FinalWin Prob.pScore
1158%97
88
2142%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
106.08387.1
DET logo DET
113.38379.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET88
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMaxiell STEAL (2 STL)88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)88
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)88
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)88
11.8%
90
88.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 285
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (23 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)85
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMISS Maxiell 17' Jump Shot83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 1:05ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 1:05ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)82
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:09DETMISS Stuckey Layup81
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 1:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:11 Def:7)81
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 1:27ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 1:35DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)81
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 1:56ATLJerebko STEAL (1 STL)81
4.9%
87
95.1%
Q4 - 2:00ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
8.0%
87
92.0%
Q4 - 2:01DETMISS Stuckey Layup81
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q4 - 2:05DETPISTONS Rebound81
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q4 - 2:06DETMISS Bynum 10' Jump Shot81
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q4 - 2:26ATLCrawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 2:38DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)78
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 2:38DETPISTONS Rebound78
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 2:39DETMISS Maxiell 19' Jump Shot78
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 3:03DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)78
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:04ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot78
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 3:16ATLHawks Rebound78
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 3:17DETMISS Stuckey Layup78
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 3:39ATLJohnson Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 3:56DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 4:24ATLHorford Tip Shot (10 PTS)76
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 4:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 4:26ATLMISS Horford Layup74
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 4:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 4:46DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 274
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 4:46DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 4:46DETWallace REBOUND (Off:11 Def:6)74
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 4:47DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot74
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 4:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:10 Def:6)74
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 4:48DETMISS Stuckey 11' Jump Shot74
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 5:07ATLCrawford 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)74
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 5:28DETStuckey Layup (21 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)72
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q4 - 5:34DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 5:35ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot72
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 5:51DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)72
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 5:51DETBynum Driving Layup (16 PTS)72
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q4 - 6:12ATLHorford Putback Dunk (8 PTS)72
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q4 - 6:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup70
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 6:45DETBynum Layup (14 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)70
9.7%
79
90.3%
Q4 - 7:02DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q4 - 7:03DETMISS Bynum 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 7:29ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)70
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 7:50DETMaxiell 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 8 AST)67
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q4 - 8:07ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)67
14.3%
75
85.7%
Q4 - 8:07ATLHawks Rebound67
17.6%
75
82.4%
Q4 - 8:08ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot67
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q4 - 8:33DETBynum Layup (12 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)67
17.5%
75
82.5%
Q4 - 8:39ATLBynum STEAL (1 STL)67
21.6%
73
78.4%
Q4 - 8:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
26.1%
73
73.9%
Q4 - 8:58DETMISS Bynum 15' Jump Shot67
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q4 - 9:10DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)67
24.0%
73
76.0%
Q4 - 9:11ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot67
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q4 - 9:30DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q4 - 9:30DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
29.3%
72
70.7%
Q4 - 9:44ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T10)67
33.6%
71
66.4%
Q4 - 10:00DETVillanueva 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)67
39.0%
71
61.0%
Q4 - 10:21ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T9)67
45.7%
69
54.3%
Q4 - 10:30DETBynum Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)67
51.4%
69
48.6%
Q4 - 10:48DETPISTONS Rebound67
56.9%
67
43.1%
Q4 - 10:49DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot67
60.8%
67
39.2%
Q4 - 11:09ATLCrawford 20' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)67
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q4 - 11:24DETBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T12)65
51.9%
67
48.1%
Q4 - 11:44DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot65
48.2%
67
51.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL65
51.8%
67
48.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound65
51.8%
67
48.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
48.2%
67
51.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
52.0%
67
48.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
50.7%
67
49.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLSmith Dunk (18 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)65
47.4%
67
52.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)63
