FinalWin Prob.pScore
1045%98
92
1255%100
84
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
100.09288.4
HOU logo HOU
91.39295.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Brooks Layup90
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)89
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Brooks 17' Jump Shot88
97.5%
84
2.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
95.3%
84
4.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
94.6%
84
5.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOULandry 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS)86
87.7%
84
12.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)86
93.3%
82
6.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Landry 10' Jump Shot86
95.9%
82
4.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)86
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 1:08HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
94.4%
82
5.6%
Q4 - 1:13SASLowry STEAL (3 STL)86
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 1:33HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)86
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 1:38SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 1:38SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 1:38SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)84
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 1:39HOUMISS Brooks Layup84
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 1:45SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)84
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 2:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
96.6%
76
3.4%
Q4 - 2:03HOUMISS Lowry Layup82
95.9%
76
4.1%
Q4 - 2:07HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
93.8%
76
6.2%
Q4 - 2:08SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot82
94.9%
76
5.1%
Q4 - 2:28HOULowry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)82
96.8%
76
3.2%
Q4 - 2:43HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
93.9%
76
6.1%
Q4 - 2:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 282
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q4 - 2:43SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
95.7%
76
4.3%
Q4 - 2:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
94.9%
76
5.1%
Q4 - 2:44HOUMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
93.8%
76
6.2%
Q4 - 2:57HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)81
88.4%
76
11.6%
Q4 - 2:59HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
91.8%
76
8.2%
Q4 - 3:17SASDuncan 11' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
88.6%
76
11.4%
Q4 - 3:37SASSpurs Rebound79
79.2%
76
20.8%
Q4 - 3:38HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
77.1%
76
22.9%
Q4 - 3:46HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
71.9%
76
28.1%
Q4 - 3:47SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot79
74.4%
76
25.6%
Q4 - 4:09HOUAndersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)79
79.8%
76
20.2%
Q4 - 4:26SASMcDyess Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)79
89.4%
73
10.6%
Q4 - 5:05HOULandry 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
81.9%
73
18.1%
Q4 - 5:25SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)77
86.4%
71
13.6%
Q4 - 5:25SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)77
90.0%
71
10.0%
Q4 - 5:26SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot77
87.6%
71
12.4%
Q4 - 5:49HOULowry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)77
90.1%
71
9.9%
Q4 - 6:02HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
83.6%
71
16.4%
Q4 - 6:03SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot77
85.0%
71
15.0%
Q4 - 6:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
87.7%
71
12.3%
Q4 - 6:19HOUMISS Ariza Layup77
86.6%
71
13.4%
Q4 - 6:21HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
83.8%
71
16.2%
Q4 - 6:22HOUMISS Ariza Driving Layup77
86.6%
71
13.4%
Q4 - 6:43SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)77
83.9%
71
16.1%
Q4 - 6:53HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)77
87.8%
71
12.2%
Q4 - 6:54SASAriza STEAL (2 STL)77
83.9%
71
16.1%
Q4 - 6:56SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)77
87.8%
71
12.2%
Q4 - 6:57SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot77
85.2%
71
14.8%
Q4 - 7:15HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
85.8%
71
14.2%
Q4 - 7:15HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
86.5%
70
13.5%
Q4 - 7:18SASLowry STEAL (2 STL)77
88.6%
69
11.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q4 - 7:37HOUMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot77
90.6%
69
9.4%
Q4 - 7:53SASBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T9)77
88.7%
69
11.3%
Q4 - 8:16HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)77
89.7%
69
10.3%
Q4 - 8:28SASParker Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS)77
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q4 - 8:46HOULowry Foul Turnover (P1.T8)75
91.9%
66
8.1%
Q4 - 8:58SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q4 - 9:13HOULowry Driving Layup (8 PTS)73
85.4%
66
14.6%
Q4 - 9:24HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q4 - 9:26SASMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot73
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q4 - 9:43SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
90.5%
64
9.5%
Q4 - 9:44SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot73
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q4 - 10:08HOULandry Reverse Layup (9 PTS)73
89.1%
64
10.9%
Q4 - 10:24SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)73
91.1%
62
8.9%
Q4 - 10:43HOUBudinger Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
86.8%
62
13.2%
Q4 - 11:08SASBonner Driving Layup (2 PTS)70
87.9%
60
12.1%
