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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat25%9299
4Magic75%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.9
38.5
37.6
24
45%
4
6
3
2
2
4
1
3
11-11
100%
5-17
8-15
29%
49%
1-5
20%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
35.5
30.3
13
51%
16
1
1
0
2
2
7
9
3-6
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
34.5
30.4
15
44%
12
0
0
1
0
1
2
10
1-2
50%
7-13
5-12
54%
46%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
30.3
25.9
16
91%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
4-7
57%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
26.3
32.1
4
42%
1
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
27.9
32.5
10
46%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
20.8
18.9
5
42%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
37%
1-3
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
13.8
15.2
6
47%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
12.6
12.4
6
50%
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
39.4
30.2
25
88%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
4-6
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
34.5
31.2
12
61%
16
1
3
1
0
4
4
12
6-11
55%
3-5
5-9
60%
59%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
34.4
32.9
22
51%
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
6
4-6
67%
6-15
5-11
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
33.8
28.5
10
42%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
3-7
43%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
32.8
29.5
9
28%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-3
67%
2-9
3-6
22%
49%
1-6
17%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
17.6
17.8
12
81%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
14.4
12.4
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
13.5
15.8
3
54%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
11.2
21.1
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.1
8.4
10.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
11.5
0
1-3
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
6.6
0
1-2
52%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.