41.9%
67
58.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
37.5%
67
62.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot63
38.8%
67
61.2%
Q3 - 1:03DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)63
42.5%
67
57.5%
Q3 - 1:03DETPISTONS Rebound63
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 1:04DETMISS Bynum 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q3 - 1:28ATLCrawford 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 1:44DETBynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
33.2%
67
66.8%
Q3 - 2:13ATLHorford Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)61
38.8%
65
61.2%
Q3 - 2:19ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q3 - 2:20DETMISS Bynum 11' Jump Shot59
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 2:36DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q3 - 2:37ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
31.5%
65
68.5%
Q3 - 2:45DETBynum Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)59
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q3 - 2:59ATLJohnson 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)59
30.3%
65
69.7%
Q3 - 3:14DETDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
28.4%
65
71.6%
Q3 - 3:34DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 3:35ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
25.7%
65
74.3%
Q3 - 3:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q3 - 3:53DETMISS Daye 19' Pullup Jump Shot57
27.1%
65
72.9%
Q3 - 4:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)57
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 4:17DETMISS Jerebko Layup57
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 4:20DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)57
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 4:22DETMISS Jerebko Layup57
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)57
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 4:45ATLMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot57
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 5:08DETAtkins Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)57
29.9%
65
70.1%
Q3 - 5:34ATLJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
26.0%
65
74.0%
Q3 - 5:56DETWallace Reverse Layup (9 PTS)55
23.3%
65
76.7%
Q3 - 5:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)55
26.0%
63
74.0%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Wallace Layup55
28.6%
63
71.4%
Q3 - 6:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)55
27.4%
63
72.6%
Q3 - 6:23ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 255
27.9%
63
72.1%
Q3 - 6:23ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
30.2%
63
69.8%
Q3 - 6:24ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 6:27DETMISS Stuckey Layup54
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 6:52ATLHorford Layup (4 PTS)54
24.2%
63
75.8%
Q3 - 6:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 6:56ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 7:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 7:02ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot52
20.9%
63
79.1%
Q3 - 7:20DETAtkins Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)52
22.8%
63
77.2%
Q3 - 7:36ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)52
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 7:42DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
20.2%
61
79.8%
Q3 - 7:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)49
17.6%
61
82.4%
Q3 - 7:45ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot49
18.3%
61
81.7%
Q3 - 8:15DETJerebko Layup (8 PTS)49
20.8%
61
79.2%
Q3 - 8:18DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)49
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q3 - 8:19DETMISS Jerebko Layup49
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 8:20DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q3 - 8:22DETMISS Jerebko Dunk49
25.3%
59
74.7%
Q3 - 8:45ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q3 - 9:02ATLHawks Rebound47
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q3 - 9:03DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot47
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 9:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)47
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot47
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 9:42DETStuckey 9' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)47
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 10:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)47
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 10:02DETMISS Atkins 19' Jump Shot47
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 10:21ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 10:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
27.9%
57
72.1%
Q3 - 10:35DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot47
27.0%
57
73.0%
Q3 - 10:47DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 10:49ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot47
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 11:08DETWallace Tip Shot (7 PTS)47
29.1%
57
70.9%
Q3 - 11:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)47
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q3 - 11:09DETMISS Atkins 22' Jump Shot47
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q3 - 11:26ATLMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)47
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q3 - 11:33ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 11:34DETMISS Stuckey 22' Jump Shot47
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET47
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0DETBynum 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
30.5%
53
69.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
31.1%
53
68.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETStuckey Layup (17 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)44
32.7%
53
67.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLWallace STEAL (2 STL)44
36.4%
51
63.6%
Q2 - 1:03DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)44
39.5%
51
60.5%
Q2 - 1:09DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
46.8%
48
53.2%
Q2 - 1:11ATLVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)44
47.6%
48
52.4%
Q2 - 1:27DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)44
49.2%
48
50.8%
Q2 - 1:27DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
49.7%
47
50.3%
Q2 - 1:34DETPISTONS Rebound44
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q2 - 1:34DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot44
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)44
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q2 - 1:36DETMISS Villanueva Layup44
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:37DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q2 - 1:38DETMISS Wallace Layup44
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
