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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves33%9687
26Clippers67%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.2
40.3
27.2
15
44%
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-12
4-8
25%
46%
3-5
60%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.9
39.9
32.7
13
47%
13
0
3
1
2
8
4
9
1-2
50%
6-13
8-16
46%
50%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.7
35.3
25.7
13
50%
7
1
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-8
57%
42%
1-5
20%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.8
28.8
29.1
17
64%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
2-2
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
24.5
18.6
6
77%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
20.4
22.3
9
68%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.0
20.1
23.3
10
53%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.9
12.5
15.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
10.2
21.0
2
20%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
5.6
12.7
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
2.3
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
6.4
0
1-2
43%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.2
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.6
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
42.8
31.1
31
78%
10
1
0
1
0
1
6
4
9-9
100%
11-16
5-10
69%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
42.5
34.1
15
34%
7
2
2
1
1
3
2
5
3-4
75%
6-19
7-14
32%
53%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
31.1
26.0
12
67%
18
4
3
1
0
2
6
12
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
30.1
30.9
5
43%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.6
24.1
33.9
2
10%
1
6
2
2
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
47%
0-3
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.5
26.0
13.2
17
64%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
2-5
40%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.0
19.8
16.9
7
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
58%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
15.3
13.4
2
20%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.2
5.3
12.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
3.1
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
37.5
1
4-8
52%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.5
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.