FinalWin Prob.pScore
2338%89
100
1662%93
87
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
114.98788.4
MIA logo MIA
98.98886.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0OKCKrstic 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)100
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAAnthony Dunk (3 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)98
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)97
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05OKCMISS Durant 16' Jump Shot96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 1:38OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)96
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 1:56OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 1:57OKCMISS Durant 21' Fadeaway Jumper93
97.7%
85
2.3%
Q4 - 2:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 2:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHEAT Rebound93
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:31OKCWade STEAL (4 STL)93
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:34OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 293
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHEAT Rebound93
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:36OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Shot93
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 2:49OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 3:01OKCDurant 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (32 PTS)93
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)91
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound91
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 3:28OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 3:52MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T15)91
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 4:00OKCKrstic 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)91
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIACook 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
98.0%
79
2.0%
Q4 - 4:32OKCWestbrook 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)89
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 4:56MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)87
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)87
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Haslem Layup87
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 5:16OKCMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot87
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIAChalmers 16' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)87
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 6:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 6:08OKCMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q4 - 6:26OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 6:40OKCWestbrook 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)84
96.2%
72
3.8%
Q4 - 7:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q4 - 7:25OKCMISS Sefolosha 22' Jump Shot84
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 7:47MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 8:09OKCWestbrook 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
98.2%
67
1.8%
Q4 - 8:26OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (30 PTS)82
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q4 - 8:48OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Beasley Layup81
96.8%
67
3.2%
Q4 - 9:12OKCDurant 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)81
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q4 - 9:27MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
93.8%
67
6.2%
Q4 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 9:50OKCMISS Sefolosha 19' Jump Shot79
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q4 - 10:09MIACook Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)79
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIACook Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)79
95.2%
64
4.8%
Q4 - 10:09MIACook Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)79
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q4 - 10:19MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q4 - 10:20OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.1%
62
2.9%
Q4 - 10:27OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q4 - 10:28OKCBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)79
97.1%
62
2.9%
Q4 - 10:47MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)79
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q4 - 11:09OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)79
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q4 - 11:24MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)76
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
96.2%
59
3.8%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot76
96.7%
59
3.3%
Q4 - 11:47OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
96.2%
59
3.8%
Q4 - 11:47OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)75
96.0%
59
4.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
95.3%
59
4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 33' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)74
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)73
93.2%
59
6.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
91.9%
59
8.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
92.2%
58
7.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)71
93.2%
57
6.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P6.T13)70
91.9%
57
8.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0OKCO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)70
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)70
91.9%
57
8.1%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
92.6%
55
7.4%
Q3 - 1:09OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot70
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 1:26OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
93.7%
55
6.3%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
93.4%
55
6.6%
Q3 - 1:46OKCCollison Layup (7 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)70
92.6%
55
7.4%
Q3 - 2:02MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
89.7%
55
10.3%
Q3 - 2:29OKCWestbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)68
91.4%
53
8.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)65
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 3:08OKCKrstic 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)65
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q3 - 3:20OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
88.8%
50
11.2%
Q3 - 3:21OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot63
87.4%
50
12.6%
Q3 - 3:35OKCThunder Rebound63
88.8%
50
11.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 3:53MIAHEAT Rebound63
86.8%
50
13.2%
Q3 - 3:54OKCMISS Green 21' Jump Shot63
87.4%
50
12.6%
Q3 - 4:02MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)63
88.0%
50
12.0%
Q3 - 4:18OKCDurant Layup (20 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)63
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 4:23MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
83.9%
50
16.1%
Q3 - 4:41OKCWestbrook 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
80.9%
50
19.1%
Q3 - 4:49OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
78.6%
50
21.4%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot59
77.5%
50
22.5%
Q3 - 5:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
73.3%
50
26.7%
Q3 - 5:07OKCO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)59
74.4%
50
25.6%
Q3 - 5:17OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot59
75.8%
50
24.2%
Q3 - 5:43OKCKrstic Layup (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)59
73.4%
50
26.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIAO'Neal Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
69.1%
50
30.9%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q3 - 6:10OKCWade BLOCK (2 BLK)57
73.2%
48
26.8%
Q3 - 6:34OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
75.6%
48
