FinalWin Prob.pScore
1837%98
94
1363%102
84
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
105.68988.8
MIA logo MIA
95.58889.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS94
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0WASBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0WASJones STEAL (1 STL)94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0WASMISS Young 13' Jump Shot94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)94
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0WASBoykins 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10WASWizards Rebound92
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11WASMISS Blatche Driving Layup92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:31WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Chalmers 29' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 1:42WASBlatche Layup (8 PTS) (Boykins 9 AST)92
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 2:03WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 290
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 290
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 2:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
98.3%
81
1.7%
Q4 - 2:08WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 2:27WASHaywood Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)90
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 2:37MIAChalmers Driving Layup (18 PTS)90
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 2:43WASYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:43WASYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 2:59WASBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot88
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 3:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 3:11WASHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)88
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)88
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 3:39WASJamison 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Boykins 8 AST)88
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 3:47WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper86
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 3:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 4:20WASButler 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boykins 7 AST)86
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 4:36WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)84
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 4:37WASMISS Young 9' Turnaround Jump Shot84
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 4:58WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)84
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 5:09WASBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 5:09WASBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
94.9%
74
5.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAChalmers Driving Layup (16 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)82
93.4%
74
6.6%
Q4 - 5:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)82
95.2%
72
4.8%
Q4 - 5:56WASMISS Blatche 12' Turnaround Jump Shot82
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 6:15MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q4 - 6:27WASMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot82
96.5%
70
3.5%
Q4 - 6:37WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
96.9%
70
3.1%
Q4 - 6:48WASHaywood Dunk (6 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)82
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)80
95.0%
70
5.0%
Q4 - 7:03WASWade STEAL (2 STL)80
91.1%
70
8.9%
Q4 - 7:16WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)80
93.3%
70
6.7%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
92.8%
70
7.2%
Q4 - 7:31WASBlatche 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 6 AST)80
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q4 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
89.6%
69
10.4%
Q4 - 7:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
91.3%
68
8.7%
Q4 - 7:49WASMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
92.0%
68
8.0%
Q4 - 8:02WASBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
91.6%
68
8.4%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot78
91.0%
68
9.0%
Q4 - 8:23WASButler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boykins 5 AST)78
89.6%
68
10.4%
Q4 - 8:38MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)76
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIAHEAT Rebound76
83.7%
68
16.3%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q4 - 9:03WASBoykins 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Young 5 AST)76
81.5%
68
18.5%
Q4 - 9:21WASYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
77.6%
68
22.4%
Q4 - 9:22WASMISS Young 14' Jump Shot74
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q4 - 9:32WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
77.7%
68
22.3%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot74
76.4%
68
23.6%
Q4 - 9:53WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)74
73.4%
68
26.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIACook 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)71
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q4 - 10:28WASYoung 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
66.4%
66
33.6%
Q4 - 10:46WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
61.3%
66
38.7%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot69
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q4 - 11:14WASBlatche 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)69
54.7%
66
45.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)67
49.2%
66
50.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS67
54.7%
64
45.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
58.5%
64
41.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
57.1%
64
42.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0WASJamison Layup (19 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)67
54.0%
64
46.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0WASYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
48.5%
64
51.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
47.0%
64
53.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
43.9%
64
56.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0WASMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
45.3%
64
54.7%
Q3 - 1:07WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
47.7%
64
52.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot65
46.3%
64
53.7%