Q4 - 11:33HOUBudinger Dunk (7 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)68
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q4 - 11:37SASLowry STEAL (1 STL)68
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS68
90.0%
58
10.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 23' Jump Shot68
88.6%
58
11.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
88.8%
58
11.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 268
89.2%
57
10.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASHill Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)68
89.0%
57
11.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
90.7%
57
9.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
92.4%
55
7.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
93.3%
55
6.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOULowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
92.5%
55
7.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot68
93.3%
55
6.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
92.5%
55
7.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)67
92.2%
55
7.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOULowry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)66
90.8%
55
9.2%
Q3 - 1:16SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)66
93.0%
52
7.0%
Q3 - 1:34HOUBudinger 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)63
89.9%
52
10.1%
Q3 - 1:50SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
91.7%
50
8.3%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 262
91.3%
50
8.7%
Q3 - 2:00SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)62
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q3 - 2:01HOUMISS Landry 13' Jump Shot62
90.0%
50
10.0%
Q3 - 2:36SASParker 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 2:51SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 2:51HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 260
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q3 - 2:51HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 260
85.3%
50
14.7%
Q3 - 3:10HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
83.5%
50
16.5%
Q3 - 3:10SASMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 260
83.9%
50
16.1%
Q3 - 3:10SASMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 260
85.5%
50
14.5%
Q3 - 3:33HOUBrooks Layup (9 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)60
86.0%
50
14.0%
Q3 - 3:35HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)60
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q3 - 3:37SASLandry BLOCK (1 BLK)60
88.6%
48
11.4%
Q3 - 3:41SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
89.8%
48
10.2%
Q3 - 3:42SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot60
88.6%
48
11.4%
Q3 - 4:02HOUBrooks Foul Turnover (P2.T7)60
89.2%
48
10.8%
Q3 - 4:10SASParker 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
87.1%
48
12.9%
Q3 - 4:37HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)58
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 4:54SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)58
87.1%
46
12.9%
Q3 - 5:08SASSpurs Rebound58
88.1%
46
11.9%
Q3 - 5:09SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
86.6%
46
13.4%
Q3 - 5:32HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)58
88.1%
46
11.9%
Q3 - 5:52SASDuncan 10' Hook Shot (18 PTS)58
86.0%
46
14.0%
Q3 - 6:08SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 6:09HOUMISS Scola 12' Jump Shot56
82.3%
46
17.7%
Q3 - 6:22SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
80.5%
46
19.5%
Q3 - 6:22SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
80.0%
46
20.0%
Q3 - 6:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
78.1%
46
21.9%
Q3 - 6:26HOUMISS Ariza 8' Jump Shot54
77.2%
46
22.8%
Q3 - 6:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
74.9%
46
25.1%
Q3 - 6:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
74.1%
46
25.9%
Q3 - 6:56SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
72.1%
46
27.9%
Q3 - 6:57HOUMISS Brooks 23' Jump Shot52
71.0%
46
29.0%
Q3 - 7:30SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)52
67.2%
46
32.8%
Q3 - 7:34HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)50
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q3 - 7:36HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
60.0%
46
40.0%
Q3 - 7:37SASMISS Jefferson Layup50
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q3 - 7:48SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q3 - 7:49HOUMISS Hayes Layup50
62.8%
46
37.2%
Q3 - 7:58HOUROCKETS Rebound50
60.1%
46
39.9%
Q3 - 7:59HOUMISS Brooks Layup50
62.8%
46
37.2%
Q3 - 8:12HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 8:13SASMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot50
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q3 - 8:23SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
63.4%
46
36.6%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Hayes Layup50
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q3 - 8:25HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)50
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 8:26HOUMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot50
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q3 - 8:41SASMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)50
59.5%
46
40.5%
Q3 - 8:53SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
56.1%
46
43.9%
Q3 - 8:55HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
54.9%
46
45.1%
Q3 - 8:58HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMISS Brooks 3PT Jump Shot48
54.9%
46
45.1%
Q3 - 9:17SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)48
52.0%
46
48.0%
Q3 - 9:30SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q3 - 9:31HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot46
47.2%
46
52.8%