24.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q3 - 6:54OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
72.2%
48
27.8%
Q3 - 6:54OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
71.6%
48
28.4%
Q3 - 6:59OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot55
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q3 - 7:17OKCWestbrook 12' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)55
63.7%
48
36.3%
Q3 - 7:32OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
60.4%
48
39.6%
Q3 - 7:33OKCMISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot53
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q3 - 7:38OKCThunder Rebound53
60.4%
48
39.6%
Q3 - 7:39OKCWade BLOCK (1 BLK)53
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q3 - 7:45OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
60.4%
48
39.6%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot53
59.2%
48
40.8%
Q3 - 8:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q3 - 8:04OKCMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
56.8%
48
43.2%
Q3 - 8:16MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)53
59.6%
48
40.4%
Q3 - 8:34OKCDurant 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)53
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)51
51.5%
48
48.5%
Q3 - 9:28OKCSefolosha Driving Dunk (2 PTS)51
55.2%
46
44.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)49
51.6%
46
48.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q3 - 9:36OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q3 - 9:45OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
51.6%
46
48.4%
Q3 - 9:46OKCMISS Durant 18' Turnaround Jump Shot49
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q3 - 10:05MIAChalmers Driving Layup (5 PTS)49
50.9%
46
49.1%
Q3 - 10:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
54.4%
44
45.6%
Q3 - 10:15OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
55.5%
44
44.5%
Q3 - 10:33OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
58.0%
44
42.0%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q3 - 11:00OKCGreen Layup (13 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)49
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q3 - 11:06OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
50.4%
44
49.6%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot47
49.3%
44
50.7%
Q3 - 11:28OKCGreen 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)47
46.8%
44
53.2%
Q3 - 11:40OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 145
43.0%
44
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P4.T9)45
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)45
49.6%
42
50.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0OKCMISS Durant 10' Running Jump Shot45
54.5%
40
45.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
57.0%
39
43.0%
Q2 - 1:04OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
59.8%
38
40.2%
Q2 - 1:04OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)43
55.7%
38
44.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
53.3%
38
46.7%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q2 - 1:37OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P2.T8)43
53.3%
38
46.7%
Q2 - 1:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
55.7%
38
44.3%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 243
56.4%
37
43.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Cook Free Throw Technical43
56.6%
37
43.4%
Q2 - 2:10OKCGreen 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)43
55.3%
37
44.7%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)41
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 2:39OKCMISS Durant 22' Jump Shot41
50.0%
37
50.0%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 2:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 2:54OKCMISS Green 22' Jump Shot41
50.0%
37
50.0%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
52.7%
36
47.3%
Q2 - 3:28OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
54.6%
35
45.4%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
52.1%
35
47.9%
Q2 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
54.6%
33
45.4%
Q2 - 3:51OKCMISS Krstic 20' Jump Shot39
55.8%
33
44.2%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade Dunk (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)39
57.2%
33
42.8%
Q2 - 4:11OKCCook STEAL (1 STL)39
60.0%
31
40.0%
Q2 - 4:22OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
63.2%
31
36.8%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 139
62.7%
31
37.3%
Q2 - 4:26MIAHEAT Rebound39
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk39
67.8%
29
32.2%
Q2 - 4:46OKCDurant 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 5:03MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
62.4%
29
37.6%
Q2 - 5:15MIAHEAT Rebound37
65.2%
27
34.8%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot37
67.1%
27
32.9%
Q2 - 5:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
65.3%
27
34.7%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper37
67.1%
27
32.9%
Q2 - 5:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
65.3%
27
34.7%
Q2 - 5:44OKCMISS Westbrook Layup37
66.1%
27
33.9%
Q2 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
67.9%
27
32.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q2 - 6:11OKCWestbrook 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
66.7%
26
33.3%
Q2 - 6:19OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
64.6%
26
35.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
63.6%
26
36.4%
Q2 - 6:33MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
61.4%
26
38.6%
Q2 - 6:34OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)35
64.6%
26
35.4%
Q2 - 7:15OKCCollison Tip Shot (5 PTS)35
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q2 - 7:16OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q2 - 7:17OKCMISS Green 13' Turnaround Jump Shot33
61.7%
24
38.3%
Q2 - 7:36MIAO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q2 - 8:03OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q2 - 8:03OKCGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
64.4%
22
35.6%
Q2 - 8:17MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)31
62.4%
22
37.6%
Q2 - 8:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q2 - 8:21OKCMISS Ollie Layup31
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q2 - 8:28MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)31
69.8%
19
30.2%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q2 - 8:44OKCMISS Ollie Reverse Layup31
68.2%
19
31.8%
Q2 - 9:09MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
68.8%
19
31.2%
Q2 - 9:28OKCHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
71.0%
17
29.0%
Q2 - 9:48OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot28
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q2 - 10:06OKCThomas Dunk (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)28
63.3%
17
36.7%
Q2 - 10:21OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
61.1%
17
38.9%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot26
60.3%
17
39.7%
Q2 - 10:39MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
58.4%
17
41.6%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot26
60.3%
17
39.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
58.4%
17
41.6%
Q2 - 10:52OKCMISS Ollie 20' Jump Shot26
59.3%
17
40.7%
Q2 - 11:10MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
60.4%
17
39.6%
Q2 - 11:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q2 - 11:26OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 226
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q2 - 11:26OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q2 - 11:39OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
58.0%
17
42.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCDurant Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)25
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)24
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)23
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)22
50.4%
17
49.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 221
46.5%
17
53.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0OKCThomas 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)21
