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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 19, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Jazz40%9590
13Spurs60%9983
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
41.5
29.2
13
44%
2
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
1-4
25%
6-13
4-7
46%
53%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
38.9
31.9
21
66%
3
9
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
4-5
80%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
37.6
36.9
18
46%
11
5
0
1
0
1
2
9
4-4
100%
7-18
7-14
39%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
20.3
27.0
5
43%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
11.3
13.0
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
37.2
27.1
20
70%
7
0
0
1
1
1
4
3
4-5
80%
8-12
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
33.1
32.4
13
49%
8
4
3
1
1
0
0
8
3-3
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.4
16.2
24.2
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
3.8
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
16.2
0
2-5
47%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
6.9
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
3.6
0
0-1
43%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.4
38.7
35.6
16
58%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
38.5
35.3
21
60%
9
5
1
1
1
3
3
6
7-8
88%
7-13
7-15
54%
50%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.5
30.4
31.1
18
48%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.5
25.3
14.6
4
33%
7
3
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
13.0
2.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
23.3
23.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
20.8
25.9
6
60%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
20.1
17.4
12
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
11.1
22.4
3
39%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
10.3
5.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
8.7
10.2
3
52%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.0
5.4
0
1-2
52%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.