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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks56%10388
24Hornets44%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.4
42.3
40.2
14
38%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
5-13
7-15
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.0
37.1
30.7
14
45%
10
7
1
1
3
0
2
8
6-8
75%
4-12
5-11
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.4
35.5
33.5
17
53%
6
0
1
1
2
2
5
1
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
47%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
30.3
32.4
10
50%
11
2
1
1
1
1
5
6
0-0
-
5-10
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.5
5.0
33.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
39.2
28.3
20
46%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
45%
2-9
22%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.8
17.7
15.8
8
49%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
4-5
80%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.0
16.7
7.7
5
34%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.3
10.9
7.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.4
5.3
6.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.9
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.0
0.7
0
0-0
36%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
34.3
32.1
12
30%
10
1
0
1
4
0
5
5
0-0
-
6-20
6-12
30%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.2
34.2
25.1
22
75%
2
11
0
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
6-11
4-10
55%
45%
2-2
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
33.3
32.1
4
30%
10
0
0
1
3
0
3
7
0-6
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
25.2
29.8
17
66%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
5-7
71%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
21.7
28.8
1
10%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
26.3
19.1
21
64%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
7-13
3-5
54%
48%
2-3
67%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
25.2
19.9
8
100%
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
14.1
12.5
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
13.8
14.5
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
11.9
17.2
6
44%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
7.9
0
1-1
45%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
4.5
0
1-1
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.