FinalWin Prob.pScore
1425%92
99
475%101
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.28982.7
ORL logo ORL
107.79199.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)99
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)99
95.9%
98
4.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIABeasley Putback Slam Dunk (15 PTS)99
95.9%
98
4.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper97
7.2%
98
92.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
37.1%
98
62.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 297
32.8%
98
67.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 297
18.3%
98
81.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
12.2%
98
87.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem Tip Shot (10 PTS)97
12.2%
98
87.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot95
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLCarter 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)95
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMAGIC Rebound95
30.7%
95
69.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup95
51.9%
95
48.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)95
31.3%
95
68.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot95
38.2%
95
61.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
49.9%
95
50.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
55.7%
94
44.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)95
65.5%
93
34.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLMISS Carter 20' Fadeaway Jumper95
75.8%
93
24.2%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLMAGIC Rebound95
64.9%
93
35.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
75.0%
93
25.0%
Q4 - 1:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)95
62.9%
93
37.1%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot95
67.1%
93
32.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
74.6%
93
25.4%
Q4 - 1:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 295
72.3%
93
27.7%
Q4 - 1:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 295
66.5%
93
33.5%
Q4 - 1:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)95
60.5%
93
39.5%
Q4 - 1:32ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
70.0%
93
30.0%
Q4 - 1:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)95
58.3%
93
41.7%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
62.0%
93
38.0%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
72.1%
93
27.9%
Q4 - 2:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 295
70.4%
93
29.6%
Q4 - 2:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)95
65.0%
93
35.0%
Q4 - 2:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
68.8%
92
31.2%
Q4 - 2:09ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot95
77.8%
92
22.2%
Q4 - 2:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
68.9%
92
31.1%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot95
73.3%
92
26.7%
Q4 - 2:48ORLCarter 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
81.7%
92
18.3%
Q4 - 2:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)95
82.7%
90
17.3%
Q4 - 2:59MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)95
82.7%
90
17.3%
Q4 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
77.4%
90
22.6%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot93
69.8%
90
30.2%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot93
69.9%
90
30.1%
Q4 - 3:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)93
77.7%
90
22.3%
Q4 - 3:11MIACarter BLOCK (1 BLK)93
70.0%
90
30.0%
Q4 - 3:25ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
78.1%
90
21.9%
Q4 - 3:25ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)93
79.3%
89
20.7%
Q4 - 3:37ORLMAGIC Rebound93
76.6%
88
23.4%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot93
78.8%
88
21.2%
Q4 - 3:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)93
83.6%
88
16.4%
Q4 - 3:55ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
81.9%
88
18.1%
Q4 - 4:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)93
77.6%
88
22.4%
Q4 - 4:13MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (11 PTS)93
77.6%
88
22.4%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot91
64.5%
88
35.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)91
70.9%
88
29.1%
Q4 - 4:23ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup91
68.2%
88
31.8%
Q4 - 4:29ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
61.6%
88
38.4%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
64.6%
88
35.4%
Q4 - 4:51ORLCarter 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)91
71.1%
88
28.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)91
72.7%
86
27.3%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)90
71.4%
86
28.6%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (22 PTS)89
69.8%
86
30.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
58.1%
86
41.9%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot88
55.5%
86
44.5%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
49.4%
86
50.6%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
47.8%
86
52.2%
Q4 - 5:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
41.4%
86
58.6%
Q4 - 5:39ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot86
38.8%
86
61.2%
Q4 - 5:52MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
33.1%
86
66.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
26.3%
86
73.7%
Q4 - 6:03ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup84
24.4%
86
75.6%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
20.5%
86
79.5%
Q4 - 6:24ORLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)81
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
9.4%
86
90.6%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
8.9%
86
91.1%
Q4 - 6:46ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)79
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 7:04MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 7:09ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)77
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
3.4%
86
96.6%
Q4 - 7:28ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)75
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 7:45ORLMAGIC Rebound75
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 7:58ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)75
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 8:34ORLAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)73
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q4 - 8:56MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
6.6%
80
93.4%
Q4 - 9:19ORLWilliams Driving Layup (25 PTS)71
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMAGIC Rebound71
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Beasley 12' Running Jump Shot71
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 9:54ORLHoward Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)71
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 10:11MIAArroyo Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q4 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q4 - 10:32ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 169
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q4 - 10:35ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q4 - 11:00ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)69
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q4 - 11:18MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)69
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)66
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMAGIC Rebound66
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL66
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 264
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 164
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHeat Rebound62
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot62
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 1:14ORLMAGIC Rebound62
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 1:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot62
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade Layup62
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot62
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 1:38ORLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)62
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 1:57MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q3 - 2:11ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
8.1%
68
91.9%
Q3 - 2:11ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 2:24ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 259
9.8%
66
90.2%
Q3 - 2:25MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 2:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)58
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Beasley 4' Running Jump Shot58
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q3 - 2:48ORLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)58
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 3:08MIAPietrus STEAL (2 STL)58