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot19
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0OKCHarden Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)19
42.5%
16
57.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 1:06OKCCollison 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)19
42.3%
16
57.7%
Q1 - 1:22MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 1:27MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 1:28OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 1:53OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.3%
16
60.7%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 217
39.1%
16
60.9%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
37.5%
16
62.5%
Q1 - 1:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 1:59OKCMISS Collison 21' Jump Shot17
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 2:05OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 2:07OKCMISS Thomas 7' Turnaround Jump Shot17
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 2:24OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot17
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 2:52OKCDurant 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 3:08MIARichardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 3:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 3:30OKCWade STEAL (3 STL)15
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 3:41OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot15
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 4:04OKCDurant Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)15
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 4:11OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Running Hook Shot13
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 4:34OKCWade STEAL (2 STL)13
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 4:38OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 5:00OKCDurant 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:01OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 5:02OKCMISS Durant 7' Running Jump Shot11
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 5:20MIAWade Layup (4 PTS)11
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 5:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal Layup11
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 5:34OKCMISS Green 23' Jump Shot11
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 5:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 6:08OKCGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)11
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 6:28MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)8
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 6:42OKCMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)8
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 7:17OKCDurant 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
36.3%
7
63.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 7:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 26
38.1%
5
61.9%
Q1 - 7:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 7:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot6
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:58OKCDurant 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 8:04OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot4
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 8:19OKCWestbrook 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 8:27OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot2
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 8:47OKCKrstic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)2
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 9:17OKCMISS Green Layup0
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 9:24OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup0
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 9:46OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:08MIARichardson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 10:25MIAHEAT Rebound0
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 10:26OKCMISS Durant 22' Jump Shot0
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 10:35OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Green: Tip to Chalmers0
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 11:06OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:11OKCWade STEAL (1 STL)0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:13OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:36OKCMISS Green 22' Jump Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Green: Tip to Westbrook0
35.7%
0
64.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
13
18
72%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
OKC
19
45
42%
MIA
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
OKC
21
22
95%
MIA
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3262%16.0 / 26
R. Westbrook2480%12.0 / 15
J. Green1341%6.5 / 16
N. Krstic1071%5.0 / 7
N. Collison1083%5.0 / 6
J. Harden563%2.5 / 4
E. Thomas467%2.0 / 3
T. Sefolosha217%1.0 / 6
K. Ollie0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2244%11.0 / 25
J. O'Neal1956%9.5 / 17
D. Cook1771%8.5 / 12
M. Beasley844%4.0 / 9
M. Chalmers758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem531%2.5 / 8
C. Arroyo4100%2.0 / 2
J. Anthony375%1.5 / 2
Q. Richardson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
76
+10
-11
86
MIA
73
+14
-15
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.16 58.1%
MIA
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.7
OKC 114.9
MIA 98.9 +16.1
Pace
93.3
89.6
OKC 88.4 +1.8
MIA 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
OKC 16.3 +0.3
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
49.6%
OKC 51.3% +4.8%
MIA 46.5%
TO %
15.1%
13.6%
OKC 11.3% +3.7%
MIA 15.0%
ORB %
28.6%
26.0%
OKC 25.0% +3.0%
MIA 22.0%
FTrt
33.3
29.6
OKC 28.6
MIA 41.7 +13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.5%
51.9%
OKC 51.4%
MIA 54.8% +3.4%
STL %
8.5%
8.1%
OKC 12.6% +5.8%
MIA 6.8%
BLK %
9.1%
9.4%
OKC 5.6%
MIA 6.3% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.1%
OKC 58.1% +8.7%
MIA 49.4%
Rim FG%
59.3%
62.0%
OKC 72.2% +6.8%
MIA 65.4%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.8%
OKC 42.2% +10.1%
MIA 32.1%
3P %
34.0%
34.6%
OKC 35.7% +7.9%
MIA 27.8%
FT %
80.5%
75.2%
OKC 95.5% +28.8%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
29.8%
OKC 23.4%
MIA 36.1% +12.7%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
48.3%
OKC 58.4%
MIA 38.9% +19.6%
3P Att. %
18.5%
21.9%
OKC 18.2%
MIA 25.0% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points10087
Rebounds4136
Assists1917
Steals116
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)27 (5)
Field Goals37-7731-72
At-the-Rim FG13-1817-26
Midrange FG19-459-28
2-Point FG32-6326-54
3-Point FG5-145-18
Free Throws21-2220-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 21
39.6
32
62%
9
5
1
1
4
2
1
8
9-9
100%
10-21
48%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
34.7
2
17%
9
4
4
0
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
33.5
24
80%
1
7
1
1
2
3
0
1
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 235 · 23
31.6
13
41%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-10
30%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
29.6
10
71%
8
0
0
0
0
4
3
5
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 29
23.9
10
83%
6
0
0
0
0
5
3
3
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 32
16.5
4
67%
4
0
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 37
14.5
0
0%
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 220 · 20
14.3
5
63%
2
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 20
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 201 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#14 · G · 6'7" 192 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'9" 218 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · C · 7'0" 275 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
58%
41
19
11
3
11
0
9
32
21-22
95%
32-63
51%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.