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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 22, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Thunder22%9085
2Lakers78%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
42.5
31.5
14
38%
7
7
0
1
3
6
1
6
4-6
67%
5-13
4-10
38%
42%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
31.4
32.0
4
29%
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
0-2
4-9
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
30.4
33.6
6
60%
6
1
0
2
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.1
23.1
36.6
19
46%
6
2
0
1
2
3
2
4
1-1
100%
6-15
7-15
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
13.5
21.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
31.9
6.9
11
40%
13
0
0
0
5
0
7
6
3-4
75%
4-12
1-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
30.4
22.9
10
28%
3
6
3
1
2
3
0
3
6-6
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-10
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
15.3
4.9
12
86%
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
6-7
1-2
86%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
8.2
13.9
3
52%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
7.9
1.9
4
106%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
5.5
14.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
14.0
0
2-3
52%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.2
32.3
36.6
26
53%
6
7
2
2
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
11-21
9-19
52%
50%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.4
28.7
27.0
15
48%
8
5
0
1
1
0
4
4
5-6
83%
5-13
4-8
38%
55%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.1
28.6
31.8
25
89%
8
0
1
0
2
2
3
5
7-7
100%
9-11
6-11
82%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
28.5
32.1
7
44%
7
3
0
1
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.3
23.8
25.4
4
33%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
22.0
19.1
8
36%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.0
19.8
28.9
2
17%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.0
17.9
18.9
6
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
12.1
11.1
4
29%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.7
12.0
7.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.3
7.5
4.8
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
6.8
7.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.