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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks51%100100
1976ers49%9986
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
40.9
31.9
15
59%
8
3
0
1
2
5
1
7
5-6
83%
5-10
4-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.5
36.8
27.8
21
75%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
5-7
71%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.0
34.1
36.6
20
50%
6
1
2
1
3
2
3
3
2-5
40%
9-18
6-13
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.4
30.5
30.4
4
41%
9
0
2
1
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.4
29.8
40.5
9
51%
4
2
2
1
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
7-14
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.7
32.7
30.7
24
78%
4
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
6-8
3-8
75%
46%
3-6
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.3
14.4
6.8
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.1
11.2
10.4
1
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.5
5.2
5.6
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.8
4.5
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.9
1.4
0
0-0
49%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.0
0.6
0
0-0
44%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
43.0
38.6
22
79%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
6-10
6-11
60%
52%
3-3
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
40.3
25.5
4
45%
8
3
0
0
6
3
2
6
0-1
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
39.8
39.2
16
42%
9
8
2
2
2
6
0
9
1-2
50%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
27.8
21.6
14
54%
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-10
2-4
70%
47%
0-3
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.5
24.9
16.5
2
13%
1
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
46%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
25.5
14.7
13
61%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
25.4
14.7
8
67%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
2-2
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.3
13.4
14.5
7
44%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.1
26.0
1
3-7
48%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.7
20.9
1
4-7
49%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.2
5.1
0
1-1
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.9
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.