FinalWin Prob.pScore
164%96
92
1436%91
85
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
105.78783.7
MIA logo MIA
96.68891.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS92
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)92
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 292
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 1:08BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)89
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 289
95.6%
85
4.4%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 289
93.7%
85
6.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
92.5%
85
7.5%
Q4 - 1:10BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
93.7%
85
6.3%
Q4 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)89
94.7%
85
5.3%
Q4 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)89
95.2%
84
4.8%
Q4 - 1:38BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)89
96.2%
83
3.8%
Q4 - 1:48BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
89.7%
83
10.3%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
88.0%
83
12.0%
Q4 - 2:12BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)86
83.4%
83
16.6%
Q4 - 2:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
78.7%
83
21.3%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 284
80.4%
82
19.6%
Q4 - 2:51BOSPerkins Dunk (14 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)84
74.8%
82
25.2%
Q4 - 3:11BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
68.5%
82
31.5%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
64.4%
82
35.6%
Q4 - 3:33BOSGarnett 5' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS)82
56.4%
82
43.6%
Q4 - 3:50MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)80
47.4%
82
52.6%
Q4 - 3:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
37.3%
82
62.7%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot80
44.2%
82
55.8%
Q4 - 4:12BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
37.0%
82
63.0%
Q4 - 4:12BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)78
29.0%
82
71.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
36.8%
80
63.2%
Q4 - 4:38BOSMISS Rondo 3PT Jump Shot78
39.9%
80
60.1%
Q4 - 5:02MIAChalmers Driving Layup (9 PTS)78
49.2%
80
50.8%
Q4 - 5:16BOSPerkins Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)78
57.2%
78
42.8%
Q4 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
49.1%
78
50.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
50.9%
77
49.1%
Q4 - 5:40BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)76
57.1%
76
42.9%
Q4 - 5:54BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
65.6%
76
34.4%
Q4 - 5:55BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot76
59.7%
76
40.3%
Q4 - 6:02BOSCeltics Rebound76
66.2%
76
33.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup76
64.0%
76
36.0%
Q4 - 6:26BOSRondo Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
58.5%
76
41.5%
Q4 - 6:32BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)74
51.5%
76
48.5%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
49.0%
76
51.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
43.4%
76
56.6%
Q4 - 6:48BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
45.8%
76
54.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIABeasley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
53.5%
76
46.5%
Q4 - 7:20BOSRondo Driving Layup (11 PTS)74
45.8%
76
54.2%
Q4 - 7:43BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
39.5%
76
60.5%
Q4 - 7:44BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
34.6%
76
65.4%
Q4 - 8:01MIABeasley Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)72
41.8%
76
58.2%
Q4 - 8:19BOSScalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)72
48.2%
74
51.8%
Q4 - 8:34BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
35.5%
74
64.5%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot69
33.8%
74
66.2%
Q4 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
29.9%
74
70.1%
Q4 - 8:56BOSMISS Daniels Driving Layup69
31.5%
74
68.5%
Q4 - 9:18MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
37.8%
74
62.2%
Q4 - 9:18MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
38.8%
73
61.2%
Q4 - 9:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
43.8%
72
56.2%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 169
48.8%
72
51.2%
Q4 - 9:41BOSAllen Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
55.6%
70
44.4%
Q4 - 10:02MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)67
50.5%
70
49.5%
Q4 - 10:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
61.5%
67
38.5%
Q4 - 10:11BOSBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)67
63.2%
67
36.8%
Q4 - 10:32BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
66.8%
67
33.2%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot67
65.2%
67
34.8%
Q4 - 10:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
61.5%
67
38.5%
Q4 - 10:48BOSMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 267
62.2%
67
37.8%
Q4 - 10:48BOSMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 267
65.4%
67
34.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIABeasley Putback Dunk (9 PTS)67
66.8%
67
33.2%
Q4 - 11:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
71.5%
65
28.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q4 - 11:21BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)67
71.5%
65
28.5%
Q4 - 11:44BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
75.5%
65
24.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot67
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS67
71.5%
65
28.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)67
75.5%
65
24.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
71.5%
65
28.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot67
73.8%
65
26.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAHEAT Rebound67
71.3%
65
28.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0BOSMISS Pierce 7' Running Jump Shot67
72.5%
65
27.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 267
74.5%
65
25.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
71.9%
65
28.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0BOSGarnett Dunk (18 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)67
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 1:14BOSCeltics Rebound65
70.7%
64
29.3%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
69.5%
64
30.5%
Q3 - 1:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
66.8%
64
33.2%
Q3 - 1:23BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup65
68.0%
64
32.0%
Q3 - 1:38MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
70.7%
64
