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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves10%95106
4Nuggets90%112100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.2
36.0
26.4
27
73%
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
10-14
3-7
71%
46%
2-4
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.7
34.7
29.0
16
66%
5
1
2
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
6-8
4-9
75%
41%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.9
34.3
33.7
14
49%
9
3
0
1
1
2
3
6
2-3
67%
6-13
8-16
46%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.9
32.9
12.5
15
61%
12
6
0
0
0
1
3
9
3-3
100%
6-8
1-3
75%
40%
0-3
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.8
29.4
30.4
16
44%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
7-13
4-10
54%
44%
0-4
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
23.5
24.3
4
41%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
18.6
26.3
6
75%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
13.3
11.2
6
52%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
12.8
8.9
0
0%
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.0
4.5
15.5
2
100%
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.0
10.0
0
1-2
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
7.8
0
0-1
43%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.2
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 31.6
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
37.5
32.4
10
54%
10
5
3
1
3
0
1
9
2-3
67%
4-8
5-9
50%
60%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.9
36.6
33.2
16
55%
14
3
1
1
2
2
4
10
5-6
83%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
1-3
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
35.5
37.7
32
59%
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
5-5
100%
9-20
9-18
45%
51%
3-5
60%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.2
33.6
30.9
14
40%
4
3
1
1
2
4
1
3
8-10
80%
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
2-8
25%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
29.0
25.6
9
51%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.2
22.1
24.7
7
29%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
0-4
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.4
19.7
21.7
4
100%
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.1
17.5
19.5
6
75%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.5
8.5
6.8
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.5
6.0
0
0-1
49%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.8
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.