Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, November 27, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	11	Hawks	52%	100	100
	19	76ers	48%	99	86

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	111.1	90	90.7
PHI	97.7	88	87.3

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+11

-14

PHI

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.12 56.2%

PHI

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	PHI
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		100 100%	86 0%
Q4 - 0:22.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	100 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0	PHI	MISS Holiday 21' Jump Shot	100 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0	ATL	Crawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)	100 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	97 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0	PHI	MISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot	97 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 1:01	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	97 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 1:03	ATL	MISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot	97 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 1:27	PHI	Holiday 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	97 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 1:36	ATL	Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)	97 99.9%	84 0.1%
Q4 - 2:01	PHI	Iguodala Driving Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Dalembert 3 AST)	94 99.6%	84 0.4%
Q4 - 2:21	ATL	Crawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	94 99.7%	82 0.3%
Q4 - 2:21	ATL	Crawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	93 99.7%	82 0.3%
Q4 - 2:41	ATL	Crawford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	92 99.6%	82 0.4%
Q4 - 2:43	ATL	MISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot	92 99.4%	82 0.6%
Q4 - 3:07	PHI	Kapono Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)	92 99.3%	82 0.7%
Q4 - 3:17	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	92 98.9%	82 1.1%
Q4 - 3:19	ATL	MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot	92 99.0%	82 1.0%
Q4 - 3:42	PHI	Kapono Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)	92 98.4%	82 1.6%
Q4 - 4:02	ATL	Smith 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	92 97.8%	82 2.2%
Q4 - 4:14	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	90 97.0%	82 3.0%
Q4 - 4:16	PHI	MISS Iguodala Layup	90 96.6%	82 3.4%
Q4 - 4:41	ATL	Crawford 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)	90 95.6%	82 4.4%
Q4 - 4:59	PHI	Iguodala 10' Turnaround Bank Shot (14 PTS)	88 93.8%	82 6.2%
Q4 - 5:12	ATL	Hawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)	88 93.6%	80 6.4%
Q4 - 5:12	ATL	Hawks Rebound	88 95.4%	80 4.6%
Q4 - 5:12	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	88 94.2%	80 5.8%
Q4 - 5:35	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	88 95.5%	80 4.5%
Q4 - 5:37	PHI	MISS Smith 6' Jump Shot	88 95.0%	80 5.0%
Q4 - 5:53	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	88 93.7%	80 6.3%
Q4 - 5:53	ATL	Smith Slam Dunk (18 PTS)	88 93.7%	80 6.3%
Q4 - 5:56	ATL	Smith BLOCK (2 BLK)	86 89.4%	80 10.6%
Q4 - 6:13	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	86 89.6%	80 10.4%
Q4 - 6:13	PHI	MISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2	86 90.2%	79 9.8%
Q4 - 6:16	ATL	Iguodala STEAL (2 STL)	86 89.4%	79 10.6%
Q4 - 6:29	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	86 92.1%	79 7.9%
Q4 - 6:30	PHI	MISS Young 6' Hook Shot	86 91.4%	79 8.6%
Q4 - 6:46	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	86 89.5%	79 10.5%
Q4 - 6:46	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	85 89.0%	79 11.0%
Q4 - 6:57	PHI	Carney Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	84 86.5%	79 13.5%
Q4 - 6:57	PHI	Carney Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	84 87.4%	78 12.6%
Q4 - 7:00	ATL	Carney STEAL (2 STL)	84 89.5%	77 10.5%
Q4 - 7:17	PHI	Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Carney 3 AST)	84 90.7%	77 9.3%
Q4 - 7:34	ATL	Horford 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS)	84 94.3%	74 5.7%