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 3:27ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)58
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q3 - 3:43ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 258
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 258
20.4%
61
79.6%
Q3 - 3:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot58
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 4:01ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T9)58
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 4:18MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 4:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 4:42ORLMISS Pietrus 16' Jump Shot56
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 4:46ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 4:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 5:15ORLMISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot56
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)56
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 5:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 5:53ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 256
15.7%
61
84.3%
Q3 - 5:53ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 5:54ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 5:55ORLMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 6:22MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 6:39ORLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)54
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)54
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q3 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)53
17.7%
57
82.3%
Q3 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)52
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 7:09ORLWilliams Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)51
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 7:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
14.5%
56
85.5%
Q3 - 7:33ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)51
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 7:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q3 - 7:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q3 - 7:56ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 151
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)51
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q3 - 8:29ORLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
25.6%
49
74.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q3 - 8:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q3 - 8:58ORLMISS Williams Layup47
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q3 - 9:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Beasley 10' Running Jump Shot47
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot47
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q3 - 9:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q3 - 9:21ORLMISS Lewis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot47
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q3 - 9:44MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)47
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 10:08ORLCarter 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)45
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q3 - 10:21ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot45
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q3 - 10:39ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
22.6%
47
77.4%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)45
27.9%
44
72.1%
Q3 - 11:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q3 - 11:14ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot43
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q3 - 11:31ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot43
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHeat Rebound43
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade Layup43
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound43
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 59' 3PT Jump Shot43
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAAnthony 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Lewis Layup41
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup41
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 1:04ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 1:06ORLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade Backcourt Turnover (P3.T6)41
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 1:33ORLMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot41
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 1:42ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 1:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 1:55ORLMISS Johnson Layup41
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 2:04ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper41
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 2:23ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T8)41
24.3%
42
75.7%
Q2 - 2:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot41
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 2:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
24.3%
42
75.7%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot41
23.5%
42
76.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
21.4%
42
78.6%
Q2 - 3:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 239
19.5%
42
80.5%
Q2 - 3:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Carter Free Throw Technical39
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 3:30MIAHoward STEAL (3 STL)39
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 3:43ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)39
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 3:46ORLMAGIC Rebound39
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 3:47ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot39
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)39
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 4:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 4:13ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 239
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 4:28MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 238
27.7%
37
72.3%
Q2 - 4:46ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)38
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 4:55ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
33.4%
34
66.6%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot38
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 5:15ORLBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)38
35.8%
34
64.2%
Q2 - 5:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
41.5%
31
58.5%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot38
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 5:52ORLCarter 11' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
44.4%
31
55.6%
Q2 - 6:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
46.3%
29
53.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
45.6%
29
54.4%
Q2 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound36
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q2 - 6:31ORLMISS Gortat 7' Hook Shot36
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 7:01MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)36
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q2 - 7:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot34
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 7:23ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot34
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 7:32ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot34
35.4%
29
64.6%
Q2 - 7:52MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 7:53ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q2 - 8:01ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33.8%
29
66.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Cook 23' Jump Shot34
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 8:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 8:11ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot34
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 8:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAAnthony Tip Shot (4 PTS)34
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot32
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 8:46ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
31.5%
29
68.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIACook 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 9:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 9:18ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q2 - 9:27ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Anthony Dunk30
25.1%
29
74.9%
Q2 - 9:36ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 9:36ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
26.9%
28
73.1%
Q2 - 9:39ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
28.6%
27
71.4%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Hook Shot30
