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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers35%102112
13Raptors65%107123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
37.2
35.0
36
59%
9
5
0
1
0
2
0
9
7-8
88%
4-14
5-10
29%
48%
7-13
54%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.6
33.0
20.3
11
58%
8
5
0
0
2
0
1
7
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
31.5
32.5
11
50%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
47%
3-4
75%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
29.3
27.5
16
63%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
21.4
8.9
4
67%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
26.7
34.8
12
61%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
18.7
24.9
2
33%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
15.0
19.2
10
73%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
12.8
24.0
8
55%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
10.9
9.8
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
3.5
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.7
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
33.2
35.3
16
34%
12
4
1
1
4
1
1
11
6-10
60%
5-18
8-16
28%
51%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
32.8
35.6
14
80%
4
7
2
1
3
4
0
4
2-4
50%
3-3
3-7
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
32.0
31.1
14
64%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
31.6
33.2
21
85%
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
54%
2-3
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
10.1
18.1
8
65%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
4-5
80%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
29.6
26.8
18
121%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
48%
3-3
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
26.6
21.3
11
65%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
8-10
80%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
16.3
19.7
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
16.2
3.5
12
67%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
11.8
21.8
6
104%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
13.4
0
2-5
49%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
3.1
0
1-1
48%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.5
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.