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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies16%92106
6Trail Blazers84%10596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
42.0
38.3
14
47%
5
3
0
1
2
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-11
6-13
36%
48%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
41.6
31.3
19
68%
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
8-12
4-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
40.4
32.1
19
86%
15
5
1
1
0
2
4
11
7-7
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
54%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
35.2
31.3
21
50%
9
0
1
1
0
1
3
6
1-2
50%
10-20
6-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
22.0
25.5
4
29%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.7
26.0
16.3
16
82%
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
40%
2-4
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.8
18.1
10.3
9
57%
6
0
0
0
3
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
8.8
21.9
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
44%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
5.8
15.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
11.1
0
1-2
40%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
2.0
0
0-0
52%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.5
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 31.0
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
44.6
32.0
16
49%
5
1
0
1
1
1
4
1
1-1
100%
6-15
7-13
40%
52%
1-1
100%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
42.0
36.2
26
52%
8
9
2
1
0
3
2
6
6-7
86%
7-16
6-11
44%
52%
2-6
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
38.0
22.3
24
86%
5
1
1
1
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
6-11
55%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.8
28.3
24.9
13
61%
10
2
0
1
3
2
4
6
5-6
83%
4-8
5-8
50%
60%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.8
23.5
28.4
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.7
20.6
24.7
13
52%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
6-8
75%
2-8
3-7
25%
50%
1-1
100%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.6
18.2
24.7
4
29%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.1
17.4
18.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
3.9
7.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
3.4
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.8
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.2
5.5
0
1-2
48%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.3
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.6
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.