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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bucks52%102103
27Grizzlies48%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
39.8
29.8
19
60%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
5-11
45%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
33.1
25.4
18
71%
12
3
0
1
0
3
2
10
4-6
67%
4-4
3-6
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
31.5
36.4
26
58%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
9-10
90%
7-13
7-15
54%
46%
1-5
20%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
11.3
31.1
3
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
9.1
11.1
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
33.3
23.0
13
50%
4
12
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
6-12
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
30.6
11.7
8
50%
10
2
3
0
2
3
1
9
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
22.8
12.9
4
34%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
18.9
23.1
8
58%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
9.6
1.6
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
21.4
1
2-5
46%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
41.9
38.0
24
57%
10
3
0
1
1
4
3
7
7-7
100%
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
1-4
25%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
41.2
35.0
15
37%
6
3
3
1
1
3
0
6
3-5
60%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-6
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
36.3
34.0
14
72%
14
2
0
1
2
4
4
10
2-4
50%
6-8
5-9
75%
55%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
35.6
34.0
18
84%
6
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
4-4
100%
7-9
7-14
78%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
30.5
22.7
11
56%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
21.5
20.1
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-5
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
17.9
18.3
3
32%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
15.2
15.7
13
69%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.7
12.2
1
1-2
42%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
8.4
0
1-2
53%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
3.9
0
0-1
57%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.5
1.8
0
0-0
51%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.