Q4 - 7:49	PHI	Iguodala Traveling Turnover (P6.T11)	82 92.9%	74 7.1%
Q4 - 8:08	ATL	Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	82 89.3%	74 10.7%
Q4 - 8:21	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	82 91.5%	74 8.5%
Q4 - 8:23	PHI	MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot	82 90.9%	74 9.1%
Q4 - 8:37	ATL	Crawford Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)	82 89.4%	74 10.6%
Q4 - 8:45	ATL	Crawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	80 86.6%	74 13.4%
Q4 - 8:47	PHI	MISS Kapono 9' Jump Shot	80 85.7%	74 14.3%
Q4 - 9:08	ATL	Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)	80 81.9%	74 18.1%
Q4 - 9:35	PHI	Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carney 2 AST)	77 73.7%	74 26.3%
Q4 - 9:41	ATL	Carney STEAL (1 STL)	77 82.0%	71 18.0%
Q4 - 10:16	PHI	Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 3 AST)	77 83.9%	71 16.1%
Q4 - 10:40	ATL	Crawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	77 89.1%	68 10.9%
Q4 - 10:40	ATL	Crawford Driving Layup (15 PTS)	77 89.1%	68 10.9%
Q4 - 10:44	ATL	MISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot	75 84.8%	68 15.2%
Q4 - 11:05	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	75 85.5%	68 14.5%
Q4 - 11:06	PHI	MISS Green Layup	75 84.7%	68 15.3%
Q4 - 11:13	PHI	Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	75 82.8%	68 17.2%
Q4 - 11:15	ATL	MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot	75 83.7%	68 16.3%
Q4 - 11:42	PHI	Green Driving Layup (7 PTS)	75 85.6%	68 14.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL		75 88.1%	66 11.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	75 90.1%	66 9.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Crawford 42' 3PT Jump Shot	75 87.8%	66 12.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0	PHI	Green Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	75 89.1%	66 10.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0	ATL	Crawford 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)	75 87.2%	66 12.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0	PHI	Carney 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iguodala 8 AST)	72 81.6%	66 18.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0	ATL	Horford 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)	72 87.2%	63 12.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0	PHI	Carney Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	70 84.6%	63 15.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0	PHI	Carney Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	70 85.2%	62 14.8%
Q3 - 1:00	ATL	Crawford Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)	70 87.3%	61 12.7%
Q3 - 1:11	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	68 83.7%	61 16.3%
Q3 - 1:12	PHI	MISS Green 18' Jump Shot	68 82.9%	61 17.1%
Q3 - 1:24	ATL	Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	68 81.1%	61 18.9%
Q3 - 1:24	ATL	Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	67 80.4%	61 19.6%
Q3 - 1:35	PHI	Carney Running Dunk (6 PTS)	66 77.6%	61 22.4%
Q3 - 1:39	PHI	Carney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	66 81.1%	59 18.9%
Q3 - 1:40	ATL	Iguodala BLOCK (2 BLK)	66 81.9%	59 18.1%
Q3 - 1:47	PHI	Kapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)	66 83.7%	59 16.3%
Q3 - 1:58	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	66 81.1%	59 18.9%
Q3 - 2:00	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	66 81.9%	59 18.1%
Q3 - 2:24	PHI	Kapono 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	66 82.7%	59 17.3%
Q3 - 2:39	ATL	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	66 85.3%	57 14.7%
Q3 - 2:56	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	66 87.5%	57 12.5%
Q3 - 2:58	PHI	MISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot	66 86.9%	57 13.1%
Q3 - 3:08	ATL	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)	66 84.6%	57 15.4%
Q3 - 3:31	PHI	Green Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Carney 1 AST)	63 79.5%	57 20.5%
Q3 - 3:46	ATL	Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	63 82.1%	55 17.9%
Q3 - 3:46	ATL	Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	62 81.5%	55 18.5%
