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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bucks30%9598
10Spurs70%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
35.9
32.8
9
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
32.8
27.7
20
70%
4
0
4
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
46%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
30.6
34.1
12
29%
4
7
1
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
6-19
6-13
32%
43%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
30.3
23.8
11
79%
3
5
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
3-4
75%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
19.6
10.3
6
60%
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
25.7
26.2
4
40%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
21.2
17.9
6
50%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
18.9
21.2
15
82%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
11.2
30.7
4
35%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-6
17%
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
7.0
16.1
7
88%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
3.4
4.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
3.4
2.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
31.9
31.9
24
60%
12
2
0
1
0
0
4
8
6-7
86%
9-17
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.4
27.6
32.9
11
52%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
6-8
75%
1-4
5-9
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
26.6
29.7
6
43%
4
6
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
7-14
43%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
19.4
19.8
2
25%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.5
18.5
17.7
10
59%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
26.9
27.8
14
64%
1
4
0
1
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
2-3
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
25.4
19.1
23
102%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
6-8
75%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
23.1
20.2
11
65%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
18.4
20.1
4
52%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
16.1
8.6
5
64%
8
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
3.4
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
2.6
13.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.1
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.3
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.