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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Suns61%108103
24Hornets39%105110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.0
42.9
34.5
23
70%
5
1
2
1
2
5
1
4
7-10
70%
8-12
7-13
67%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.8
35.3
33.2
13
60%
3
10
2
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.1
33.6
29.0
10
42%
6
3
1
1
1
0
3
3
1-2
50%
3-8
4-9
38%
51%
1-3
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
33.0
32.0
16
57%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
27.9
26.9
11
35%
10
2
0
1
2
0
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
1-7
14%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
27.6
20.9
17
108%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
5-6
83%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.0
17.4
17.7
11
46%
2
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
12.7
12.2
1
17%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
4.9
16.2
1
57%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.0
4.7
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.8
5.9
0
1-2
49%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.8
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.6
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
36.2
30.5
13
60%
12
0
2
1
1
2
7
5
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
35.9
24.6
19
52%
6
5
0
1
0
3
1
5
1-3
33%
6-12
2-5
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.4
35.5
26.4
25
66%
13
1
0
1
0
1
5
8
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
7-11
64%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.2
32.3
20.9
15
43%
5
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
6-6
100%
3-14
4-8
21%
47%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
28.9
35.0
6
25%
4
5
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-11
7-14
18%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
23.9
12.9
6
34%
7
2
3
0
1
3
3
4
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
20.2
18.6
19
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
3-4
75%
5-7
3-5
71%
48%
2-5
40%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.8
16.1
23.1
7
127%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
11.2
17.2
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
11.1
0
1-2
45%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
6.2
0
1-2
51%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
5.9
0
1-1
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.