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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks46%10199
24Hornets54%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
32.0
32.4
14
40%
7
8
4
1
1
5
1
6
5-6
83%
3-12
6-14
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
31.5
33.5
12
57%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
27.0
26.0
5
36%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
21.4
29.2
5
25%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
48%
1-4
25%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
12.3
14.0
1
17%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
43.4
25.7
23
69%
7
10
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
8-11
3-6
73%
44%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
34.4
18.7
6
50%
9
2
2
0
3
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
33.2
20.2
22
61%
10
0
1
0
0
3
4
6
4-7
57%
9-15
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
29.7
22.7
11
33%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-11
3-6
27%
47%
1-5
20%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
0.1
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
43.1
32.4
27
59%
10
5
1
1
1
3
4
6
9-9
100%
9-19
7-13
47%
49%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.5
38.0
30.0
10
30%
8
2
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
2-9
22%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.3
36.5
29.1
18
58%
7
8
2
1
0
5
2
5
7-8
88%
4-11
5-11
36%
46%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
25.6
25.5
8
46%
13
0
2
1
3
1
2
11
4-6
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
25.2
19.9
13
53%
6
1
1
1
0
4
3
3
3-3
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.9
28.9
22.3
9
53%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.8
26.4
16.8
6
50%
7
1
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
19.9
27.0
4
34%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.2
11.1
14.6
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
6.0
6.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
4.3
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
5.4
0
1-1
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.