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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics70%100104
22Pacers30%93113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
36.0
35.4
24
57%
5
4
2
1
0
3
1
4
6-7
86%
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.1
34.3
34.6
15
54%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
6-9
67%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
1-2
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.7
32.8
32.7
10
42%
2
4
2
2
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.5
29.3
30.2
15
66%
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-1
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.0
28.4
27.8
11
51%
13
0
0
0
2
1
3
10
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
57%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.9
20.3
19.2
9
46%
2
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.2
18.9
21.4
4
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
17.8
14.3
10
74%
9
1
0
0
1
1
4
5
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.5
15.5
15.3
4
40%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
4.7
5.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
1.0
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
1.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.1
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.8
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
38.0
38.5
29
76%
6
4
3
1
1
1
1
5
7-7
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
47%
6-9
67%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
36.5
29.9
10
56%
8
1
1
1
2
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-2
100%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
33.2
34.4
25
58%
4
4
0
1
1
3
0
4
11-15
73%
7-14
4-10
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.4
31.4
30.9
12
72%
2
7
0
1
2
0
1
1
3-3
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.9
29.6
25.4
11
70%
2
4
2
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
5-6
5-10
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
20.0
16.0
4
40%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.6
17.9
14.4
10
56%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
14.8
18.9
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.0
14.2
15.5
7
51%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.7
4.5
2.7
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
8.0
0
1-1
40%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.7
3.1
0
0-0
42%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.5
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.