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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Warriors34%104125
21Bucks66%109129
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
38.8
34.2
21
53%
5
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
8-13
4-10
62%
44%
0-4
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
31.6
38.9
26
65%
3
4
2
2
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
8-15
9-17
53%
49%
3-4
75%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
21.2
29.5
2
25%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.0
19.1
15.5
13
101%
1
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
6-6
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
3.0
34.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
5-10
-
48%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
34.4
17.5
5
50%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
25.9
16.7
14
78%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
2-2
100%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.8
24.4
7.2
8
69%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
21.8
21.9
25
84%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
9-9
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
2-3
67%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.3
19.9
18.6
11
64%
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
5-6
83%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
8.2
0
1-2
58%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.8
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.1
40.7
32.8
55
73%
5
5
0
1
0
4
1
4
6-8
75%
14-26
7-14
54%
47%
7-8
88%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
38.5
30.6
14
63%
4
6
1
1
0
1
3
1
4-5
80%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
37.8
29.0
8
68%
12
3
2
1
0
3
5
7
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
32.6
33.5
19
65%
11
2
0
1
1
3
3
8
1-6
17%
9-12
7-12
75%
56%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
12.1
25.6
3
39%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
36.1
13.6
13
60%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
16.4
15.7
8
40%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
2-5
40%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
13.7
19.8
9
49%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
5-5
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
5.7
2.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
3.4
4.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
3.0
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
18.8
1
1-3
45%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.