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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Magic71%102100
20Bucks29%9598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.0
39.5
35.5
25
64%
20
2
1
1
4
6
4
16
5-10
50%
10-14
6-10
71%
59%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
34.9
33.3
25
50%
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
9-19
5-11
47%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.0
34.2
30.3
12
76%
3
10
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
32.1
32.3
14
74%
9
0
0
1
2
1
4
5
0-1
0%
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
26.4
27.1
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
28.7
16.8
9
63%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-5
40%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
13.1
13.9
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.6
8.7
5.3
8
82%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
8.5
12.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
7.3
15.8
2
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.7
6.7
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.8
9.3
0
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
40.0
24.0
20
51%
16
2
0
1
0
0
7
9
2-4
50%
6-13
3-6
46%
46%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.2
36.6
30.1
18
41%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-15
5-12
20%
42%
4-7
57%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
34.7
26.8
5
51%
3
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.2
28.9
25.1
9
51%
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
1
3-4
75%
0-4
2-4
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
4.0
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
32.5
29.8
20
65%
3
6
2
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
44%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.1
29.6
23.1
5
32%
9
2
1
1
0
0
3
6
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.4
22.4
26.4
16
58%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
11.4
9.1
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.3
24.0
1
3-7
46%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
4.5
0
1-1
43%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.7
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.2
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.