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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Raptors40%9581
15Bobcats60%98116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
31.6
32.3
6
50%
2
8
1
1
1
6
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.7
31.5
34.3
18
49%
14
0
0
1
0
1
2
12
8-10
80%
5-13
7-15
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.1
27.8
31.3
15
58%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
2-3
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.3
24.8
15.0
12
44%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-12
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.7
22.5
34.0
5
36%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
25.0
23.2
7
35%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.6
23.4
17.8
13
63%
8
1
2
0
3
1
5
3
1-3
33%
6-9
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
18.9
27.4
2
11%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-5
0%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
13.3
2.3
3
26%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
0-1
20%
44%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
11.0
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
10.2
18.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.5
8.8
0
1-3
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.5
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
34.6
36.8
31
61%
13
3
2
2
2
1
2
11
11-12
92%
10-16
4-9
63%
52%
0-4
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
34.2
37.1
23
53%
2
6
2
1
1
3
0
2
7-8
88%
5-13
5-10
38%
47%
2-5
40%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.4
26.5
29.2
10
50%
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.1
22.5
20.3
5
51%
9
0
1
0
6
1
4
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
19.7
37.8
5
42%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
55%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.0
23.0
5.0
15
70%
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
2
4-4
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.2
20.4
16.0
7
72%
2
2
2
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.2
18.1
14.8
11
51%
9
2
0
0
3
2
4
5
3-4
75%
4-9
3-5
44%
52%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
17.4
24.6
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.0
14.2
17.1
5
42%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.8
5.0
12.8
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
4.5
6.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.6
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.