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 10:06ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
30.1%
27
69.9%
Q2 - 10:15MIAAnthony 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
28.5%
27
71.5%
Q2 - 10:37ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)28
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 11:08ORLGortat 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)26
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 11:18ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot26
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIAHeat Rebound26
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup26
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL26
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound26
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 48' 3PT Jump Shot26
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.2%
24
73.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot26
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLLewis 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)26
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot26
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLLewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)26
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q1 - 1:11ORLMAGIC Rebound26
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 1:35ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)26
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 1:42ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot26
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 1:55ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
37.8%
19
62.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAPietrus STEAL (1 STL)26
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 2:22ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 226
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 2:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 2:25MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade Dunk23
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 2:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 2:35ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot23
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 2:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 2:37ORLMISS Lewis Layup23
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIABeasley 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 3:15ORLCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)21
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIAO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 3:54ORLMISS Pietrus 11' Running Jump Shot19
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 4:08ORLMAGIC Rebound19
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 4:09ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 4:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
29.0%
15
71.0%
Q1 - 4:35ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)19
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 4:49MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)19
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 5:02ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 5:22MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)17
24.8%
15
75.2%
Q1 - 5:41ORLWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
23.4%
15
76.6%
Q1 - 5:46ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 5:48MIAPietrus BLOCK (1 BLK)15
27.0%
12
73.0%
Q1 - 6:04ORLPietrus 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 6:15ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 6:17ORLMISS Carter Layup15
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 6:29ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.2%
9
68.8%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Beasley 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot15
31.8%
9
68.2%
Q1 - 6:45ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 7:02MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
30.6%
9
69.4%
Q1 - 7:22ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)11
25.7%
9
74.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)11
27.3%
7
72.7%
Q1 - 7:52ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)11
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 8:11MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS)11
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 8:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot9
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 8:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 8:21ORLMISS Pietrus Layup9
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)9
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 8:49ORLCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 9:19ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:30ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Beasley 15' Turnaround Jump Shot7
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 9:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 9:45ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot7
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:04MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:26ORLWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot4
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 10:41ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot4
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 10:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:06ORLMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:17MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
20.5%
0
79.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 49.0%
ORL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
18
56%
ORL
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIA
17
47
36%
ORL
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
ORL
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
27
32
84%
ORL
20
33
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2444%12.0 / 27
J. Jones16100%8.0 / 8
M. Beasley1544%7.5 / 17
J. O'Neal1350%6.5 / 13
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
C. Arroyo650%3.0 / 6
J. Anthony650%3.0 / 6
D. Cook542%2.5 / 6
M. Chalmers440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2589%12.5 / 14
V. Carter2252%11.0 / 21
D. Howard1260%6.0 / 10
R. Anderson1286%6.0 / 7
M. Pietrus1042%5.0 / 12
R. Lewis928%4.5 / 16
M. Barnes375%1.5 / 2
M. Gortat350%1.5 / 3
J. Redick250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-8
99
ORL
77
+16
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 49.0%
ORL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
111.5
MIA 111.2 +3.5
ORL 107.7
Pace
89.6
92.0
MIA 82.7
ORL 99.8 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
MIA 17.4
ORL 14.4 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
53.6%
MIA 42.4%
ORL 50.6% +8.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.8%
MIA 7.5% +6.6%
ORL 14.1%
ORB %
26.0%
24.6%
MIA 31.9% +9.7%
ORL 22.2%
FTrt
29.6
34.0
MIA 37.6
ORL 42.9 +5.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
53.7%
MIA 36.4%
ORL 59.4% +23.0%
STL %
8.1%
6.8%
MIA 6.7% +0.1%
ORL 6.6%
BLK %
9.4%
8.6%
MIA 15.2% +12.1%
ORL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.8%
MIA 49.0%
ORL 52.7% +3.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.6%
MIA 55.6% +10.6%
ORL 45.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.3%
MIA 36.2% +1.6%
ORL 34.6%
3P %
34.6%
37.5%
MIA 30.0%
ORL 45.2% +15.2%
FT %
75.2%
72.4%
MIA 84.4% +23.8%
ORL 60.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
33.0%
MIA 21.2%
ORL 26.0% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
32.0%
MIA 55.3%
ORL 33.8% +21.5%
3P Att. %
21.9%
35.0%
MIA 23.5%
ORL 40.3% +16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes25.821.9
Points9998
Rebounds5042
Assists1219
Steals66
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)32 (5)
Field Goals33-8532-77
At-the-Rim FG10-189-20
Midrange FG17-479-26
2-Point FG27-6518-46
3-Point FG6-2014-31
Free Throws27-3220-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
38.5
24
44%
4
6
3
2
4
1
1
3
11-11
100%
5-17
29%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
35.5
13
50%
16
1
1
2
2
5
7
9
3-6
50%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
34.5
15
44%
12
0
0
0
1
2
2
10
1-2
50%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 218 · 29
30.3
16
100%
4
1
0
0
0
6
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
-
4-7
57%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
26.3
4
40%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
27.9
10
45%
8
0
0
0
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
20.8
5
42%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
13.8
6
50%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
12.6
6
50%
3
0
1
3
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'6" 228 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
49%
50
12
6
7
8
0
15
35
27-32
84%
27-65
42%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.