29.3%
Q3 - 2:04BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)65
74.4%
62
25.6%
Q3 - 2:25BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q3 - 2:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
62.4%
62
37.6%
Q3 - 2:47BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
63.7%
62
36.3%
Q3 - 2:59BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot62
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q3 - 3:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
63.3%
62
36.7%
Q3 - 3:11BOSMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot62
64.6%
62
35.4%
Q3 - 3:26BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
66.3%
62
33.7%
Q3 - 3:46BOSBeasley STEAL (2 STL)62
63.2%
62
36.8%
Q3 - 3:55MIABeasley Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
67.5%
62
32.5%
Q3 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
71.1%
60
28.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade Layup62
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHEAT Rebound62
70.7%
60
29.3%
Q3 - 4:16BOSMISS Rondo 8' Jump Bank Shot62
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 4:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)62
74.8%
60
25.2%
Q3 - 4:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
70.8%
60
29.2%
Q3 - 4:29BOSMISS Rondo 29' 3PT Jump Shot62
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)62
74.1%
60
25.9%
Q3 - 5:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
76.8%
58
23.2%
Q3 - 5:07BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot62
77.9%
58
22.1%
Q3 - 5:14BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)62
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot62
79.1%
58
20.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
76.9%
58
23.1%
Q3 - 5:32BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 262
77.3%
58
22.7%
Q3 - 5:32BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 262
78.9%
58
21.1%
Q3 - 5:47MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)62
80.1%
58
19.9%
Q3 - 6:02BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)62
82.1%
56
17.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAChalmers Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)59
77.2%
56
22.8%
Q3 - 6:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
79.6%
54
20.4%
Q3 - 6:35BOSMISS Pierce Layup59
80.5%
54
19.5%
Q3 - 6:51BOSCeltics Rebound59
82.4%
54
17.6%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot59
81.6%
54
18.4%
Q3 - 6:59BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)59
79.6%
54
20.4%
Q3 - 7:07BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
81.6%
54
18.4%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot59
80.8%
54
19.2%
Q3 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound59
79.0%
54
21.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
81.3%
54
18.7%
Q3 - 7:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)59
79.7%
54
20.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
81.5%
53
18.5%
Q3 - 7:35BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot59
82.2%
53
17.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)59
83.9%
53
16.1%
Q3 - 8:12BOSJones STEAL (1 STL)59
85.4%
51
14.6%
Q3 - 8:15BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
87.3%
51
12.7%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup59
86.7%
51
13.3%
Q3 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
85.4%
51
14.6%
Q3 - 8:28BOSMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot59
86.0%
51
14.0%
Q3 - 8:44BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
87.3%
51
12.7%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 259
87.1%
51
12.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)59
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q3 - 8:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
87.2%
50
12.8%
Q3 - 8:52BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
87.7%
50
12.3%
Q3 - 9:05BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
88.6%
50
11.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot59
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 9:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
87.0%
50
13.0%
Q3 - 9:18BOSMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 9:37MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)59
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 9:51BOSGarnett Layup (16 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)59
90.0%
48
10.0%
Q3 - 9:57BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
88.7%
48
11.3%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup57
88.2%
48
11.8%
Q3 - 10:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
86.7%
48
13.3%
Q3 - 10:08BOSMISS Rondo Driving Layup57
87.2%
48
12.8%
Q3 - 10:14BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
88.3%
48
11.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot57
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q3 - 10:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
86.7%
48
13.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot57
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q3 - 10:46BOSAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
86.8%
48
13.2%
Q3 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)55
84.9%
48
15.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot55
84.3%
48
15.7%
Q3 - 11:22BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)55
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q3 - 11:24BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
84.9%
48
15.1%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup55
84.3%
48
15.7%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q3 - 11:42BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
83.5%
48
16.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS55
84.9%
48
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound55
84.9%
48
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 29' 3PT Jump Shot55
83.5%
48
16.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
84.3%
48
15.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSGarnett Tip Shot (14 PTS)55
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
80.4%
48
19.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
79.3%
48
20.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
80.5%
48
19.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 253
80.3%
48
19.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
78.7%
48
21.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSPerkins Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)53
81.0%
47
19.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
