FinalWin Prob.pScore
2529%94
101
1471%101
102
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
108.69394.6
MIA logo MIA
110.99290.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound101
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 0:01.0NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot101
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)101
38.1%
102
61.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)101
54.0%
100
46.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHMISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2100
49.2%
100
50.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
57.0%
100
43.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)100
39.8%
100
60.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)100
52.8%
100
47.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
67.1%
98
32.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Collison 5' Jump Shot100
71.6%
98
28.4%
Q4 - 1:13NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
77.5%
98
22.5%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
73.7%
98
26.3%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
63.0%
98
37.0%
Q4 - 1:28NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
67.3%
98
32.7%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)100
72.4%
98
27.6%
Q4 - 1:44MIAHEAT Rebound100
60.1%
98
39.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot100
68.7%
98
31.3%
Q4 - 2:11NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)100
59.2%
98
40.8%
Q4 - 2:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
39.5%
98
60.5%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup97
34.4%
98
65.6%
Q4 - 2:47NOHWest Foul Turnover (P3.T10)97
24.2%
98
75.8%
Q4 - 3:02NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
38.1%
98
61.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
33.9%
98
66.1%
Q4 - 3:22NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
25.1%
98
74.9%
Q4 - 3:22NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
23.7%
98
76.3%
Q4 - 3:22NOHHornets Rebound95
19.9%
98
80.1%
Q4 - 3:23NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot95
13.8%
98
86.2%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)95
20.8%
98
79.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
35.3%
95
64.7%
Q4 - 3:55NOHMISS Collison Driving Layup95
38.3%
95
61.7%
Q4 - 4:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
45.3%
95
54.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot95
42.2%
95
57.8%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
35.3%
95
64.7%
Q4 - 4:28NOHMISS Collison 17' Jump Shot95
38.3%
95
61.7%
Q4 - 4:46MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
45.4%
95
54.6%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 295
47.3%
94
52.7%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
44.7%
94
55.3%
Q4 - 4:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
47.9%
94
52.1%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
52.2%
94
47.8%
Q4 - 5:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
68.0%
91
32.0%
Q4 - 5:36NOHMISS Posey 11' Jump Shot95
70.3%
91
29.7%
Q4 - 5:59NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
75.3%
91
24.7%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot95
73.3%
91
26.7%
Q4 - 6:23NOHStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)95
64.0%
91
36.0%
Q4 - 6:32NOHHornets Rebound93
57.3%
91
42.7%
Q4 - 6:33NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
51.7%
91
48.3%
Q4 - 7:02NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
54.5%
91
45.5%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot93
52.2%
91
47.8%
Q4 - 7:26NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (B. Brown 7 AST)93
47.1%
91
52.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)90
34.3%
91
65.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
28.3%
91
71.7%
Q4 - 8:04NOHMISS Posey 13' Fadeaway Jumper90
29.9%
91
70.1%
Q4 - 8:28MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)90
33.6%
91
66.4%
Q4 - 8:47NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (B. Brown 6 AST)90
39.8%
89
60.2%
Q4 - 9:01NOHHornets Rebound87
28.4%
89
71.6%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot87
27.0%
89
73.0%
Q4 - 9:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
23.9%
89
76.1%
Q4 - 9:08NOHMISS Thornton Driving Layup87
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 9:25NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
28.4%
89
71.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
27.0%
89
73.0%
Q4 - 9:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
23.9%
89
76.1%
Q4 - 9:43NOHMISS B. Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 9:48NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
28.4%
89
71.6%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot87
26.9%
89
73.1%
Q4 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
23.9%
89
76.1%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot87
26.9%
89
73.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAJump Ball Beasley vs. Wright: Tip to O'Neal87
23.9%
89
76.1%
Q4 - 10:20NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.2%
89
74.8%
Q4 - 10:35MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)87
28.3%
89
71.7%
Q4 - 10:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
38.2%
86
61.8%
Q4 - 10:55NOHMISS Thornton 10' Fadeaway Jumper87
39.9%
86
60.1%
Q4 - 11:10NOHB. Brown Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
42.6%
86
57.4%
Q4 - 11:10NOHB. Brown Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
41.7%
86
58.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)85
32.6%
86
67.4%
Q4 - 11:31NOHSongaila 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (B. Brown 5 AST)85
28.3%
86
71.7%
Q4 - 11:44NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot83
22.9%
86
77.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH83
20.4%
86
79.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)83
24.1%
86
75.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0NOHThornton Layup (23 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)83
28.4%
84
71.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)81
24.1%
84
75.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHPosey 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
20.9%
84
79.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
17.4%
84
82.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot79
16.6%
84
83.4%
Q3 - 1:01NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (B. Brown 4 AST)79
15.1%
84
84.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T11)76
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q3 - 1:28NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)76
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q3 - 1:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 1:29NOHMISS B. Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q3 - 1:45MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q3 - 2:00NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)73
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q3 - 2:17MIABeasley Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)73
9.2%
82
90.8%
Q3 - 2:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q3 - 2:24NOHMISS Collison 6' Running Jump Shot73
11.5%
80
88.5%
Q3 - 2:37MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)73
12.9%
80
87.1%
Q3 - 3:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
15.3%
78
84.7%
Q3 - 3:02NOHMISS Thornton 12' Jump Shot73
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q3 - 3:06NOHHornets Rebound73
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q3 - 3:07NOHMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot73
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q3 - 3:29NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot73
17.1%
78
82.9%
Q3 - 3:57NOHCollison 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)73
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
13.6%
78
86.4%
Q3 - 4:19NOHWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 4:35NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 268
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)68
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)68
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 4:44NOHMISS Thornton Layup68
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 4:50MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)68
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 4:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 4:59NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Turnaround Jump Shot68
