Final Win Prob. pScore
2529%94
101
1471%101
102
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
108.69394.6
MIA logo Heat
110.99290.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
102
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound101
102
Q4 - 0:01.0NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot101
102
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)101
102
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)101
102
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)101
100
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHHornets Rebound100
100
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2100
100
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.PN)100
100
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
100
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)100
100
Q4 - 0:45.0NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)100
100
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)100
100
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
98
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Collison 5' Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 1:13NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
98
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 1:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)100
98
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
98
Q4 - 1:28NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)100
98
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Rebound100
98
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot100
98
Q4 - 2:11NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)100
98
Q4 - 2:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
98
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup97
98
Q4 - 2:47NOHWest Foul Turnover (P3.T10)97
98
Q4 - 2:47NOHWest OFF.Foul (P4)97
98
Q4 - 3:02NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
98
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
98
Q4 - 3:22NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
98
Q4 - 3:22NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
98
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)95
98
Q4 - 3:22NOHHornets Rebound95
98
Q4 - 3:23NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot95
98
Q4 - 3:44NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)95
98
Q4 - 3:44MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)95
98
Q4 - 3:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
95
Q4 - 3:55NOHMISS Collison Driving Layup95
95
Q4 - 4:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
95
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot95
95
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
95
Q4 - 4:28NOHMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot95
95
Q4 - 4:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
95
Q4 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound95
94
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 295
94
Q4 - 4:46NOHCollison S.FOUL (P1.T1)95
94
Q4 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
94
Q4 - 4:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
94
Q4 - 5:17MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
94
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
91
Q4 - 5:36NOHMISS Posey 11' Jump Shot95
91
Q4 - 5:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)95
91
Q4 - 5:59NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
91
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot95
91
Q4 - 6:23NOHStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)95
91
Q4 - 6:32MIAO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P5.T4)93
91
Q4 - 6:32NOHHornets Rebound93
91
Q4 - 6:33NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 6:44NOHSUB: Collison FOR B. Brown93
91
Q4 - 6:44MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo93
91
Q4 - 6:44MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley93
91
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T3)93
91
Q4 - 7:02NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
91
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 7:26NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (B. Brown 7 AST)93
91
Q4 - 7:48MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook90
91
Q4 - 7:48NOHSUB: West FOR Songaila90
91
Q4 - 7:4890
91
Q4 - 7:48MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)90
91
Q4 - 8:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
91
Q4 - 8:04NOHMISS Posey 13' Fadeaway Jumper90
91
Q4 - 8:28MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)90
91
Q4 - 8:47NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (B. Brown 6 AST)90
89
Q4 - 9:01MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem87
89
Q4 - 9:01NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Wright87
89
Q4 - 9:01MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)87
89
Q4 - 9:01NOHHornets Rebound87
89
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 9:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
89
Q4 - 9:08NOHMISS Thornton Driving Layup87
89
Q4 - 9:25NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
89
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 9:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
89
Q4 - 9:43NOHMISS B. Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 9:48NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
89
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
89
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 10:20MIAHEAT Rebound87
89
Q4 - 10:20MIAJump Ball Beasley vs. Wright: Tip to O'Neal87
89
Q4 - 10:20NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
89
Q4 - 10:35MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)87
89
Q4 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
86
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS Thornton 10' Fadeaway Jumper87
86
Q4 - 11:10NOHB. Brown Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
86
Q4 - 11:10NOHB. Brown Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
86
Q4 - 11:10MIASUB: Beasley FOR Jones85
86
Q4 - 11:10MIAArroyo C.P.FOUL (P1.T1)85
86
