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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors22%99104
8Spurs78%109118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
44.4
44.1
42
71%
4
4
3
2
1
4
1
3
9-10
90%
15-23
10-20
65%
49%
1-2
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
34.2
34.2
11
34%
7
5
1
1
2
6
1
6
0-0
-
4-12
3-6
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
33.0
40.9
8
54%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
29.2
35.4
4
25%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 34.1
19.1
23.6
9
67%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
27.3
15.1
14
55%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.4
27.1
27.4
12
50%
7
0
0
1
3
1
2
5
4-7
57%
4-9
5-10
44%
45%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.6
15.9
8.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
9.8
4.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.2
9.7
0
1-2
43%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
6.4
0
1-1
57%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.9
5.4
0
1-1
47%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.9
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.4
31.7
30.4
12
59%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
2-3
4-9
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
29.6
28.1
32
63%
4
7
2
1
0
3
0
4
12-17
71%
10-18
7-13
56%
54%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.6
27.1
31.8
20
80%
10
6
0
1
3
1
2
8
0-1
0%
10-11
7-14
91%
52%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.5
23.3
17.9
3
25%
7
0
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
23.1
19.5
10
50%
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.6
32.8
27.3
12
41%
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
6-6
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
26.1
21.3
17
78%
6
5
1
0
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.7
16.4
19.5
2
100%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
12.0
21.8
3
150%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.6
10.6
11.9
5
46%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
3.7
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
3.7
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.1
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.3
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.