Q3 - 9:45SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q3 - 9:45SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
44.0%
46
56.0%
Q3 - 10:05SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q3 - 10:06HOUMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q3 - 10:20HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q3 - 10:20SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
38.7%
46
61.3%
Q3 - 10:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q3 - 10:29HOUMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot44
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q3 - 10:50HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)44
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q3 - 10:51SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot44
38.7%
46
61.3%
Q3 - 10:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Hayes Layup44
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q3 - 11:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q3 - 11:03HOUMISS Hayes Layup44
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q3 - 11:20HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot44
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q3 - 11:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
41.4%
46
58.6%
Q3 - 11:35HOUMISS Ariza 7' Jump Shot44
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q3 - 11:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q3 - 11:42HOUMISS Hayes Layup44
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q3 - 11:43HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q3 - 11:44HOUMISS Brooks 8' Jump Shot44
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS44
37.8%
46
62.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUBrooks Reverse Layup (7 PTS)44
41.4%
46
58.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
45.3%
44
54.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot44
46.1%
44
53.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUBrooks 13' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)44
47.9%
44
52.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASParker 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
51.9%
42
48.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Ariza Driving Layup42
47.1%
42
52.9%
Q2 - 1:12SASParker 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)42
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 1:36HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)40
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 1:51SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)40
48.7%
39
51.3%
Q2 - 2:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
44.9%
39
55.1%
Q2 - 2:02HOUMISS Scola 10' Turnaround Hook Shot38
43.9%
39
56.1%
Q2 - 2:19HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
41.6%
39
58.4%
Q2 - 2:19SASMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot38
42.6%
39
57.4%
Q2 - 2:41HOUScola 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)38
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 2:57HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 2:59SASMISS Duncan Layup38
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 3:09HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)38
51.4%
37
48.6%
Q2 - 3:24HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
47.7%
37
52.3%
Q2 - 3:25SASMISS Jefferson Driving Layup38
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 3:51HOULandry 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
51.4%
37
48.6%
Q2 - 4:04SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)38
53.7%
35
46.3%
Q2 - 4:09HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
50.9%
35
49.1%
Q2 - 4:26HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 4:26SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 236
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 4:26SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
50.0%
35
50.0%
Q2 - 4:39HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 4:39HOUScola Layup (14 PTS)35
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 4:41HOUMISS Budinger Driving Layup35
53.0%
33
47.0%
Q2 - 4:56SASParker 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 5:13SASSpurs Rebound33
47.8%
33
52.2%
Q2 - 5:14HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
46.9%
33
53.1%
Q2 - 5:22HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.9%
33
55.1%
Q2 - 5:23SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot33
45.7%
33
54.3%
Q2 - 5:38SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
47.8%
33
52.2%
Q2 - 5:39HOUMISS Budinger 19' Jump Bank Shot33
46.9%
33
53.1%
Q2 - 5:50HOUROCKETS Rebound33
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q2 - 5:52SASMISS Mason Jr. 18' Jump Shot33
45.7%
33
54.3%
Q2 - 6:07SASSpurs Rebound33
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 6:08SASMISS Hill 10' Jump Shot33
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 6:17SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 6:18HOUMISS Landry 12' Jump Shot33
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 6:44SASMason Jr. Foul Turnover (P2.T5)33
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 6:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 6:50HOUMISS Lowry 16' Jump Shot33
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 7:03HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 7:04SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
45.6%
33
54.4%
Q2 - 7:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 7:16HOUMISS Andersen 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot33
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 7:39HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 7:40SASMISS Blair Reverse Layup33
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 7:57HOUAndersen 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)33