Q4 - 11:11MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)85
86
Q4 - 11:31NOHSongaila 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (B. Brown 5 AST)85
86
Q4 - 11:44NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
86
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot83
86
Q4 - 12:0083
86
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH83
86
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)83
86
Q3 - 0:13.0NOHThornton Layup (23 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)83
84
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)81
84
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHPosey 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
84
Q3 - 0:45.0NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
84
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot79
84
Q3 - 1:01NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (B. Brown 4 AST)79
84
Q3 - 1:17NOHSUB: Posey FOR West76
84
Q3 - 1:17MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T11)76
84
Q3 - 1:17MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P2)76
84
Q3 - 1:28NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)76
84
Q3 - 1:28MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)75
84
Q3 - 1:28NOHWest Layup (12 PTS)75
84
Q3 - 1:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
84
Q3 - 1:29NOHMISS B. Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
84
Q3 - 1:45MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
84
Q3 - 2:00NOHSUB: B. Brown FOR Collison73
82
Q3 - 2:00MIASUB: Anthony FOR Beasley73
82
Q3 - 2:00NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)73
82
Q3 - 2:17MIABeasley Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)73
82
Q3 - 2:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
80
Q3 - 2:24NOHMISS Collison 6' Running Jump Shot73
80
Q3 - 2:37MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)73
80
Q3 - 3:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
78
Q3 - 3:02NOHMISS Thornton 12' Jump Shot73
78
Q3 - 3:06NOHHornets Rebound73
78
Q3 - 3:07NOHMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot73
78
Q3 - 3:29NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
78
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot73
78
Q3 - 3:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)73
78
Q3 - 3:57NOHCollison 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)73
78
Q3 - 4:03MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
78
Q3 - 4:19NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
78
Q3 - 4:19NOHSUB: Songaila FOR Okafor70
78
Q3 - 4:19MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T2)70
78
Q3 - 4:19NOHWright Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)70
78
Q3 - 4:35NOHHornets Foul68
78
Q3 - 4:35NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
78
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 268
78
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)68
78
Q3 - 4:35NOHSUB: Wright FOR Stojakovic68
77
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)68
77
Q3 - 4:35NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.PN)68
76
Q3 - 4:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
76
Q3 - 4:44NOHMISS Thornton Layup68
76
Q3 - 4:50MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)68
76
Q3 - 4:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
76
Q3 - 4:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Turnaround Jump Shot68
76
Q3 - 5:14MIAWade Layup (23 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)68
76
Q3 - 5:32NOHWest Layup (10 PTS)68
74
Q3 - 5:33NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
74
Q3 - 5:34NOHBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)66
74
Q3 - 5:44NOHHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)66
74
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)66
74
Q3 - 5:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
72
Q3 - 6:00NOHMISS Okafor 6' Hook Shot66
72
Q3 - 6:12NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
72
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
72
Q3 - 6:30NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)66
72
Q3 - 6:36NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
72
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup63
72
Q3 - 6:46MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)63
72
Q3 - 6:46NOHHornets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Collison )63
71
Q3 - 7:02NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
71
Q3 - 7:10NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
71
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
71
Q3 - 7:22NOHThornton P.FOUL (P3.T4)63
71
Q3 - 7:32NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P3.T3)63
71
Q3 - 7:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
71
Q3 - 7:33NOHMISS Thornton 19' Jump Shot63
71
Q3 - 7:55MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)63
71
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor Layup (4 PTS)63
69
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)63
69
Q3 - 8:15MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal60
69
Q3 - 8:15MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T1)60
69
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
69
Q3 - 8:16NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot60
69
Q3 - 8:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
69
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
69
Q3 - 8:46NOHCollison 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
69
Q3 - 8:54MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)58
69
Q3 - 8:59NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Brown58
69
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)58
69
Q3 - 8:5958
68
Q3 - 8:59NOHBrown P.FOUL (P4.T2)58
68
Q3 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound58
68
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade Layup58
68
Q3 - 9:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
68
Q3 - 9:03NOHWade BLOCK (3 BLK)58
68
Q3 - 9:18MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T7)58
68
Q3 - 9:18MIABeasley OFF.Foul (P2)58
68