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 5:14MIAWade Layup (23 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)68
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 5:32NOHWest Layup (10 PTS)68
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q3 - 5:33NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 5:34NOHBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)66
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)66
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 5:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
13.4%
72
86.6%
Q3 - 6:00NOHMISS Okafor 6' Hook Shot66
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q3 - 6:12NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
15.2%
72
84.8%
Q3 - 6:30NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)66
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 6:36NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup63
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 6:46MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)63
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 7:02NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 7:10NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 7:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 7:33NOHMISS Thornton 19' Jump Shot63
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 7:55MIAHaslem Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)63
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)63
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 8:16NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot60
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 8:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q3 - 8:46NOHCollison 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 8:54MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)58
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 8:59MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)58
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAHEAT Rebound58
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade Layup58
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 9:03NOHWade BLOCK (3 BLK)58
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 9:18MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T7)58
9.6%
68
90.4%
Q3 - 9:39NOHOkafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)58
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIAChalmers Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 10:09NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot56
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIAO'Neal 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 10:47NOHWest 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)56
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 11:02MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS)54
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 11:21NOHWest Layup (6 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)54
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)52
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 11:44NOHChalmers STEAL (1 STL)52
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHBrown Layup (7 PTS)52
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)50
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)50
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0NOHCollison Driving Layup (5 PTS)50
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade 5' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)48
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)48
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 1:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q2 - 1:20NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 1:49NOHPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T6)48
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 1:58NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 248
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q2 - 2:02NOHWade STEAL (1 STL)48
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)48
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 2:44NOHWest Layup (4 PTS)48
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q2 - 3:05NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot46
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q2 - 3:28MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)46
18.8%
51
81.2%
Q2 - 3:47NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)46
22.5%
48
77.5%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot43
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 4:17NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot43
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q2 - 4:36MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 4:59NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (B. Brown 3 AST)43
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 5:05NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot40
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 5:26NOHWest Layup (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)40
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 5:49MIAO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 6:12NOHB. Brown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 6:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup38
20.1%
42
79.9%
Q2 - 6:23MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 6:24NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot38
19.3%
42
80.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 7:27NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot38
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q2 - 7:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)38
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 7:52MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 7:53NOHAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)38
25.1%
39
74.9%
Q2 - 8:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
26.4%
39
73.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 138
26.1%
39
73.9%
Q2 - 8:32NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)38
28.6%
37
71.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)35
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 8:58NOHMISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot35
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 9:03NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot35
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 9:21NOHThornton 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)35
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 9:25NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 9:25NOHMISS B. Brown 21' Jump Shot33
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 9:32NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot33
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 9:49MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 9:50NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 9:59MIAHaslem Driving Layup (3 PTS)33
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 10:13NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (B. Brown 2 AST)33
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q2 - 10:28MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 10:35NOHMISS Songaila 12' Turnaround Jump Shot30
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 10:55MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 11:16NOHThornton 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
26.1%
30
73.9%
Q2 - 11:33MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)28
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 11:46NOHPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (B. Brown 1 AST)28
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHThornton 34' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Songaila 22' Jump Shot22
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 222
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 1:00NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot22
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 1:20NOHThornton Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q1 - 1:32NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot20
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q1 - 1:46NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)20