53.4%
46
46.6%
Q2 - 1:49ATLMISS Johnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot44
54.1%
46
45.9%
Q2 - 1:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
55.8%
46
44.2%
Q2 - 1:58DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 244
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q2 - 1:58DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
54.1%
46
45.9%
Q2 - 1:59DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
56.6%
45
43.4%
Q2 - 2:01DETMISS Stuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot44
58.6%
45
41.4%
Q2 - 2:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)44
56.3%
45
43.7%
Q2 - 2:19DETMISS Stuckey 14' Pullup Jump Shot44
58.6%
45
41.4%
Q2 - 2:26DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
56.3%
45
43.7%
Q2 - 2:27ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot44
57.3%
45
42.7%
Q2 - 2:42DETVillanueva 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)44
59.5%
45
40.5%
Q2 - 3:03ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)44
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q2 - 3:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
60.2%
43
39.8%
Q2 - 3:09DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
59.1%
43
40.9%
Q2 - 3:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Villanueva 16' Jump Shot42
59.1%
43
40.9%
Q2 - 3:37ATLBibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q2 - 3:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
50.8%
43
49.2%
Q2 - 3:44DETMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot39
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q2 - 4:02ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 4:25DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T5)37
44.9%
43
55.1%
Q2 - 4:55ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)37
41.6%
43
58.4%
Q2 - 4:59ATLJohnson 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)36
38.6%
43
61.4%
Q2 - 5:19DETVillanueva 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)34
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 5:41ATLCrawford Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
39.5%
41
60.5%
Q2 - 5:52DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)32
36.6%
41
63.4%
Q2 - 6:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
39.7%
39
60.3%
Q2 - 6:15ATLMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot32
40.7%
39
59.3%
Q2 - 6:40DETStuckey Driving Layup (13 PTS)32
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 6:58ATLCrawford Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 7:12DETBynum Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 7:25DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
40.7%
37
59.3%
Q2 - 7:26ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot30
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 7:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 7:37DETMISS Stuckey Layup30
42.7%
37
57.3%
Q2 - 7:51DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
40.6%
37
59.4%
Q2 - 7:52ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q2 - 8:04DETBynum 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 8:21ATLVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)30
46.8%
35
53.2%
Q2 - 8:28DETBrown Tip Shot (8 PTS)30
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:29DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 8:30DETMISS Stuckey 9' Running Jump Shot30
54.2%
33
45.8%
Q2 - 8:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)30
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 8:56DETVillanueva Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
46.8%
33
53.2%
Q2 - 9:32ATLCrawford 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
44.3%
33
55.7%
Q2 - 9:59DETBrown Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 10:17DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 10:18ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot25
45.4%
31
54.6%
Q2 - 10:29ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 10:31DETMISS Stuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot25
46.5%
31
53.5%
Q2 - 10:37DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 10:38ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot25
45.4%
31
54.6%
Q2 - 10:56DETDaye Layup (2 PTS)25
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 10:59DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
49.7%
29
50.3%
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Brown Layup25
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 11:14ATLDaye STEAL (1 STL)25
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 11:39DETVillanueva Dunk (2 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)25
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL25
55.0%
27
45.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound25
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 30' 3PT Jump Shot25
55.8%
27
44.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETBynum 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
57.3%
27
42.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
60.2%
25
39.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMISS Villanueva 12' Hook Shot25
61.5%
25
38.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLSmith Putback Dunk (12 PTS)25
60.2%
25
39.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Johnson 12' Running Jump Shot23
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q1 - 1:12DETJerebko Layup (6 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)23
57.4%
25
42.6%
Q1 - 1:13DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q1 - 1:17DETMISS Jerebko Reverse Layup23
61.5%
23
38.5%
Q1 - 1:28ATLBrown STEAL (1 STL)23
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q1 - 1:31ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
62.0%
23
38.0%
Q1 - 1:32DETMISS Brown 14' Jump Shot23
61.5%
23
38.5%
Q1 - 1:58ATLSmith Driving Dunk (10 PTS)23
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q1 - 2:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q1 - 2:04DETMISS Brown Layup21
57.2%
23
42.8%
Q1 - 2:23ATLHorford 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)21
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 2:41DETStuckey 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)19
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q1 - 3:02ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)19
56.0%
21
44.0%
Q1 - 3:29DETBrown Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)16
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q1 - 3:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
53.7%
19
46.3%
Q1 - 3:39ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot16
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q1 - 3:57DETBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)16
56.0%
19
44.0%
Q1 - 4:12DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 4:13ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot16
58.9%
17
41.1%
Q1 - 4:37DETStuckey Driving Layup (9 PTS)16
60.5%
17
39.5%