Q3 - 1:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
43.2%
64
56.8%
Q3 - 1:23WASMISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot65
44.6%
64
55.4%
Q3 - 1:43WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
47.8%
64
52.2%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot65
46.4%
64
53.6%
Q3 - 1:57WASJamison Foul Turnover (P1.T9)65
43.3%
64
56.7%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)65
46.9%
64
53.1%
Q3 - 2:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 2:26WASMISS Young 7' Jump Shot65
53.1%
62
46.9%
Q3 - 2:46WASYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
56.3%
62
43.7%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Shot65
54.9%
62
45.1%
Q3 - 3:05WASYoung Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)65
50.6%
62
49.4%
Q3 - 3:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
46.4%
62
53.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
47.3%
61
52.7%
Q3 - 3:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
50.7%
60
49.3%
Q3 - 3:34WASMISS Jamison Layup63
52.1%
60
47.9%
Q3 - 3:48WASWizards Rebound63
55.5%
60
44.5%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot63
54.0%
60
46.0%
Q3 - 4:04MIAHEAT Rebound63
49.9%
60
50.1%
Q3 - 4:05WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
51.4%
60
48.6%
Q3 - 4:07WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 4:08WASMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
51.4%
60
48.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
62.7%
57
37.3%
Q3 - 4:29WASO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)63
64.2%
57
35.8%
Q3 - 4:48MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
67.4%
57
32.6%
Q3 - 5:00WASO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)63
70.5%
55
29.5%
Q3 - 5:14MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T12)63
72.8%
55
27.2%
Q3 - 5:33WASYoung Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)63
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 5:51MIABeasley Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
72.9%
55
27.1%
Q3 - 6:08WASYoung 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
74.3%
53
25.7%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)61
71.5%
53
28.5%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHEAT Rebound61
67.7%
53
32.3%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
70.4%
53
29.6%
Q3 - 6:48WASJamison Tip Shot (17 PTS)61
67.7%
53
32.3%
Q3 - 6:50WASJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
64.5%
53
35.5%
Q3 - 6:51WASMISS Young 19' Turnaround Jump Shot59
61.6%
53
38.4%
Q3 - 7:11MIAChalmers 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
62.7%
53
37.3%
Q3 - 7:28WASJamison Layup (15 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)59
66.1%
51
33.9%
Q3 - 7:39WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 7:41WASMISS Haywood Tip Shot57
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q3 - 7:42WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)57
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 7:43WASMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
60.1%
51
39.9%
Q3 - 7:54WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot57
61.7%
51
38.3%
Q3 - 8:13WASYoung 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)55
54.6%
51
45.4%
Q3 - 8:42WASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)55
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q3 - 8:47MIAChalmers Driving Layup (7 PTS)55
54.6%
51
45.4%
Q3 - 8:59WASButler Foul Turnover (P2.T5)55
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q3 - 9:11WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q3 - 9:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
57.5%
49
42.5%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot55
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q3 - 9:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 9:31WASMISS Young 20' Jump Shot55
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
61.2%
49
38.8%
Q3 - 10:18WASArenas 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)53
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q3 - 10:45WASArenas Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)53
66.8%
44
33.2%
Q3 - 10:55WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
70.0%
44
30.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper53
69.1%
44
30.9%
Q3 - 11:14WASYoung 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)53
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q3 - 11:29MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
62.7%
44
37.3%
Q3 - 11:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
65.8%
42
34.2%
Q3 - 11:44WASMISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot51
66.8%
42
33.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS51
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot51
66.8%
42
33.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot51
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
67.6%
42
32.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 251
68.3%
41
31.7%
Q2 - 1:00WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
68.3%
41
31.7%
Q2 - 1:15WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
63.2%
41
36.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q2 - 1:39WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 249
61.9%
41
38.1%
Q2 - 1:39WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 249
63.8%
41
36.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)49
63.4%
41
36.6%
Q2 - 2:22WASYoung 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q2 - 2:42MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T9)47
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 2:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
65.5%
38
34.5%
Q2 - 2:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 2:57WASMISS Young 16' Jump Shot47
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 3:13WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
65.8%
38
34.2%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
64.8%
38
35.2%
Q2 - 3:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 3:25WASMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 247
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 3:25WASMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 247
64.9%
38
35.1%
Q2 - 3:38MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
65.8%
38
34.2%
Q2 - 3:50WASYoung 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)47
68.1%
36
31.9%
Q2 - 4:07WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
64.6%
36
35.4%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
63.6%
36
36.4%
