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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors23%100111
10Mavericks77%110103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
48.0
41.9
37
56%
4
8
4
2
0
11
1
3
7-9
78%
15-27
9-19
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
48.0
35.4
27
78%
9
5
3
1
0
2
1
8
3-3
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
6-8
75%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
48.0
22.6
14
50%
12
0
4
1
0
2
1
11
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
34.8
35.3
18
65%
4
6
3
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
30.8
16.2
6
40%
11
1
0
0
1
2
4
7
0-1
0%
3-7
2-3
43%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
30.4
24.8
9
38%
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
4
3-4
75%
3-9
4-10
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
28.2
1
5-10
47%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
13.7
0
1-3
42%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
9.5
0
1-3
47%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
8.2
0
1-2
46%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
6.3
0
1-1
57%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
5.3
0
1-1
48%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.5
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.4
40.5
37.6
28
60%
10
3
2
1
1
5
2
8
10-12
83%
9-18
9-18
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.7
35.7
33.5
5
51%
10
13
1
2
0
3
0
10
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
32.0
28.8
14
59%
12
0
1
1
3
0
4
8
2-2
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.7
20.5
14.7
8
45%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.6
13.1
19.9
4
40%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
39.4
32.9
21
53%
0
3
4
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
8-16
5-9
50%
53%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
29.0
21.7
8
42%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
15.9
17.7
6
51%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
14.1
17.3
9
116%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.6
12.4
1
2-4
55%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
2.9
0
0-1
56%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.2
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.6
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.