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 8:13SASBlair Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)33
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 8:27HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
47.4%
31
52.6%
Q2 - 8:41SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 8:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
47.4%
28
52.6%
Q2 - 8:50HOUMISS Landry 5' Jump Shot28
46.5%
28
53.5%
Q2 - 9:17SASBlair Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)28
44.3%
28
55.7%
Q2 - 9:24SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q2 - 9:25HOUMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot26
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 9:42SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q2 - 9:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q2 - 9:49HOUMISS Lowry Layup23
33.5%
28
66.5%
Q2 - 9:50HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 9:53HOUMISS Landry Layup23
33.5%
28
66.5%
Q2 - 10:08SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)23
32.0%
28
68.0%
Q2 - 10:22HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)21
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 10:25HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q2 - 10:27HOUMISS Ariza Driving Dunk21
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 10:47SASHill 15' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
34.3%
25
65.7%
Q2 - 11:06HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
32.4%
25
67.6%
Q2 - 11:06HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q2 - 11:10SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q2 - 11:10SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 218
34.1%
23
65.9%
Q2 - 11:25SASSpurs Rebound18
34.6%
23
65.4%
Q2 - 11:28HOUMISS Landry Layup18
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU18
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound18
32.2%
23
67.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Ariza Layup18
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMason Jr. Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOULandry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Ariza 6' Jump Shot18
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Mason Jr. Driving Layup18
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUMISS Ariza 8' Jump Shot18
33.9%
23
66.1%
Q1 - 1:04SASScola STEAL (1 STL)18
33.2%
23
66.8%
Q1 - 1:15HOUScola Layup (12 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)18
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q1 - 1:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 1:31SASDuncan Tip Shot (8 PTS)18
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot16
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 1:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 1:41HOUMISS Hayes Driving Layup16
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 2:01SASFinley 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)16
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 2:18HOUScola 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 2:39HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 2:40SASMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot14
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 2:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 2:54HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup14
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 3:15SASHayes STEAL (1 STL)14
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 3:36HOUScola Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)14
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 3:54SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
37.6%
17
62.4%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 213
37.1%
17
62.9%
Q1 - 3:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
37.6%
17
62.4%
Q1 - 4:00HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 4:06HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 4:08SASHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)13
36.1%
17
63.9%
Q1 - 4:24HOUScola 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)13
37.6%
17
62.4%
Q1 - 4:44SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)13
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 5:07HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)11
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
41.7%
12
58.3%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
41.1%
12
58.9%
Q1 - 5:42HOUScola Layup (4 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)9
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 6:00SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 6:00SASMcDyess Putback Dunk (4 PTS)9
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 6:01SASMISS Bogans Layup7
38.3%
10
61.7%
Q1 - 6:07HOUBrooks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 6:13HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
37.6%
10
62.4%
Q1 - 6:14SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot7
38.3%
10
61.7%
Q1 - 6:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 6:32HOUMISS Scola Layup7
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 6:55SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS)7
37.6%
10
62.4%
Q1 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS McDyess Layup5
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 6:59SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 7:00SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot5
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 7:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 7:16HOUMISS Hayes Layup5
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:18HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
33.9%
10
66.1%