78.3%
47
21.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot51
77.7%
47
22.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)51
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q2 - 1:18MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
78.3%
47
21.7%
Q2 - 1:29BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q2 - 1:33BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot51
82.0%
45
18.0%
Q2 - 2:01BOSPierce Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)51
80.4%
45
19.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q2 - 2:26BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)49
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 3:01BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
76.9%
43
23.1%
Q2 - 3:16MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
78.7%
43
21.3%
Q2 - 3:26BOSRondo Driving Layup (9 PTS)47
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 3:40BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
74.2%
43
25.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot45
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q2 - 3:57BOSRondo 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)45
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)43
69.0%
43
31.0%
Q2 - 4:35BOSGarnett Layup (10 PTS)43
71.3%
41
28.7%
Q2 - 4:37BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q2 - 4:38BOSMISS Rondo Driving Reverse Layup41
66.9%
41
33.1%
Q2 - 4:45BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Jump Shot41
68.1%
41
31.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
66.0%
41
34.0%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Cook 8' Jump Shot41
68.1%
41
31.9%
Q2 - 5:15BOSRondo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q2 - 5:28BOSCeltics Rebound38
60.9%
41
39.1%
Q2 - 5:29BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)38
59.0%
41
41.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
60.9%
41
39.1%
Q2 - 6:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
58.1%
41
41.9%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot38
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q2 - 6:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
57.9%
41
42.1%
Q2 - 6:20BOSCeltics Rebound38
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q2 - 6:20BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 238
58.4%
41
41.6%
Q2 - 6:20BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 238
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q2 - 6:41MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q2 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound38
63.5%
39
36.5%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Haslem Layup38
65.6%
39
34.4%
Q2 - 6:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
63.5%
39
36.5%
Q2 - 7:00BOSMISS Daniels Layup38
64.4%
39
35.6%
Q2 - 7:01BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 7:02BOSMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
65.0%
39
35.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)38
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 7:53BOSWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)38
69.1%
37
30.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
66.8%
37
33.2%
Q2 - 8:45BOSDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Shel. Williams 2 AST)36
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q2 - 8:58BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
64.4%
35
35.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot33
63.6%
35
36.4%
Q2 - 9:15BOSWallace 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 9:39BOSShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
59.4%
35
40.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 131
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 10:03BOSAllen 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)31
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 10:17BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 10:18BOSMISS Shel. Williams Dunk29
57.5%
33
42.5%
Q2 - 10:39BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot29
58.6%
33
41.4%
Q2 - 10:59BOSHaslem STEAL (2 STL)29
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 11:01MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 11:09BOSArroyo STEAL (1 STL)29
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)29
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
61.8%
31
38.2%
Q2 - 11:42BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
62.6%
31
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)29
62.2%
31
37.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot29
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Arroyo Driving Layup29
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup29
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q1 - 1:04BOSPierce Layup (10 PTS)29
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q1 - 1:10BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
64.2%
29
35.8%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
63.7%
29
36.3%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical27
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q1 - 1:26BOSWallace 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)25
59.6%
29
40.4%
Q1 - 1:56BOSHouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)25
62.6%
27
37.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 225
65.0%
26
35.0%
Q1 - 2:28BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
64.8%
26
35.2%
Q1 - 2:28BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q1 - 2:44MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)23
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 2:52BOSBeasley STEAL (1 STL)23
64.8%
24
35.2%
Q1 - 2:53BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q1 - 3:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q1 - 3:20BOSMISS Wallace 9' Jump Bank Shot23
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q1 - 3:33BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot23
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q1 - 3:50BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)23
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 4:09BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
70.9%
21
29.1%
Q1 - 4:09BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
70.6%
21
29.4%
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)21
69.1%
21
30.9%
Q1 - 4:36BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)21
70.9%
19
29.1%
Q1 - 4:53MIABeasley Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
69.2%
19
30.8%
