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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers65%9698
22Pistons35%9188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
38.8
37.0
34
59%
8
7
1
1
0
5
1
7
9-11
82%
11-20
7-14
55%
53%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.9
38.5
36.1
14
50%
2
8
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.4
28.4
29.3
13
96%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-2
100%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.2
26.6
29.1
7
38%
7
0
0
1
1
1
4
3
3-5
60%
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.5
24.9
29.4
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
33.4
26.8
4
46%
8
1
2
1
2
2
2
6
2-3
67%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.5
27.8
19.1
11
87%
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
1
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
1-1
100%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.7
21.6
20.8
13
93%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
3-3
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.3
9.9
0
1-2
47%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.0
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.7
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.6
39.5
34.5
25
64%
6
0
2
1
0
2
1
5
8-8
100%
7-14
6-13
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.3
33.9
27.0
19
57%
8
1
1
1
2
2
1
7
2-4
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
3-5
60%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
30.8
29.1
8
46%
9
0
0
1
2
0
3
6
4-6
67%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.7
30.0
24.7
4
50%
6
1
1
1
0
4
5
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
17.6
32.4
9
54%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-3
33%
4-7
4-10
57%
47%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.9
31.4
27.3
4
14%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-4
50%
1-11
5-9
9%
48%
0-2
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.5
21.6
9.1
9
56%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.8
16.3
17.9
10
65%
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.7
13.9
8.2
0
0%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
4.9
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
0.1
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.3
5.3
0
0-1
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.8
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.