Q1 - 7:19HOUMISS Hayes Layup5
35.2%
10
64.8%
Q1 - 7:41SASMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 7:50HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 8:05HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot3
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 8:28HOUAriza Driving Dunk (8 PTS)3
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 8:32SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)3
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 8:56HOUAriza Layup (6 PTS)3
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 8:57HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
37.8%
6
62.2%
Q1 - 8:59HOUMISS Ariza Layup3
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 9:13SASParker Driving Layup (3 PTS)3
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 9:19HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)1
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 9:19HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 21
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 9:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
36.4%
5
63.6%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 20
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 9:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 9:34HOUMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot0
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:41HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 9:42SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot0
35.1%
5
64.9%
Q1 - 10:00HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)0
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 10:19HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 10:19SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot0
40.8%
2
59.2%
Q1 - 10:33HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:33HOUScola Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:35HOUMISS Battier 9' Running Jump Shot0
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 11:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 11:10SASSpurs Rebound0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:11SASAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 11:26SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:27HOUMISS Brooks 18' Jump Shot0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:39HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
44.4%
0
55.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
45.6%
0
54.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
HOU
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
21
62%
HOU
15
40
38%
Midrange
SAS
17
45
38%
HOU
10
34
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
5
40%
60%
HOU
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
SAS
26
34
76%
HOU
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2153%10.5 / 20
T. Parker1945%9.5 / 21
A. McDyess1558%7.5 / 13
R. Jefferson956%4.5 / 8
G. Hill750%3.5 / 7
D. Blair788%3.5 / 4
R. Mason Jr.675%3.0 / 4
M. Finley467%2.0 / 3
K. Bogans220%1.0 / 5
M. Bonner250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola1864%9.0 / 14
T. Ariza1737%8.5 / 23
C. Landry1346%6.5 / 14
A. Brooks1238%6.0 / 16
K. Lowry1056%5.0 / 9
C. Budinger956%4.5 / 8
D. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
C. Hayes0-0.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+11
-14
89
HOU
80
+19
-12
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
HOU
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
107.6
SAS 100.0
HOU 91.3 +8.7
Pace
91.5
94.1
SAS 88.4
HOU 95.9 +7.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
SAS 16.3
HOU 15.0 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
49.4%
SAS 46.5% +6.3%
HOU 40.2%
TO %
14.1%
14.5%
SAS 14.9%
HOU 10.9% +4.0%
ORB %
26.8%
27.0%
SAS 21.6%
HOU 30.9% +9.3%
FTrt
29.6
29.2
SAS 47.9 +32.7
HOU 15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
57.9%
SAS 43.8%
HOU 54.5% +10.7%
STL %
6.9%
7.5%
SAS 6.5%
HOU 7.6% +1.1%
BLK %
6.9%
5.8%
SAS 9.5% +5.0%
HOU 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
52.5%
SAS 50.5% +8.1%
HOU 42.4%
Rim FG%
62.2%
55.7%
SAS 61.9% +24.4%
HOU 37.5%
Mid FG%
40.7%
40.4%
SAS 37.8% +8.4%
HOU 29.4%
3P %
35.8%
35.1%
SAS 40.0%
HOU 44.4% +4.4%
FT %
74.0%
77.3%
SAS 76.5% +5.1%
HOU 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
37.3%
SAS 29.6%
HOU 43.5% +13.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
36.2%
SAS 63.4%
HOU 37.0% +26.4%
3P Att. %
23.2%
26.5%
SAS 7.0%
HOU 19.6% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points9284
Rebounds4646
Assists1418
Steals67
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (4)29 (1)
Field Goals32-7133-92
At-the-Rim FG13-2115-40
Midrange FG17-4510-34
2-Point FG30-6625-74
3-Point FG2-58-18
Free Throws26-3410-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
36.4
19
45%
2
7
1
0
4
1
0
2
3-6
50%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
36.2
21
53%
12
3
0
4
2
1
2
10
5-6
83%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 29
34.2
9
56%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 35
31.1
15
58%
14
0
2
1
2
3
5
9
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 30
26.2
2
20%
4
0
2
0
0
3
0
4
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37
18.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
16.9
2
50%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
16.4
7
50%
1
1
0
0
2
3
0
1
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
12.4
6
75%
2
3
1
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
10.1
7
88%
5
0
0
0
0
5
0
5
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 37
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · F · 6'10" 230 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
46
14
6
7
14
0
8
38
26-34
76%
30-66
45%
2-5
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.