Q1 - 5:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
70.5%
17
29.5%
Q1 - 5:08BOSMISS Perkins 9' Hook Shot19
71.1%
17
28.9%
Q1 - 5:21BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
72.4%
17
27.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot19
71.8%
17
28.2%
Q1 - 5:39BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
70.5%
17
29.5%
Q1 - 5:39BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
70.2%
17
29.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
68.9%
17
31.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)17
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 6:13BOSAllen 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
68.9%
16
31.1%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)15
67.1%
16
32.9%
Q1 - 7:01BOSGarnett Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)15
69.1%
14
30.9%
Q1 - 7:11MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
67.4%
14
32.6%
Q1 - 7:27BOSPierce Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)13
69.1%
12
30.9%
Q1 - 7:41MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
67.4%
12
32.6%
Q1 - 7:52BOSGarnett Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)11
65.4%
12
34.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
63.9%
12
36.1%
Q1 - 8:19BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
65.8%
10
34.2%
Q1 - 8:19BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)7
63.9%
10
36.1%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
67.6%
7
32.4%
Q1 - 8:59BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
68.2%
7
31.8%
Q1 - 9:08BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
69.9%
7
30.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot7
69.4%
7
30.6%
Q1 - 9:31BOSRondo Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)7
68.2%
7
31.8%
Q1 - 9:35BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
66.3%
7
33.7%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot5
65.8%
7
34.2%
Q1 - 9:55BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
64.6%
7
35.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)3
63.2%
7
36.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)3
63.4%
6
36.6%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)3
63.7%
5
36.3%
Q1 - 10:23BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 10:23BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)2
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 10:39BOSCeltics Rebound1
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 10:40BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 21
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 10:40BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 10:57MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 11:06MIAHEAT Rebound0
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot0
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 11:23BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
65.4%
2
34.6%
Q1 - 11:37MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Beasley0
68.4%
0
31.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.10 54.8%
MIA
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
21
29
72%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
BOS
10
19
53%
MIA
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
MIA
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
Free Throws
BOS
15
23
65%
MIA
17
28
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2492%12.0 / 13
P. Pierce1550%7.5 / 15
K. Perkins1464%7.0 / 11
R. Rondo1359%6.5 / 11
R. Allen1142%5.5 / 13
R. Wallace638%3.0 / 8
E. House375%1.5 / 2
M. Daniels330%1.5 / 5
B. Scalabrine3150%1.5 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2752%13.5 / 26
M. Beasley1860%9.0 / 15
J. O'Neal1447%7.0 / 15
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem950%4.5 / 9
J. Jones433%2.0 / 6
D. Cook217%1.0 / 6
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 1
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
73
+10
-14
83
MIA
77
+15
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.10 54.8%
MIA
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
106.7
BOS 105.7
MIA 96.6 +9.2
Pace
91.9
89.6
BOS 83.7
MIA 91.6 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.5
BOS 17.2
MIA 15.7 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
49.6%
BOS 55.8% +12.8%
MIA 43.0%
TO %
15.2%
13.6%
BOS 15.9%
MIA 11.6% +4.3%
ORB %
22.9%
26.0%
BOS 18.2%
MIA 23.9% +5.7%
FTrt
33.2
29.6
BOS 33.3
MIA 35.4 +2.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
51.9%
BOS 58.3% +21.9%
MIA 36.4%
STL %
9.3%
8.1%
BOS 5.7%
MIA 11.4% +5.7%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
BOS 10.9% +6.7%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
52.1%
BOS 54.8% +8.6%
MIA 46.2%
Rim FG%
61.6%
62.0%
BOS 72.4% +7.0%
MIA 65.4%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.8%
BOS 52.6% +15.8%
MIA 36.8%
3P %
34.8%
34.6%
BOS 23.8% +10.5%
MIA 13.3%
FT %
74.6%
75.2%
BOS 65.2% +4.5%
MIA 60.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
29.8%
BOS 42.0% +9.1%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
38.3%
48.3%
BOS 27.5% +20.6%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
22.8%
21.9%
BOS 30.4% +11.4%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points9285
Rebounds4138
Assists2112
Steals510
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals36-6933-79
At-the-Rim FG21-2917-26
Midrange FG10-1914-38
2-Point FG31-4831-64
3-Point FG5-212-15
Free Throws15-2317-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
42.4
11
42%
2
3
0
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-7
14%
F · 6'7" 235 · 32
36.5
15
50%
1
2
2
1
5
1
0
1
7-8
88%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 34
34.7
24
92%
8
1
1
0
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
11-12
92%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 186 · 24
30.8
13
59%
2
11
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 270 · 25
29.2
14
64%
13
1
0
3
1
3
1
12
6-11
55%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
20.1
3
75%
4
0
0
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35
18.4
6
38%
6
0
0
0
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 29
14.6
3
30%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26
7.6
0
0%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
5.7
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 215 · 25
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
#12 · F · 6'6" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · · 6'4" 213 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
55%
41
21
5
7
14
0
6
35
15-23
65%
31-48
65%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.