Q3 - 3:53	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	61 79.5%	55 20.5%
Q3 - 3:54	PHI	MISS Carney Layup	61 78.5%	55 21.5%
Q3 - 4:10	ATL	Crawford Driving Layup (8 PTS)	61 75.3%	55 24.7%
Q3 - 4:22	ATL	Hawks Rebound	59 72.5%	55 27.5%
Q3 - 4:24	PHI	MISS Holiday 8' Jump Shot	59 71.3%	55 28.7%
Q3 - 4:41	ATL	Smith Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)	59 68.3%	55 31.7%
Q3 - 4:46	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	57 65.1%	55 34.9%
Q3 - 4:48	PHI	MISS Holiday 17' Jump Shot	57 63.7%	55 36.3%
Q3 - 5:02	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	57 59.6%	55 40.4%
Q3 - 5:04	ATL	MISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot	57 61.0%	55 39.0%
Q3 - 5:30	PHI	Iguodala 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	57 64.2%	55 35.8%
Q3 - 5:35	PHI	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	57 67.5%	53 32.5%
Q3 - 5:36	ATL	Dalembert BLOCK (6 BLK)	57 68.7%	53 31.3%
Q3 - 5:38	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	57 71.5%	53 28.5%
Q3 - 5:40	ATL	MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot	57 68.7%	53 31.3%
Q3 - 6:06	PHI	Smith 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)	57 71.0%	53 29.0%
Q3 - 6:34	ATL	Smith Dunk (14 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)	57 73.8%	51 26.2%
Q3 - 6:51	PHI	Smith 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)	55 71.0%	51 29.0%
Q3 - 7:15	ATL	Johnson 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)	55 72.8%	49 27.2%
Q3 - 7:25	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	53 70.0%	49 30.0%
Q3 - 7:26	PHI	MISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot	53 68.9%	49 31.1%
Q3 - 7:52	ATL	Bibby 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)	53 66.4%	49 33.6%
Q3 - 8:15	PHI	Dalembert Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	51 62.8%	49 37.2%
Q3 - 8:21	ATL	Holiday STEAL (2 STL)	51 58.9%	49 41.1%
Q3 - 8:25	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T7)	51 62.7%	49 37.3%
Q3 - 8:31	ATL	Smith STEAL (1 STL)	51 58.9%	49 41.1%
Q3 - 8:43	PHI	Smith Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Young 1 AST)	51 62.7%	49 37.3%
Q3 - 9:07	ATL	Horford 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	51 65.9%	47 34.1%
Q3 - 9:19	PHI	Young 9' Running Bank Shot (19 PTS)	49 62.5%	47 37.5%
Q3 - 9:29	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	49 65.9%	45 34.1%
Q3 - 9:29	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	48 65.3%	45 34.7%
Q3 - 9:48	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)	47 62.5%	45 37.5%
Q3 - 9:51	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	47 58.9%	45 41.1%
Q3 - 9:53	ATL	Smith BLOCK (1 BLK)	47 60.0%	45 40.0%
Q3 - 10:21	PHI	Smith Layup (8 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)	47 62.3%	45 37.7%
Q3 - 10:27	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	47 65.6%	43 34.4%
Q3 - 10:28	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	47 68.8%	43 31.2%
Q3 - 10:28	ATL	MISS Horford Tip Shot	47 66.6%	43 33.4%
Q3 - 10:30	ATL	MISS Horford Layup	47 66.6%	43 33.4%
Q3 - 10:53	PHI	Young 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)	47 68.8%	43 31.2%
Q3 - 11:04	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	47 71.3%	41 28.7%
Q3 - 11:07	ATL	MISS Horford 15' Jump Shot	47 72.2%	41 27.8%
Q3 - 11:19	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 74.2%	41 25.8%
Q3 - 11:20	PHI	MISS Iguodala 15' Jump Shot	47 73.4%	41 26.6%
Q3 - 11:42	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	47 71.3%	41 28.7%
Q3 - 11:44	ATL	MISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 2	47 71.7%	41 28.3%
Q3 - 11:44	ATL	Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	47 73.5%	41 26.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		46 71.5%	41 28.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	46 71.5%	41 28.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0	PHI	MISS Iguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot	46 70.0%	41 30.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0	ATL	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	46 68.5%	41 31.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0	ATL	MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2	45 68.0%	41 32.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	45 67.9%	41 32.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0	PHI	MISS Carney Layup	45 67.2%	41 32.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0	PHI	Carney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 65.5%	41 34.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0	PHI	MISS Young 16' Jump Shot	45 67.2%	41 32.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0	ATL	Smith Layup (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	45 65.5%	41 34.5%
