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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls25%8998
6Trail Blazers75%98122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.1
39.0
35.2
14
50%
3
5
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
7-14
7-14
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
37.4
37.0
25
77%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
7-12
6-13
58%
47%
2-2
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.9
35.4
31.3
22
62%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
34.0
26.4
6
25%
6
2
0
1
3
1
1
5
0-2
0%
3-11
3-7
27%
46%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
32.8
33.9
7
51%
8
4
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.9
22.1
27.4
7
58%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.6
15.4
24.0
2
35%
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.1
13.7
9.3
15
67%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
7.3
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.0
2.7
2.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
35%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.6
0
1-2
44%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
36.4
34.5
18
56%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
5-10
6-11
50%
50%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
35.5
28.5
24
69%
13
3
0
1
1
2
3
10
3-3
100%
9-15
5-11
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.7
28.6
31.8
3
44%
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-3
33%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.8
26.8
24.1
24
90%
12
1
0
0
2
2
6
6
10-12
83%
7-8
4-7
88%
57%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
21.9
19.9
6
29%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-8
1-3
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
26.9
23.5
16
74%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
10-11
91%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.6
19.4
27.5
13
87%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
3-5
60%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.1
16.8
20.8
8
103%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
14.2
4.4
4
67%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
10.8
7.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.8
2.7
12.8
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.2
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.9
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.