Q3 - 9:39NOHOkafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)58
68
Q3 - 9:53NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)56
68
Q3 - 10:02MIAChalmers Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
68
Q3 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
66
Q3 - 10:09NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot56
66
Q3 - 10:25MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
66
Q3 - 10:47NOHWest 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)56
64
Q3 - 11:02MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS)54
64
Q3 - 11:21NOHWest Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)54
62
Q3 - 11:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)52
62
Q3 - 11:39NOHBrown S.FOUL (P3.T1)52
61
Q3 - 11:39MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)52
61
Q3 - 11:44NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)52
59
Q3 - 12:0052
59
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
59
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHBrown Layup (7 PTS)52
59
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
59
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)50
59
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)50
59
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHCollison Driving Layup (5 PTS)50
59
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade 5' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)48
59
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Songaila: Tip to Wade48
57
Q2 - 0:52.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
57
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q2 - 1:07MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T2)48
57
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)48
57
Q2 - 1:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
57
Q2 - 1:20NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
57
Q2 - 1:41NOHSUB: Brown FOR Thornton48
56
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
56
Q2 - 1:41NOHSUB: Songaila FOR Posey48
55
Q2 - 1:41NOHHornets Violation: Delay of game Violation48
55
Q2 - 1:41NOHPosey P.FOUL (P4.PN)48
55
Q2 - 1:49NOHPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T6)48
55
Q2 - 1:49NOHPosey OFF.Foul (P3)48
55
Q2 - 1:58NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
55
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 248
55
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
55
Q2 - 1:59NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P2.PN)48
54
Q2 - 2:02NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)48
54
Q2 - 2:09MIASUB: Beasley FOR O'Neal48
54
Q2 - 2:09MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.T1)48
54
Q2 - 2:17MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)48
54
Q2 - 2:44NOHWest Layup (4 PTS)48
52
Q2 - 2:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
52
Q2 - 2:56MIAHEAT Rebound46
51
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
51
Q2 - 2:56NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)46
51
Q2 - 2:56NOHPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)46
51
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
51
Q2 - 3:05NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot46
51
Q2 - 3:28MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)46
51
Q2 - 3:47NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)46
48
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
48
Q2 - 4:03NOHSUB: Collison FOR B. Brown43
47
Q2 - 4:03NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Okafor43
47
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 4:03NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P3.PN)43
46
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
46
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot43
46
Q2 - 4:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
46
Q2 - 4:17NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot43
46
Q2 - 4:36MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 4:50MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo43
44
Q2 - 4:50MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cook43
44
Q2 - 4:50NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Stojakovic43
44
Q2 - 4:5043
44
Q2 - 4:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
44
Q2 - 4:59NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (B. Brown 3 AST)43
44
Q2 - 5:05NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
44
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot40
44
Q2 - 5:26NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)40
44
Q2 - 5:49MIAO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
44
Q2 - 6:12NOHB. Brown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
42
Q2 - 6:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
42
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup38
42
Q2 - 6:23MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
42
Q2 - 6:24NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot38
42
Q2 - 6:52MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 6:52NOHPosey S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
41
Q2 - 6:52MIAArroyo 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
41
Q2 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
39
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
39
Q2 - 7:14MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Anthony38
39
Q2 - 7:14NOHStojakovic P.FOUL (P1.T3)38
39
Q2 - 7:26NOHThornton P.FOUL (P2.T2)38
39
Q2 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
39
Q2 - 7:27NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot38
39
Q2 - 7:45NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Songaila38
39
Q2 - 7:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)38
39
Q2 - 7:52MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
39
Q2 - 7:53NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)38
39
Q2 - 8:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
39
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 138
39
Q2 - 8:15NOHSongaila S.FOUL (P2.T1)38
39
Q2 - 8:15MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)38
39
Q2 - 8:25NOHSUB: West FOR Marks38
