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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards37%9894
13Heat63%10284
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.5
42.0
36.1
24
57%
13
1
0
1
1
1
3
10
0-2
0%
9-16
6-13
56%
48%
2-4
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
37.5
21.3
9
46%
7
1
2
1
0
3
3
4
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
37.3
14.3
22
44%
4
5
0
0
0
3
2
2
2-4
50%
10-20
2-4
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.0
31.0
31.3
6
44%
7
0
2
1
1
2
5
2
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
27.3
36.0
9
60%
2
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
5-12
80%
46%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.5
20.7
17.9
10
73%
3
9
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
18.8
21.9
8
44%
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.9
14.7
10.5
2
100%
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.2
10.7
16.3
4
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
17.2
0
1-2
57%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.7
8.0
0
0-1
42%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
2.8
0
0-0
41%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.4
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
40.5
32.1
19
60%
13
1
1
1
2
1
2
11
1-2
50%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
40.0
28.9
20
63%
2
4
1
2
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
50%
2-8
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.9
38.5
37.6
18
41%
4
6
2
2
1
4
0
4
5-7
71%
5-13
8-16
38%
52%
1-6
17%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
36.9
31.8
14
50%
7
2
0
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
35.8
27.4
6
40%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
2-7
29%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
26.5
30.2
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-4
5-9
0%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.6
10.6
19.9
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
39%
1-3
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.3
7.0
14.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
4.2
12.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.0
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.2
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.6
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.2
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.