Q2 - 1:04	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	43 61.6%	41 38.4%
Q2 - 1:06	PHI	MISS Carney 25' 3PT Jump Shot	43 60.9%	41 39.1%
Q2 - 1:11	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	43 59.3%	41 40.7%
Q2 - 1:13	ATL	Dalembert BLOCK (5 BLK)	43 60.0%	41 40.0%
Q2 - 1:22	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)	43 61.6%	41 38.4%
Q2 - 1:42	PHI	76ERS Rebound	43 59.3%	41 40.7%
Q2 - 1:44	ATL	MISS Bibby 13' Jump Shot	43 60.0%	41 40.0%
Q2 - 2:05	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	43 61.9%	41 38.1%
Q2 - 2:07	PHI	MISS Iguodala 16' Jump Shot	43 60.9%	41 39.1%
Q2 - 2:19	ATL	Horford Foul Turnover (P3.T7)	43 58.6%	41 41.4%
Q2 - 2:28	PHI	Dalembert Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)	43 61.9%	41 38.1%
Q2 - 2:29	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	43 58.7%	41 41.3%
Q2 - 2:30	PHI	MISS Carney Layup	43 60.9%	41 39.1%
Q2 - 2:49	ATL	Smith Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)	43 58.7%	41 41.3%
Q2 - 2:57	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 55.6%	41 44.4%
Q2 - 2:59	PHI	MISS Holiday 26' 3PT Jump Shot	41 54.6%	41 45.4%
Q2 - 3:13	PHI	76ERS Rebound	41 52.3%	41 47.7%
Q2 - 3:14	PHI	MISS Iguodala Layup	41 54.9%	41 45.1%
Q2 - 3:20	ATL	Smith Running Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	41 52.3%	41 47.7%
Q2 - 3:27	ATL	Hawks Rebound	39 49.8%	41 50.2%
Q2 - 3:27	ATL	Dalembert BLOCK (4 BLK)	39 47.2%	41 52.8%
Q2 - 3:31	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	39 49.8%	41 50.2%
Q2 - 3:34	ATL	Dalembert BLOCK (3 BLK)	39 47.2%	41 52.8%
Q2 - 3:42	PHI	Dalembert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	39 49.8%	41 50.2%
Q2 - 4:02	ATL	Williams 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)	39 46.3%	41 53.7%
Q2 - 4:27	PHI	Iguodala Running Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Dalembert 2 AST)	37 43.5%	41 56.5%
Q2 - 4:44	PHI	Carney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 46.3%	39 53.7%
Q2 - 4:45	ATL	MISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot	37 47.3%	39 52.7%
Q2 - 5:00	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 49.6%	39 50.4%
Q2 - 5:02	PHI	MISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 1	37 49.4%	39 50.6%
Q2 - 5:10	PHI	Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 52.8%	37 47.2%
Q2 - 5:12	ATL	MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot	37 53.7%	37 46.3%
Q2 - 5:27	PHI	Carney Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)	37 55.7%	37 44.3%
Q2 - 5:31	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	37 58.7%	35 41.3%
Q2 - 5:32	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	37 59.5%	35 40.5%
Q2 - 5:56	PHI	Young Dunk (15 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)	37 61.5%	35 38.5%
Q2 - 5:58	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	37 64.3%	33 35.7%
Q2 - 6:00	PHI	MISS Iguodala Layup	37 66.2%	33 33.8%
Q2 - 6:21	ATL	Pachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)	37 63.6%	33 36.4%
Q2 - 6:34	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 66.7%	33 33.3%
Q2 - 6:36	PHI	MISS Dalembert 19' Jump Shot	37 65.8%	33 34.2%
Q2 - 6:49	ATL	Johnson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	37 63.7%	33 36.3%
Q2 - 7:11	PHI	Iguodala 21' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)	37 66.4%	33 33.6%
Q2 - 7:38	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	37 68.7%	31 31.3%
Q2 - 7:38	ATL	Smith 4' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)	36 66.3%	31 33.7%
Q2 - 7:58	PHI	Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Green 2 AST)	34 63.8%	31 36.2%
Q2 - 8:15	PHI	76ERS Rebound	34 68.2%	28 31.8%