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q1 - 2:15MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)20
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 2:26NOHMISS Collison 22' Jump Shot20
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 2:42MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup20
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 3:22NOHSongaila 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)20
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)18
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 3:44NOHSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 3:44NOHSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 3:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 3:53MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q1 - 4:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 4:04NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 4:08NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup16
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q1 - 4:28NOHMarks Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 4:29NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 4:30NOHMISS Songaila Driving Layup14
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 4:35NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 4:36NOHMISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot14
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 4:48NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 4:49NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 4:58NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)14
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 5:08MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)13
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 5:27NOHStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIAChalmers Driving Dunk (2 PTS)11
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 5:52NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 5:52NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)10
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 5:57NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot9
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 6:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.2%
13
80.8%
Q1 - 6:11NOHO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)9
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:18NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot9
20.2%
13
79.8%
Q1 - 6:35NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)9
19.2%
13
80.8%
Q1 - 6:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)6
16.8%
13
83.2%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 7:03NOHMISS Collison 4' Hook Shot6
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
17.9%
12
82.1%
Q1 - 7:40NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 7:40NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)5
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 8:16MIAHEAT Rebound4
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 8:17NOHMISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot4
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 8:25NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
20.3%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 8:26NOHMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 8:30NOHHornets Rebound4
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:31NOHWade BLOCK (2 BLK)4
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 8:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
20.3%
8
79.7%
Q1 - 8:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 9:00NOHMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:08NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 9:09NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot4
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
23.1%
6
76.9%
Q1 - 9:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.6%
4
75.4%
Q1 - 9:40NOHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot4
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 9:47MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)4
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 9:59NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 10:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 10:27NOHWade BLOCK (1 BLK)4
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 10:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk4
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 10:53NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 24
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:53NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Beasley Layup3
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:14NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:27MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 11:40NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:43NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot0
25.0%
0
75.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Okafor: Tip to Chalmers0
24.2%
0
75.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
18
30
60%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
NOH
6
33
18%
MIA
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
MIA
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
NOH
17
19
89%
MIA
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton2460%12.0 / 20
P. Stojakovic1458%7.0 / 12
J. Posey1464%7.0 / 11
D. West1343%6.5 / 15
D. Collison1137%5.5 / 15
D. Brown750%3.5 / 7
D. Songaila638%3.0 / 8
E. Okafor550%2.5 / 5
J. Wright3150%1.5 / 1
B. Brown233%1.0 / 3
S. Marks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3167%15.5 / 23
M. Beasley1761%8.5 / 14
J. O'Neal1568%7.5 / 11
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
J. Jones583%2.5 / 3
D. Cook563%2.5 / 4
C. Arroyo330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
84
+15
-9
99
MIA
78
+6
-14
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.01 50.5%
MIA
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
106.7
NOH 108.6
MIA 110.9 +2.3
Pace
92.7
89.6
NOH 94.6 +4.2
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
NOH 15.2 +0.7
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.6%
NOH 46.2%
MIA 57.0% +10.8%
TO %
13.7%
13.6%
NOH 9.1% +6.2%
MIA 15.3%
ORB %
24.8%
26.0%
NOH 22.4% +10.6%
MIA 11.8%
FTrt
24.3
29.6
NOH 20.9
MIA 39.4 +18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
51.9%
NOH 61.1% +4.3%
MIA 56.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
NOH 7.5% +5.3%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
5.8%
9.4%
NOH 5.2%
MIA 12.7% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
52.1%
NOH 50.5%
MIA 59.3% +8.8%
Rim FG%
58.6%
62.0%
NOH 60.0%
MIA 64.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%
42.6%
40.8%
NOH 18.2%
MIA 40.0% +21.8%
3P %
36.3%
34.6%
NOH 42.9%
MIA 53.8% +10.9%
FT %
77.8%
75.2%
NOH 89.5% +14.5%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
29.8%
NOH 33.0%
MIA 39.4% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
48.3%
NOH 36.3% +6.0%
MIA 42.3%
3P Att. %
23.0%
21.9%
NOH 30.8% +12.5%
MIA 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points101102
Rebounds4142
Assists2221
Steals72
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)38 (4)
Field Goals36-9137-71
At-the-Rim FG18-3018-28
Midrange FG6-3312-30
2-Point FG24-6330-58
3-Point FG12-287-13
Free Throws17-1921-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 229 · 32
35.4
14
58%
2
3
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
32.2
11
37%
5
6
0
0
1
1
1
4
5-6
83%
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
32.1
13
43%
9
1
0
1
3
4
2
7
1-1
100%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 27
13.6
5
50%
6
0
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
9.8
7
50%
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
0
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22
38.1
24
60%
2
1
3
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
5-7
71%
F · 6'8" 217 · 33
23.6
14
64%
6
3
1
0
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 248 · 32
21.3
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
· 6'2" 175 · 25
15.8
2
33%
0
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34
10.4
2
100%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
7.6
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 32
#3 · G · 6'0" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
41
22
7
3
9
0
11
30
17-19
89%
24-63
38%
12-28
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.