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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Thunder22%88101
4Spurs78%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
41.6
36.1
25
51%
5
1
1
1
1
4
1
4
13-15
87%
6-16
7-14
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
41.4
28.3
7
51%
5
1
4
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
38.9
30.6
21
51%
11
0
0
1
2
2
2
9
4-4
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
1-6
17%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
35.3
29.9
19
61%
5
11
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-6
67%
6-12
4-10
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
30.7
25.5
11
46%
7
0
2
0
3
1
4
3
1-2
50%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
19.9
19.5
8
55%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
12.9
20.9
6
100%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
12.8
17.6
2
114%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
6.7
13.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.7
8.0
0
1-1
49%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
7.1
0
1-2
46%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
3.5
0
1-1
46%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
36.8
31.2
22
70%
10
3
0
1
2
2
3
7
4-4
100%
9-14
6-13
64%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.4
35.1
35.5
4
41%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
31.5
21.2
17
42%
5
5
0
1
0
4
0
5
3-5
60%
7-16
5-10
44%
52%
0-2
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.5
16.9
23.6
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
13.6
18.6
7
64%
1
1
0
1
1
3
1
0
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
32.0
31.0
18
70%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
19.5
23.6
10
74%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-4
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.3
18.1
28.9
7
32%
4
6
2
1
0
2
0
4
7-7
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
17.4
11.8
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
15.6
26.3
5
50%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
3.5
18.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.