Q2 - 8:15	ATL	MISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot	34 68.9%	28 31.1%
Q2 - 8:24	ATL	Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	34 70.6%	28 29.4%
Q2 - 8:26	PHI	MISS Carney 27' 3PT Jump Shot	34 69.9%	28 30.1%
Q2 - 8:41	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	34 68.3%	28 31.7%
Q2 - 8:42	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2	34 68.6%	28 31.4%
Q2 - 8:42	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	34 69.9%	28 30.1%
Q2 - 8:42	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	34 70.6%	28 29.4%
Q2 - 8:44	ATL	Dalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)	34 69.0%	28 31.0%
Q2 - 8:59	ATL	Hawks Rebound	34 70.6%	28 29.4%
Q2 - 8:59	PHI	MISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot	34 69.9%	28 30.1%
Q2 - 9:15	ATL	Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	34 67.7%	28 32.3%
Q2 - 9:29	ATL	Crawford Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	31 63.0%	28 37.0%
Q2 - 9:39	ATL	Hawks Rebound	30 60.5%	28 39.5%
Q2 - 9:39	PHI	MISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot	30 59.7%	28 40.3%
Q2 - 9:42	PHI	Green REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	30 57.8%	28 42.2%
Q2 - 9:44	PHI	MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot	30 59.7%	28 40.3%
Q2 - 9:53	ATL	Kapono STEAL (1 STL)	30 57.8%	28 42.2%
Q2 - 10:15	PHI	Carney Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	30 60.3%	28 39.7%
Q2 - 10:15	PHI	Carney Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 60.9%	27 39.1%
Q2 - 10:32	ATL	Teague Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)	30 62.6%	26 37.4%
Q2 - 10:37	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	28 60.3%	26 39.7%
Q2 - 10:40	PHI	MISS Green Layup	28 59.5%	26 40.5%
Q2 - 10:46	PHI	Carney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 57.6%	26 42.4%
Q2 - 10:47	ATL	MISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot	28 58.4%	26 41.6%
Q2 - 11:16	PHI	Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Green 1 AST)	28 60.0%	26 40.0%
Q2 - 11:40	ATL	Horford 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)	28 64.7%	23 35.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL		26 62.5%	23 37.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHI	Green 43' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	26 62.5%	23 37.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 66.6%	20 33.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	ATL	MISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot	26 67.1%	20 32.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	26 68.4%	20 31.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0	PHI	MISS Green Layup	26 67.8%	20 32.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0	ATL	Teague 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)	26 66.7%	20 33.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 64.0%	20 36.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0	PHI	MISS Iguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot	24 63.4%	20 36.6%
Q1 - 1:06	ATL	Smith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	24 62.0%	20 38.0%
Q1 - 1:16	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 59.0%	20 41.0%
Q1 - 1:18	PHI	MISS Smith 11' Jump Shot	22 58.6%	20 41.4%
Q1 - 1:41	ATL	Crawford Driving Layup (2 PTS)	22 57.4%	20 42.6%
Q1 - 1:56	PHI	Young 5' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)	20 54.4%	20 45.6%
Q1 - 2:05	PHI	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 57.3%	18 42.7%
Q1 - 2:06	ATL	MISS Evans 16' Jump Shot	20 57.9%	18 42.1%
Q1 - 2:25	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 59.2%	18 40.8%
Q1 - 2:27	PHI	MISS Young Free Throw 2 of 2	20 59.0%	18 41.0%
Q1 - 2:27	PHI	Young Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	20 57.5%	18 42.5%
Q1 - 2:43	ATL	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	20 59.6%	17 40.4%
Q1 - 2:53	PHI	Young 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)	17 54.6%	17 45.4%
Q1 - 3:09	ATL	Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)	17 57.2%	15 42.8%
Q1 - 3:16	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 52.7%	15 47.3%
Q1 - 3:18	PHI	MISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot	14 52.0%	15 48.0%