37
Q2 - 8:25MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
37
Q2 - 8:32NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)38
37
Q2 - 8:49MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)35
37
Q2 - 8:57MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
37
Q2 - 8:58NOHMISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 9:03NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
37
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 9:21NOHThornton 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)35
37
Q2 - 9:25NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
37
Q2 - 9:25NOHMISS B. Brown 21' Jump Shot33
37
Q2 - 9:32NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot33
37
Q2 - 9:49MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37
Q2 - 9:50NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
37
Q2 - 9:59MIAHaslem Driving Layup (3 PTS)33
37
Q2 - 10:13NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (B. Brown 2 AST)33
35
Q2 - 10:28MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 10:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
32
Q2 - 10:35NOHMISS Songaila 12' Turnaround Jump Shot30
32
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
32
Q2 - 11:16NOHThornton 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
30
Q2 - 11:33MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
30
Q2 - 11:33MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P1)28
30
Q2 - 11:46NOHPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (B. Brown 1 AST)28
30
Q2 - 12:0025
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
30
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH25
30
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHThornton 34' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
30
Q1 - 0:03.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
30
Q1 - 0:03.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
29
Q1 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Jones22
28
Q1 - 0:03.0NOH22
28
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHThornton P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
28
Q1 - 0:26.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Songaila 22' Jump Shot22
28
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
28
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
27
Q1 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers22
27
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 222
27
Q1 - 0:34.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Beasley22
27
Q1 - 0:34.0NOHSUB: B. Brown FOR Collison22
27
Q1 - 0:34.0NOHMarks P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
27
Q1 - 0:49.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
27
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
27
Q1 - 1:00NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
27
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot22
27
Q1 - 1:20NOHThornton Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 1:32NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
27
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot20
27
Q1 - 1:46NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)20
27
Q1 - 2:15MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
27
Q1 - 2:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25
Q1 - 2:26NOHMISS Collison 22' Jump Shot20
25
Q1 - 2:42MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 2:50NOHHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
22
Q1 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
22
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup20
22
Q1 - 3:22NOHSongaila 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)20
22
Q1 - 3:38MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)18
22
Q1 - 3:44NOHSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 3:44MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal17
20
Q1 - 3:44NOHSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
20
Q1 - 3:44MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)16
20
Q1 - 3:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 3:53MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
19
Q1 - 3:53NOHSongaila P.FOUL (P1.PN)16
18
Q1 - 4:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
18
Q1 - 4:04NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 4:08NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup16
18
Q1 - 4:28NOHMarks Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 4:29NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
18
Q1 - 4:30NOHMISS Songaila Driving Layup14
18
Q1 - 4:35NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
18
Q1 - 4:36NOHMISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot14
18
Q1 - 4:48NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
18
Q1 - 4:49NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
18
Q1 - 4:58NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)14
18
Q1 - 4:58MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Beasley )13
18
Q1 - 5:08MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
18
Q1 - 5:27NOH13
15
Q1 - 5:27NOHStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 5:41MIAChalmers Driving Dunk (2 PTS)11
15
Q1 - 5:52NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 5:52NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 5:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
13
Q1 - 5:52MIABeasley P.FOUL (P1.PN)9
13
Q1 - 5:57NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
13
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot9
13
Q1 - 6:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13
Q1 - 6:11NOHO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)9
13
Q1 - 6:18NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot9
13
Q1 - 6:35NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)9
13
Q1 - 6:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
13
Q1 - 6:51NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Brown6
12
Q1 - 6:51NOHSUB: Songaila FOR Okafor6
12
Q1 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound6
12
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
12
