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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bulls31%9486
10Jazz69%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.1
38.5
36.3
19
56%
4
2
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
8-16
7-14
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.6
38.3
36.8
26
52%
8
2
4
1
0
0
4
4
9-11
82%
7-19
6-13
37%
48%
1-1
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
33.4
33.1
6
33%
9
2
1
1
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.0
30.6
32.6
9
39%
2
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
29.5
29.0
8
80%
6
0
0
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.1
22.8
11.2
7
39%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
18.1
7.1
10
61%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.6
14.1
20.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.0
7.7
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
37%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
7.0
1.7
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.9
25.2
1
2-5
44%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.5
0
1-2
45%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.7
39.3
35.0
15
58%
3
6
2
2
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
7-12
5-9
58%
54%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
38.7
36.9
21
82%
3
6
3
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
9-10
5-10
90%
52%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.0
34.6
34.4
28
86%
8
5
1
1
3
2
1
7
4-5
80%
12-14
7-13
86%
53%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
28.6
19.8
14
68%
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2-3
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
2-2
100%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.1
22.1
21.9
6
47%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.8
29.2
31.6
12
75%
9
0
1
1
2
0
3
6
0-0
-
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
27.7
33.6
5
26%
4
6
1
1
1
3
0
4
3-6
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
16.3
17.2
4
40%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.8
3.6
3.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.9
7.4
0
1-2
53%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.7
6.8
0
0-1
47%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.4
3.0
0
0-1
44%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.