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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Clippers45%9973
25Pacers55%10086
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.7
40.0
27.9
15
49%
21
3
3
1
2
0
7
14
2-3
67%
5-13
3-6
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
40.0
37.5
10
24%
10
0
0
1
1
5
1
9
4-4
100%
3-18
8-16
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.0
31.9
35.8
5
16%
5
1
2
1
2
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-15
6-12
13%
47%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.6
28.9
29.0
25
66%
2
2
0
2
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
8-15
4-8
53%
45%
3-4
75%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.5
26.7
30.0
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
27.4
24.6
6
36%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.5
19.1
18.9
6
44%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.0
16.0
17.9
4
33%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-6
33%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
5.0
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.3
5.0
14.3
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.2
9.6
0
1-2
45%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.5
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
37.5
31.2
18
42%
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
5-5
100%
5-16
5-10
31%
49%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.6
35.7
25.8
18
57%
11
0
1
1
1
0
2
9
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
2-7
29%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
33.1
31.8
13
44%
11
0
0
1
0
1
1
10
2-4
50%
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
3-6
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.7
29.9
28.0
11
56%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.0
25.8
19.5
4
27%
3
2
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
22.8
6.0
14
64%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
6-9
1-1
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
22.2
15.8
2
26%
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.5
18.1
22.3
4
67%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.1
12.3
17.5
2
14%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.7
2.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
10.7
0
1-2
53%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.7
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.6
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.