Q1 - 4:41DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
62.5%
15
37.5%
Q1 - 4:42ATLMISS Johnson Layup16
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 4:50ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)16
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 4:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 4:58DETMISS Jerebko Layup15
61.9%
15
38.1%
Q1 - 5:13ATLSmith Putback Layup (8 PTS)15
60.1%
15
39.9%
Q1 - 5:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
58.2%
15
41.8%
Q1 - 5:15ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot13
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 5:21DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
58.2%
15
41.8%
Q1 - 5:38ATLWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)13
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 5:58DETJerebko Layup (4 PTS)10
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 6:00DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 6:01DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot10
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 6:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 6:03DETMISS Atkins 15' Jump Shot10
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 6:09ATLWallace STEAL (1 STL)10
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 6:29DETStuckey Driving Layup (7 PTS)10
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 6:39DETPISTONS Rebound10
58.2%
11
41.8%
Q1 - 6:40DETMISS Atkins 18' Jump Shot10
59.7%
11
40.3%
Q1 - 6:56ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)10
58.2%
11
41.8%
Q1 - 7:37DETMaxiell Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 7:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 7:39DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot8
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 8:02ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS)8
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 8:05DETJerebko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 8:16DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
54.7%
9
45.3%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.3%
9
44.7%
Q1 - 8:38DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 8:43DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 8:44ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot6
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 8:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 8:52DETMISS Jerebko Layup6
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 8:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 8:54DETMISS Jerebko 15' Hook Shot6
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 9:03DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Jerebko Layup6
62.5%
6
37.5%
Q1 - 9:09ATLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)6
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 9:26DETJerebko Layup (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)6
63.0%
6
37.0%
Q1 - 9:42ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)6
65.0%
4
35.0%
Q1 - 9:59ATLHawks Rebound4
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 10:00DETMISS Wallace 4' Jump Bank Shot4
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 10:25ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 10:42DETStuckey 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.5%
4
40.5%
Q1 - 11:03ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:20DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)0
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 11:43DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Smith: Tip to Bibby0
62.9%
0
37.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.11 55.7%
DET
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
20
80%
DET
24
46
52%
Midrange
ATL
14
33
42%
DET
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
DET
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
Free Throws
ATL
7
8
88%
DET
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2377%11.5 / 15
J. Crawford2077%10.0 / 13
M. Bibby1393%6.5 / 7
J. Johnson1026%5.0 / 19
A. Horford1056%5.0 / 9
M. Williams950%4.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia375%1.5 / 2
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey2348%11.5 / 24
W. Bynum1963%9.5 / 15
C. Villanueva1359%6.5 / 11
J. Jerebko1036%5.0 / 14
B. Wallace1042%5.0 / 12
K. Brown857%4.0 / 7
J. Maxiell750%3.5 / 7
C. Atkins214%1.0 / 7
A. Daye250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
70
+9
-13
79
DET
72
+30
-11
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.11 55.7%
DET
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
105.4
ATL 106.0
DET 113.3 +7.2
Pace
89.9
88.8
ATL 87.1 +7.5
DET 79.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.7
ATL 16.5 +1.6
DET 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.4%
ATL 54.7% +10.2%
DET 44.5%
TO %
12.7%
14.2%
ATL 15.3%
DET 11.7% +3.6%
ORB %
28.3%
30.4%
ATL 17.1%
DET 53.3% +36.2%
FTrt
28.1
30.3
ATL 10.8
DET 17.6 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
54.1%
ATL 43.2%
DET 45.0% +1.8%
STL %
8.0%
8.2%
ATL 8.4%
DET 12.0% +3.6%
BLK %
7.9%
6.7%
ATL 10.6% +8.7%
DET 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
49.9%
ATL 55.7% +10.1%
DET 45.6%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.1%
ATL 80.0% +27.8%
DET 52.2%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.5%
ATL 42.4% +3.9%
DET 38.5%
3P %
36.0%
31.4%
ATL 33.3% +16.6%
DET 16.7%
FT %
75.9%
72.8%
ATL 87.5% +6.2%
DET 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
34.1%
ATL 27.0%
DET 50.5% +23.5%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
47.9%
ATL 44.6%
DET 42.9% +1.7%
3P Att. %
21.4%
18.0%
ATL 28.4% +21.8%
DET 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8894
Rebounds2753
Assists1618
Steals710
Blocks91
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)24 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)29 (0)
Field Goals37-7440-91
At-the-Rim FG16-2024-46
Midrange FG14-3315-39
2-Point FG30-5339-85
3-Point FG7-211-6
Free Throws7-813-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
43.2
10
26%
2
3
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
39.0
23
77%
7
2
2
5
1
4
3
4
1-1
100%
11-14
79%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
38.7
13
93%
3
5
3
1
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
C · 6'10" 245 · 23
37.5
10
56%
10
2
0
0
0
4
3
7
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
27.5
9
50%
2
0
1
1
3
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
33.0
20
77%
2
4
0
1
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-6
100%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
10.5
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
5.9
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 21
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
#50 · · 6'8" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
56%
27
16
7
9
13
0
6
21
7-8
88%
30-53
57%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.