Q1 - 3:40	ATL	Horford Layup (2 PTS)	14 50.3%	15 49.7%
Q1 - 3:58	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)	12 48.0%	15 52.0%
Q1 - 4:02	ATL	Iguodala STEAL (1 STL)	12 45.8%	15 54.2%
Q1 - 4:25	PHI	Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)	12 48.1%	15 51.9%
Q1 - 4:41	PHI	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	12 52.5%	12 47.5%
Q1 - 4:43	ATL	MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12 53.2%	12 46.8%
Q1 - 4:50	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 54.8%	12 45.2%
Q1 - 4:51	ATL	MISS Horford 6' Jump Shot	12 53.2%	12 46.8%
Q1 - 5:13	PHI	Young 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)	12 54.6%	12 45.4%
Q1 - 5:38	ATL	Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)	12 56.5%	10 43.5%
Q1 - 5:51	PHI	Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	9 52.4%	10 47.6%
Q1 - 5:55	PHI	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	9 50.1%	10 49.9%
Q1 - 5:59	ATL	Iguodala BLOCK (1 BLK)	9 50.8%	10 49.2%
Q1 - 6:02	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 52.4%	10 47.6%
Q1 - 6:04	PHI	MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot	9 51.7%	10 48.3%
Q1 - 6:28	ATL	Johnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	9 50.2%	10 49.8%
Q1 - 6:41	PHI	Dalembert 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)	7 48.1%	10 51.9%
Q1 - 6:57	ATL	Smith 16' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)	7 50.2%	8 49.8%
Q1 - 7:08	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	5 48.3%	8 51.7%
Q1 - 7:10	PHI	MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot	5 47.6%	8 52.4%
Q1 - 7:17	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	5 46.1%	8 53.9%
Q1 - 7:19	ATL	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	5 46.8%	8 53.2%
Q1 - 7:42	PHI	Smith Layup (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)	5 48.3%	8 51.7%
Q1 - 7:47	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 50.3%	6 49.7%
Q1 - 7:49	PHI	MISS Holiday 13' Jump Shot	5 51.8%	6 48.2%
Q1 - 8:09	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	5 50.5%	6 49.5%
Q1 - 8:10	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2	5 50.8%	6 49.2%
Q1 - 8:10	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	5 51.9%	6 48.1%
Q1 - 8:27	PHI	Smith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)	4 50.5%	6 49.5%
Q1 - 8:51	ATL	Bibby 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 52.5%	4 47.5%
Q1 - 8:59	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 50.5%	4 49.5%
Q1 - 9:01	PHI	MISS Holiday 12' Jump Shot	2 50.3%	4 49.7%
Q1 - 9:10	PHI	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 49.0%	4 51.0%
Q1 - 9:13	ATL	MISS Williams 17' Jump Shot	2 49.6%	4 50.4%
Q1 - 9:21	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 50.9%	4 49.1%
Q1 - 9:23	PHI	MISS Iguodala 14' Jump Shot	2 50.3%	4 49.7%
Q1 - 9:44	ATL	Horford Foul Turnover (P2.T2)	2 49.0%	4 51.0%
Q1 - 9:56	ATL	Hawks Rebound	2 50.9%	4 49.1%
Q1 - 9:59	PHI	MISS Young Layup	2 50.3%	4 49.7%
Q1 - 10:04	ATL	Holiday STEAL (1 STL)	2 49.0%	4 51.0%
Q1 - 10:26	PHI	Iguodala 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 51.1%	4 48.9%
Q1 - 10:31	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 52.8%	2 47.2%
Q1 - 10:33	ATL	Dalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 53.4%	2 46.6%
Q1 - 10:44	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 54.9%	2 45.1%
Q1 - 10:46	PHI	MISS Holiday 16' Jump Shot	2 54.2%	2 45.8%
Q1 - 11:00	ATL	Bibby 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	2 52.8%	2 47.2%
Q1 - 11:17	PHI	Smith Layup (2 PTS)	0 51.2%	2 48.8%
Q1 - 11:18	PHI	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 52.9%	0 47.1%
Q1 - 11:20	PHI	MISS Dalembert Layup	0 54.1%	0 45.9%
Q1 - 11:25	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 52.9%	0 47.1%
Q1 - 11:26	ATL	MISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot	0 53.4%	0 46.6%
Q1 - 11:42	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 54.6%	0 45.4%
Q1 - 11:44	PHI	MISS Young 8' Hook Shot	0 54.1%	0 45.9%
Q1 - 12:00	PHI	Jump Ball Dalembert vs. Smith: Tip to Smith	0 52.9%	0 47.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.12 56.2%

