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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks41%9490
17Thunder59%97108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
29.6
30.7
14
48%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
2-9
5-13
22%
43%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
25.3
25.1
15
69%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
41%
3-4
75%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
22.4
24.7
8
40%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
22.4
25.1
13
47%
12
3
1
1
0
0
6
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
11.5
12.9
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
31.4
23.7
15
61%
9
0
0
1
0
1
2
7
5-5
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
29.6
30.5
13
60%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
24.5
23.0
2
25%
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
20.3
31.2
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
10.5
7.8
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
6.3
2.9
3
61%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
6.3
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
40.9
33.7
17
56%
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
5-7
71%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.2
40.3
35.1
33
61%
12
5
3
1
0
3
4
8
12-14
86%
9-18
7-15
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
35.9
34.0
20
54%
6
7
0
1
2
2
0
6
7-8
88%
5-12
5-11
42%
44%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
32.6
33.0
13
78%
11
2
1
2
0
2
2
9
2-3
67%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.3
23.8
21.3
4
40%
6
1
0
0
3
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.3
27.3
22.8
15
95%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
3-3
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.2
18.8
18.0
2
16%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-1
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
50%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
10.5
6.5
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 30.6
10.0
0.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.7
10.5
0
1-2
52%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.2
9.1
0
1-2
47%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
7.2
0
1-1
44%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 34.0
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.1
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.