Q1 - 6:51NOHSUB: Marks FOR West6
12
Q1 - 6:51NOHOkafor P.FOUL (P2.PN)6
12
Q1 - 6:56NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.T4)6
12
Q1 - 7:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
12
Q1 - 7:03NOHMISS Collison 4' Hook Shot6
12
Q1 - 7:16MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade6
12
Q1 - 7:16MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T4)6
12
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
12
Q1 - 7:40NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
10
Q1 - 7:40NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
10
Q1 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
10
Q1 - 8:16NOHBrown L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)4
8
Q1 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound4
8
Q1 - 8:17NOHMISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:25NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:26NOHMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:30NOHHornets Rebound4
8
Q1 - 8:31NOHWade BLOCK (2 BLK)4
8
Q1 - 8:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:49NOHBrown Violation:Lane4
7
Q1 - 8:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 8:49NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
6
Q1 - 8:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
6
Q1 - 9:00NOHMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:08NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:09NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:32MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 9:40NOHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:47MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:59NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 10:19MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:19NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:27NOHWade BLOCK (1 BLK)4
2
Q1 - 10:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
2
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk4
2
Q1 - 10:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:53NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 24
2
Q1 - 10:53NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:53MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)3
2
Q1 - 10:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Beasley Layup3
2
Q1 - 11:14NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 11:14MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:14NOHBrown Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:27MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:40NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:40NOHBrown OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 11:43NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okafor: Tip to Chalmers0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
18
30
60%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
NOH
6
33
18%
MIA
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
MIA
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
NOH
17
19
89%
MIA
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton2460%12.0 / 20
P. Stojakovic1458%7.0 / 12
J. Posey1464%7.0 / 11
D. West1343%6.5 / 15
D. Collison1137%5.5 / 15
D. Brown750%3.5 / 7
D. Songaila638%3.0 / 8
E. Okafor550%2.5 / 5
J. Wright3150%1.5 / 1
B. Brown233%1.0 / 3
S. Marks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3167%15.5 / 23
M. Beasley1761%8.5 / 14
J. O'Neal1568%7.5 / 11
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
J. Jones583%2.5 / 3
D. Cook563%2.5 / 4
C. Arroyo330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
84
+15
-9
99
MIA
78
+6
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
106.7
NOH 108.6
MIA 110.9 +2.3
Pace
92.7
89.6
NOH 94.6 +4.2
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
NOH 15.2 −0.7
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.6%
NOH 46.2%
MIA 57.0% +10.8%
TO %
13.7%
13.6%
NOH 9.1% −6.2%
MIA 15.3%
ORB %
24.8%
26.0%
NOH 22.4% +10.6%
MIA 11.8%
FTrt
24.3
29.6
NOH 20.9
MIA 39.4 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
51.9%
NOH 61.1% +4.3%
MIA 56.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
NOH 7.5% +5.3%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
5.8%
9.4%
NOH 5.2%
MIA 12.7% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.1%
NOH 50.5%
MIA 59.3% +8.8%
Rim FG%
58.6%
62.0%
NOH 60.0%
MIA 64.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%
42.6%
40.8%
NOH 18.2%
MIA 40.0% +21.8%
3P %
36.3%
34.6%
NOH 42.9%
MIA 53.8% +10.9%
FT %
77.8%
75.2%
NOH 89.5% +14.5%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
29.8%
NOH 33.0%
MIA 39.4% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
48.3%
NOH 36.3% −6.0%
MIA 42.3%
3P Att. %
23.0%
21.9%
NOH 30.8% +12.5%
MIA 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points101102
Rebounds4142
Assists2221
Steals72
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)38 (4)
Field Goals36-9137-71
At-the-Rim FG18-3018-28
Midrange FG6-3312-30
2-Point FG24-6330-58
3-Point FG12-287-13
Free Throws17-1921-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 229 · 32
35.4
14
58%
2
3
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
32.2
11
37%
5
6
0
0
1
1
1
4
5-6
83%
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
32.1
13
43%
9
1
0
1
3
4
2
7
1-1
100%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 27
13.6
5
50%
6
0
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
9.8
7
50%
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
0
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22
38.1
24
60%
2
1
3
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
5-7
71%
F · 6'8" 217 · 33
23.6
14
64%
6
3
1
0
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 248 · 32
21.3
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
· 6'2" 175 · 25
15.8
2
33%
0
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34
10.4
2
100%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
7.6
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 32
#3 · G · 6'0" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
41
22
7
3
9
0
11
30
17-19
89%
24-63
38%
12-28
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.