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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Thunder31%91104
11Jazz69%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.2
41.9
31.2
28
59%
5
8
1
1
1
2
2
3
4-4
100%
9-18
6-13
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
38.5
31.4
19
64%
6
5
4
1
0
3
0
6
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
36.2
31.9
4
29%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
33.4
35.1
17
59%
3
3
0
1
0
5
2
1
8-10
80%
3-8
5-11
38%
43%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
25.6
18.5
8
40%
6
4
1
0
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
20.9
16.5
7
72%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.2
19.6
25.4
10
92%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.8
14.6
4.8
7
90%
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.6
9.2
11.5
4
67%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
10.7
0
1-2
42%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
9.4
0
2-3
49%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
6.1
0
0-1
47%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
38.0
36.5
10
34%
7
9
2
1
0
7
1
6
0-2
0%
5-13
5-10
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
34.1
36.8
5
42%
3
3
0
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
54%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
32.5
36.6
26
78%
7
3
2
1
0
5
2
5
4-4
100%
11-15
7-14
73%
52%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
27.6
10.4
13
47%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
4-11
1-3
36%
48%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
20.3
23.9
7
61%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
35.1
32.9
14
62%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
33.7
30.4
19
77%
7
0
0
1
1
5
2
5
3-3
100%
8-11
4-8
73%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
16.6
17.8
0
0%
0
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
2.1
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
6.8
0
0-1
47%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.7
4.8
0
1-2
51%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
3.1
0
0-1
44%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.