PHI

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

56%

PHI

58%

Midrange

ATL

48%

PHI

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

50%

75%

PHI

12.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

ATL

75%

PHI

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Crawford	24	80%	12.0 / 15
M. Bibby	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Smith	20	48%	10.0 / 21
A. Horford	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Johnson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Teague	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Evans	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	22	79%	11.0 / 14
A. Iguodala	16	42%	8.0 / 19
J. Smith	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Carney	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Kapono	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Green	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Dalembert	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Holiday	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+11

-14

PHI

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.12 56.2%

PHI

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	112.2 105.9	ATL 111.1 PHI 97.7 +13.4
Pace	89.9 91.8	ATL 90.7 +3.4 PHI 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 15.7	ATL 15.9 +0.6 PHI 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.6% 49.6%	ATL 57.4% +7.4% PHI 50.0%
TO %	12.7% 15.0%	ATL 15.3% PHI 13.6% +1.7%
ORB %	28.3% 27.7%	ATL 23.5% +8.5% PHI 15.0%
FTrt	28.1 27.0	ATL 27.0 +12.9 PHI 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.2% 55.8%	ATL 44.7% PHI 65.7% +21.0%
STL %	8.0% 8.8%	ATL 7.8% PHI 9.1% +1.3%
BLK %	7.9% 8.7%	ATL 8.3% PHI 17.9% +9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.3% 51.9%	ATL 56.2% +4.4% PHI 51.8%
Rim FG%	60.8% 60.5%	ATL 55.6% PHI 57.7% +2.1%
Mid FG%	40.6% 40.3%	ATL 48.3% +13.0% PHI 35.3%
3P %	36.0% 34.3%	ATL 50.0% +5.6% PHI 44.4%
FT %	75.9% 75.6%	ATL 75.0% +2.3% PHI 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.5% 34.4%	ATL 36.5% +3.2% PHI 33.3%
Mid Att. %	43.1% 45.0%	ATL 39.2% +4.4% PHI 43.6%
3P Att. %	21.4% 20.6%	ATL 24.3% +1.2% PHI 23.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	PHI
Possessions	90	88
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	100	86
Rebounds	42	32
Assists	17	23
Steals	7	8
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	26 (2)
Field Goals	38-74	35-78
At-the-Rim FG	15-27	15-26
Midrange FG	14-29	12-34
2-Point FG	29-56	27-60
3-Point FG	9-18	8-18
Free Throws	15-20	8-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 23	40.9	15	58%	8	3	0	2	5	2	1	7	5-6	83%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 32	36.8	21	75%	4	5	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	5-7	71%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 24	34.1	20	48%	6	1	2	3	2	1	3	3	2-5	40%	9-18	50%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	30.5	4	40%	9	0	2	0	1	2	0	9	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	29.8	9	50%	4	2	2	0	4	5	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 30	32.7	24	80%	4	5	1	0	0	2	2	2	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Joe Smith F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34	14.4	2	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	11.2	1	17%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 21	5.2	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 26	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 24
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 31
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	42	17	7	5	14	0	8	34	15-20	75%	29-56	52%	9-18	50%

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11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 23	40.9	15	58%	8	3	0	2	5	2	1	7	5-6	83%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 32	36.8	21	75%	4	5	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	5-7	71%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 24	34.1	20	48%	6	1	2	3	2	1	3	3	2-5	40%	9-18	50%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	30.5	4	40%	9	0	2	0	1	2	0	9	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	29.8	9	50%	4	2	2	0	4	5	2	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 30	32.7	24	80%	4	5	1	0	0	2	2	2	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Joe Smith F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34	14.4	2	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	11.2	1	17%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 21	5.2	4	67%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 26	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 24
Jason Collins C · 7'0" 255 · 31
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	42	17	7	5	14	0	8	34	15-20	75%	29-56	52%	9-18	50%

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19 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 21	43.0	22	79%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	3-3	100%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 30	40.3	4	50%	8	3	0	6	3	2	2	6	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 26	39.8	16	42%	9	8	2	2	6	1	0	9	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	1-4	25%
Jason Smith F · 7'0" 240 · 24	27.8	14	54%	5	0	1	2	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-3	0%
Jrue Holiday G · 6'4" 205 · 19	24.9	2	13%	1	5	2	0	0	4	1	0	0-0	-	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
Rodney Carney F · 6'7" 205 · 26	25.5	13	59%	4	3	2	0	0	0	1	3	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 29	25.4	8	67%	2	0	1	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 28	13.4	7	44%	1	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 23
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 31
Primoz Brezec C · 7'1" 255 · 30
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 28
Marreese Speights #16 · F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	52%	32	23	8	10	13	0	6	26	8-11	73%	27-60	45%	8-18	44%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE