Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks58%99115
22Bucks42%97113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.4
42.9
35.4
32
56%
11
3
2
1
1
0
0
11
7-8
88%
11-23
8-16
48%
49%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.1
40.4
23.3
22
72%
14
0
0
1
0
1
4
10
4-5
80%
9-13
4-10
69%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.7
39.8
32.0
9
64%
10
17
2
2
0
5
2
8
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
3-4
75%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
24.1
12.8
12
61%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-7
2-3
57%
45%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.5
14.3
29.9
6
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
5-10
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
37.4
30.1
19
57%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
5-6
83%
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
2-6
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
26.8
22.4
11
69%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.5
20.4
15.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
16.4
11.4
4
58%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
2.5
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.3
15.4
0
2-3
60%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.2
2.6
0
0-0
42%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.7
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.1
39.4
35.9
25
49%
7
8
1
1
1
2
1
6
5-8
63%
4-13
7-16
31%
43%
4-9
44%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
39.1
32.4
13
50%
6
1
2
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
6-12
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
20.9
34.1
3
50%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
17.1
10.5
9
57%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
12.2
18.1
6
43%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
42.4
32.9
13
53%
6
3
0
1
1
1
3
3
2-3
67%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
34.3
25.6
17
61%
3
6
4
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
44%
3-4
75%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
32.9
16.3
19
68%
12
2
2
0
0
3
3
9
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
4-7
57%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
12.8
15.9
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
9.4
6.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
4.5
4.4
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.