1
2.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.