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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Magic53%103104
12Raptors47%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
39.2
25.4
16
74%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
35.7
32.4
24
45%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
6-6
100%
9-19
5-10
47%
47%
0-5
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
32.2
30.8
17
44%
12
3
0
1
0
4
5
7
9-14
64%
4-13
5-8
31%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
28.3
30.9
11
41%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-6
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
27.3
29.9
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-4
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
29.8
14.4
19
81%
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
4-7
57%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
19.7
16.5
8
58%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
2-6
33%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
15.8
15.3
4
69%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
8.8
12.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
3.2
18.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
14.3
0
2-4
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
8.5
0
2-3
52%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
40.9
33.1
12
47%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
37.1
34.5
22
57%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
10-12
83%
6-14
7-15
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
34.4
33.1
16
60%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
26.1
34.7
11
46%
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
17.1
18.9
1
17%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
32.1
24.1
8
44%
7
11
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
28.9
17.6
14
76%
8
1
2
0
0
1
3
5
2-5
40%
6-7
2-3
86%
57%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
19.9
9.3
8
44%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
3.5
3.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
4.5
0
1-1
46%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.