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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Nets17%8780
13Heat83%10081
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.7
43.8
37.3
17
56%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
7-7
100%
5-12
3-8
42%
44%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.6
41.3
34.5
17
45%
9
1
0
1
3
3
3
6
1-2
50%
8-18
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.3
36.5
39.0
10
51%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
4-9
14%
40%
2-2
100%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.4
26.9
33.8
8
34%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-7
5-11
14%
41%
2-4
50%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.0
26.4
16.4
0
0%
6
2
1
0
0
1
3
3
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
35.6
16.2
16
63%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
0-2
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
14.8
10.7
12
86%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-7
1-2
86%
48%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.3
14.7
14.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
29.5
1
2-4
44%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
11.0
0
1-3
45%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.7
8.2
0
1-3
46%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.1
7.7
0
1-2
40%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.3
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.8
42.1
37.7
22
55%
8
6
6
2
2
3
1
7
5-7
71%
7-12
9-16
58%
53%
1-5
20%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
32.4
14.1
2
20%
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
28.0
33.4
7
20%
8
3
2
1
1
0
5
3
1-2
50%
3-14
6-12
21%
50%
0-3
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
23.3
29.8
13
81%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
4.8
32.8
0
0%
0
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
38.6
25.5
28
64%
12
2
0
0
0
1
4
8
4-4
100%
12-20
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
37.2
13.7
7
32%
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-9
1-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.5
26.8
9.4
2
17%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
5.3
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
1.6
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
12.8
0
1-3
50%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.