Q2 - 4:30MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
61.5%
36
38.5%
Q2 - 4:31WASMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot45
62.5%
36
37.5%
Q2 - 4:49MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
64.7%
36
35.3%
Q2 - 5:15WASFoye 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)45
66.6%
34
33.4%
Q2 - 5:31MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
63.8%
34
36.2%
Q2 - 5:31MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 5:52WASBlatche Dunk (2 PTS)43
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 5:54WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
63.9%
32
36.1%
Q2 - 5:56WASO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)41
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 6:15MIABeasley 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
63.2%
32
36.8%
Q2 - 6:31WASBoykins 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 6:35MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)39
63.3%
30
36.7%
Q2 - 6:46WASFoye 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
60.1%
30
39.9%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
56.7%
30
43.3%
Q2 - 7:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
59.4%
28
40.6%
Q2 - 7:13WASMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot37
60.2%
28
39.8%
Q2 - 7:18WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot37
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 7:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
59.4%
28
40.6%
Q2 - 7:27WASMISS Blatche 3PT Jump Shot37
60.3%
28
39.7%
Q2 - 7:42MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 8:03WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)37
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 8:15WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot34
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q2 - 8:33WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
55.7%
26
44.3%
Q2 - 8:33WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q2 - 8:33WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q2 - 8:33WASMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot32
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 8:47WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
53.1%
26
46.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot32
52.2%
26
47.8%
Q2 - 9:06WASBoykins 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
49.4%
26
50.6%
Q2 - 9:10WASWizards Rebound30
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q2 - 9:11WASAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)30
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 9:15WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot30
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q2 - 9:30WASJamison 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)30
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q2 - 9:35WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 9:36WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot28
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 9:44WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
41.7%
26
58.3%
Q2 - 9:45WASMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot28
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 10:02MIACook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)28
41.6%
26
58.4%
Q2 - 10:14MIAHEAT Rebound28
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot28
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q2 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup28
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q2 - 10:55WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 228
44.3%
24
55.7%
Q2 - 10:55WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 228
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q2 - 11:09WASWizards Rebound28
46.3%
24
53.7%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot28
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 11:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot28
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 11:40WASArenas 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)28
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS26
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound26
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASWade BLOCK (1 BLK)26
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)26
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
38.6%
24
61.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0WASAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)26
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)26
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0WASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0WASWizards Rebound26
47.9%
21
52.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAHEAT Rebound26
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Anthony Layup26
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q1 - 1:30WASMcGee Layup (2 PTS)26
45.5%
21
54.5%
Q1 - 1:35WASMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 1:36WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
41.3%
21
58.7%
Q1 - 1:55MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)24
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
47.5%
18
52.5%
Q1 - 2:05WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 2:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical24
47.6%
18
52.4%
Q1 - 2:38WASArenas 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Young 4 AST)24
47.6%
18
52.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (10 PTS)22
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 2:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
47.6%
16
52.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot22
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 3:05WASWade STEAL (1 STL)22
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 3:07WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS O'Neal Layup22
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:27WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 3:43MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
42.5%
16
57.5%
Q1 - 4:02WASJamison 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Young 3 AST)19
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 4:08WASYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
41.9%
14
58.1%
Q1 - 4:09WASMISS Young 16' Jump Shot17
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 4:20MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)17
41.9%
14
58.1%
Q1 - 4:35WASJamison Tip Shot (6 PTS)17
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 4:37WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 4:39WASMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 215
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 4:39WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 4:40WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot14
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper14
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 5:15WASJamison Layup (4 PTS)14
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
35.5%
12
64.5%
Q1 - 5:51MIAHEAT Rebound12
33.3%
12
66.7%
Q1 - 5:56WASMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 6:14MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)12
35.1%
12
64.9%
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.0%
10
63.0%
Q1 - 6:25WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot12
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 6:40MIABeasley 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 6:58WASYoung Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 7:03MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 7:16MIAHEAT Rebound10
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 7:18WASMISS Haywood Tip Shot10
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 7:21WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 7:23WASMISS Haywood 5' Hook Shot10
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 7:24WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 7:26WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 7:38MIAO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS)10
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Beasley 8' Running Jump Shot10
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 8:05WASButler Reverse Layup (4 PTS)10
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 8:06WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 8:07WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot8
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 8:17MIAJump Ball Beasley vs. Haywood: Tip to Arenas8
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 8:33WASYoung Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 8:36WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 8:59WASButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)8
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 9:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:28WASMISS Jamison 16' Jump Shot6
37.2%
4
62.8%
Q1 - 9:44MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
38.5%
4
61.5%
Q1 - 10:08WASJamison 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Young 2 AST)6
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:24MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:41WASHaywood Layup (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)4
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:51WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot2
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 11:10WASYoung 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:27MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS)0
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:40WASMISS Young 8' Jump Shot0
33.1%
0
66.9%
Q1 - 11:47MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Haywood: Tip to Beasley0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.97 48.5%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
15
23
65%
MIA
11
15
73%
Midrange
WAS
25
49
51%
MIA
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
MIA
6
9.0
26
23%
35%
Free Throws
WAS
8
15
53%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jamison2457%12.0 / 21
N. Young2244%11.0 / 25
E. Boykins1071%5.0 / 7
C. Butler945%4.5 / 10
G. Arenas964%4.5 / 7
A. Blatche844%4.0 / 9
B. Haywood643%3.0 / 7
R. Foye433%2.0 / 6
J. McGee2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Chalmers2063%10.0 / 16
J. O'Neal1959%9.5 / 16
D. Wade1841%9.0 / 22
M. Beasley1450%7.0 / 14
D. Cook758%3.5 / 6
J. Jones643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 4
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
77
+19
-12
96
MIA
76
+14
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.97 48.5%
MIA
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.0
106.7
WAS 105.6
MIA 95.5 +10.2
Pace
91.9
89.6
WAS 88.8
MIA 89.3 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
WAS 16.2
MIA 16.1 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
49.6%
WAS 50.0% +4.9%
MIA 45.1%
TO %
15.3%
13.6%
WAS 11.5% +2.2%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
27.7%
26.0%
WAS 38.1% +14.3%
MIA 23.8%
FTrt
28.3
29.6
WAS 17.4 +0.3
MIA 17.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.8%
51.9%
WAS 54.8% +4.8%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
6.5%
8.1%
WAS 7.9% +2.2%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
8.1%
9.4%
WAS 8.9% +0.6%
MIA 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.1%
WAS 48.5% +1.8%
MIA 46.7%
Rim FG%
56.8%
62.0%
WAS 65.2%
MIA 73.3% +8.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.8%
WAS 51.0% +9.5%
MIA 41.5%
3P %
35.3%
34.6%
WAS 14.3%
MIA 23.1% +8.8%
FT %
76.2%
75.2%
WAS 53.3%
MIA 71.4% +18.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
29.8%
WAS 26.7% +8.5%
MIA 18.3%
Mid Att. %
48.7%
48.3%
WAS 57.0%
MIA 50.0% +7.0%
3P Att. %
18.3%
21.9%
WAS 16.3%
MIA 31.7% +15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points9484
Rebounds4836
Assists2317
Steals75
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)26 (3)
Field Goals42-8634-82
At-the-Rim FG15-2311-15
Midrange FG25-4917-41
2-Point FG40-7228-56
3-Point FG2-146-26
Free Throws8-1510-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 33
42.0
24
57%
13
1
0
1
1
2
3
10
0-2
0%
9-16
56%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
37.5
9
45%
7
1
2
0
3
3
3
4
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
37.3
22
44%
4
5
0
0
3
3
2
2
2-4
50%
10-20
50%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 30
31.0
6
43%
7
0
2
1
2
4
5
2
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
27.3
9
64%
2
5
1
1
2
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
G · 5'5" 133 · 33
20.7
10
71%
3
9
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23
18.8
8
44%
9
2
0
0
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 270 · 22
14.7
2
100%
3
0
1
2
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 26
10.7
4
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 35
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
#13 · G · 6'2" 188 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
49%
48
23
7
5
12
0
16
32
8-15
53%
40-72
56%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.